Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effects
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Abstract (arXiv)
Chernozhukov, Chetverikov, Demirer, Duflo, Hansen, and Newey (2016) provide a generic double/de-biased machine learning (DML) approach for obtaining valid inferential statements about focal parameters, using Neyman-orthogonal scores and cross-fitting, in settings where nuisance parameters are estimated using a new generation of nonparametric fitting methods for high-dimensional data, called machine learning methods. In this note, we illustrate the application of this method in the context of estimating average treatment effects (ATE) and average treatment effects on the treated (ATTE) using observational data. A more general discussion and references to the existing literature are available in Chernozhukov, Chetverikov, Demirer, Duflo, Hansen, and Newey (2016).
Key facts. Cited by 76 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 30 Jan 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 11; 2022: 18; 2023: 19; 2024: 12; 2025: 9; 2026: 7.
76 papers.
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- 2021Nonparametric Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: From Theory to Learning Algorithmscited by 144
- 2021Outside the Echo Chamber: Optimizing the Performative Riskcited by 96
- 2021VCNet and Functional Targeted Regularization For Learning Causal Effects of Continuous Treatmentscited by 61
- 2021Deeply-Debiased Off-Policy Interval Estimationcited by 36
- 2021Federated Causal Inference in Heterogeneous Observational Datacited by 24
- 2021DoWhy: Addressing Challenges in Expressing and Validating Causal Assumptionscited by 20
- 2023Bounds on Representation-Induced Confounding Bias for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 20
- 2024DiffPO: A causal diffusion model for learning distributions of potential outcomescited by 17
- 2022Causal Estimation for Text Data with (Apparent) Overlap Violationscited by 15
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2023One-Step Estimation of Differentiable Hilbert-Valued Parameterscited by 11
- 2023Mitigating Adversarial Vulnerability through Causal Parameter Estimation by Adversarial Double Machine Learningcited by 11
38 more
- 2023Counterfactual Prediction Under Outcome Measurement Errorcited by 10
- 2024Simplifying debiased inference via automatic differentiation and probabilistic programmingcited by 10
- 2022Generalization bounds and algorithms for estimating conditional average treatment effect of dosagecited by 9
- 2023Source Condition Double Robust Inference on Functionals of Inverse Problemscited by 9
- 2022Functional Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimation for Conditional Moment Restrictionscited by 8
- 2022Neighborhood Adaptive Estimators for Causal Inference under Network Interferencecited by 8
- 2023Fair and Robust Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects for Policy Learningcited by 6
- 2024Structure-agnostic Optimality of Doubly Robust Learning for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 6
- 2025Understanding challenges to the interpretation of disaggregated evaluations of algorithmic fairnesscited by 6
- 2021Machine Learning for Financial Forecasting, Planning and Analysis: Recent Developments and Pitfallscited by 5
- 2022Covariate-Balancing-Aware Interpretable Deep Learning models for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 5
- 2023Doubly Robust Counterfactual Classificationcited by 5
- 2023Estimation Beyond Data Reweighting: Kernel Method of Momentscited by 5
- 2023Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation: Simultaneous, Automated Debiasing without Influence Functions for Many Target Parameterscited by 5
- 2023Efficient and Multiply Robust Risk Estimation under General Forms of Dataset Shiftcited by 5
- 2025Orthogonal Representation Learning for Estimating Causal Quantitiescited by 5
- 2021Causal Gradient Boosting: Boosted Instrumental Variable Regressioncited by 4
- 2022A Free Lunch with Influence Functions? Improving Neural Network Estimates with Concepts from Semiparametric Statisticscited by 4
- 2022Estimating and Mitigating the Congestion Effect of Curbside Pick-ups and Drop-offs: A Causal Inference Approachcited by 4
- 2022Double Robust Bayesian Inference on Average Treatment Effectscited by 4
- 2025Adjustment for Confounding using Pre-Trained Representationscited by 4
- 2021Text as Causal Mediators: Research Design for Causal Estimates of Differential Treatment of Social Groups via Language Aspectscited by 3
- 2023A Two-Part Machine Learning Approach to Characterizing Network Interference in A/B Testingcited by 3
- 2023Model-based causal feature selection for general response typescited by 3
- 2024Uplift Modeling Under Limited Supervisioncited by 3
- 2024Causal K-Means Clusteringcited by 3
- 2024Off-policy estimation with adaptively collected data: the power of online learningcited by 3
- 2026Optimally taming biases in black-box models for efficient semiparametric estimationcited by 3
- 2022Empirical Estimates on Hand Manipulation are Recoverable: A Step Towards Individualized and Explainable Robotic Support in Everyday Activitiescited by 2
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- 2022A Causal Research Pipeline and Tutorial for Psychologists and Social Scientistscited by 2
- 2023Causal Forecasting for Pricingcited by 2
- 2024Causal inference through multi-stage learning and doubly robust deep neural networkscited by 2
- 2024Semiparametric inference for impulse response functions using double/debiased machine learningcited by 2
- 2025A Meta-learner for Heterogeneous Effects in Difference-in-Differencescited by 2
- 2025A Two-armed Bandit Framework for A/B Testingcited by 2
- 2021Optimal Targeting in Fundraising: A Causal Machine-Learning Approachcited by 1
- 2021A framework for causal segmentation analysis with machine learning in large-scale digital experimentscited by 1
50 most cited of 76 All 76 (JSON)
- 2026Exploring Sparse Autoencoders in Text-Based Causal Confounding Adjustment1 Sep 2026
- 2026Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effect on CVR with Targeted Regularization13 Aug 2026
- 2026Optimal use of a black-box learner in semiparametric estimation23 Jul 2026
- 2026Optimally taming biases in black-box models for efficient semiparametric estimation4 Jun 2026
- 2026MEC: Machine-Learning-Assisted Generalized Entropy Calibration for Semi-Supervised Mean Estimation7 Apr 2026
- 2026Fast Uncertainty Quantification for Kernel-Based Estimators in Large-Scale Causal Inference14 Mar 2026
- 2026Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation based on the Universal Least Favorable Submodel9 Mar 2026
- 2025Overlap-Adaptive Regularization for Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation29 Sep 2025
- 2025A Two-armed Bandit Framework for A/B Testing24 Jul 2025
- 2025Adjustment for Confounding using Pre-Trained Representations17 Jun 2025
- 2025Understanding challenges to the interpretation of disaggregated evaluations of algorithmic fairness4 Jun 2025
- 2025The Post Double LASSO for Efficiency Analysis20 May 2025
38 more
- 2025Targeted Regularization for Causal Effect Estimation with Exponential Dispersion Family Outcomes11 Feb 2025
- 2025A Meta-learner for Heterogeneous Effects in Difference-in-Differences7 Feb 2025
- 2025Orthogonal Representation Learning for Estimating Causal Quantities6 Feb 2025
- 2025Detecting clinician implicit biases in diagnoses using proximal causal inference27 Jan 2025
- 2024Automatic Doubly Robust Forests10 Dec 2024
- 2024Off-policy estimation with adaptively collected data: the power of online learning19 Nov 2024
- 2024Semiparametric inference for impulse response functions using double/debiased machine learning15 Nov 2024
- 2024CaTs and DAGs: Integrating Directed Acyclic Graphs with Transformers for Causally Constrained Predictions18 Oct 2024
- 2024DiffPO: A causal diffusion model for learning distributions of potential outcomes11 Oct 2024
- 2024Causal inference through multi-stage learning and doubly robust deep neural networks11 Jul 2024
- 2024Robust CATE Estimation Using Novel Ensemble Methods4 Jul 2024
- 2024Inference with non-differentiable surrogate loss in a general high-dimensional classification framework20 May 2024
- 2024Simplifying debiased inference via automatic differentiation and probabilistic programming14 May 2024
- 2024Causal K-Means Clustering5 May 2024
- 2024Uplift Modeling Under Limited Supervision28 Mar 2024
- 2024Structure-agnostic Optimality of Doubly Robust Learning for Treatment Effect Estimation22 Feb 2024
- 2023Causal Forecasting for Pricing23 Dec 2023
- 2023Covariance alignment: from maximum likelihood estimation to Gromov-Wasserstein22 Nov 2023
- 2023Bounds on Representation-Induced Confounding Bias for Treatment Effect Estimation19 Nov 2023
- 2023Uplift Modeling based on Graph Neural Network Combined with Causal Knowledge14 Nov 2023
- 2023Nonparametric estimation of a covariate-adjusted counterfactual treatment regimen response curve28 Sep 2023
- 2023Model-based causal feature selection for general response types22 Sep 2023
- 2023Addressing Dynamic and Sparse Qualitative Data: A Hilbert Space Embedding of Categorical Variables22 Aug 2023
- 2023A Two-Part Machine Learning Approach to Characterizing Network Interference in A/B Testing18 Aug 2023
- 2023Source Condition Double Robust Inference on Functionals of Inverse Problems25 Jul 2023
- 2023Mitigating Adversarial Vulnerability through Causal Parameter Estimation by Adversarial Double Machine Learning14 Jul 2023
- 2023Efficient and Multiply Robust Risk Estimation under General Forms of Dataset Shift28 Jun 2023
- 2023Should I Stop or Should I Go: Early Stopping with Heterogeneous Populations20 Jun 2023
- 2023Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation: Simultaneous, Automated Debiasing without Influence Functions for Many Target Parameters14 Jun 2023
- 2023Fair and Robust Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects for Policy Learning6 Jun 2023
- 2023Estimation Beyond Data Reweighting: Kernel Method of Moments18 May 2023
- 2023One-Step Estimation of Differentiable Hilbert-Valued Parameters29 Mar 2023
- 2023Counterfactual Prediction Under Outcome Measurement Error22 Feb 2023
- 2023Doubly Robust Counterfactual Classification15 Jan 2023
- 2023Stable Probability Weighting: Large-Sample and Finite-Sample Estimation and Inference Methods for Heterogeneous Causal Effects of Multivalued Treatments Under Limited Overlap13 Jan 2023
- 2022Debiased machine learning for estimating the causal effect of urban traffic on pedestrian crossing behaviour21 Dec 2022
- 2022On LASSO for High Dimensional Predictive Regression14 Dec 2022
- 2022Neighborhood Adaptive Estimators for Causal Inference under Network Interference7 Dec 2022
50 newest of 76 All 76 (JSON)
- 2021Nonparametric Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: From Theory to Learning Algorithmscited by 144
- 2021Outside the Echo Chamber: Optimizing the Performative Riskcited by 96
- 2021VCNet and Functional Targeted Regularization For Learning Causal Effects of Continuous Treatmentscited by 61
- 2021Deeply-Debiased Off-Policy Interval Estimationcited by 36
- 2021Federated Causal Inference in Heterogeneous Observational Datacited by 24
- 2021DoWhy: Addressing Challenges in Expressing and Validating Causal Assumptionscited by 20
- 2023Bounds on Representation-Induced Confounding Bias for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 20
- 2022Causal Estimation for Text Data with (Apparent) Overlap Violationscited by 15
- 2022Inference on Strongly Identified Functionals of Weakly Identified Functionscited by 12
- 2023One-Step Estimation of Differentiable Hilbert-Valued Parameterscited by 11
- 2023Mitigating Adversarial Vulnerability through Causal Parameter Estimation by Adversarial Double Machine Learningcited by 11
- 2023Counterfactual Prediction Under Outcome Measurement Errorcited by 10
12 most cited of 74 All 74 (JSON)
- 2026Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effect on CVR with Targeted Regularization13 Aug 2026
- 2026Optimal use of a black-box learner in semiparametric estimation23 Jul 2026
- 2026Optimally taming biases in black-box models for efficient semiparametric estimation4 Jun 2026
- 2026MEC: Machine-Learning-Assisted Generalized Entropy Calibration for Semi-Supervised Mean Estimation7 Apr 2026
- 2026Fast Uncertainty Quantification for Kernel-Based Estimators in Large-Scale Causal Inference14 Mar 2026
- 2026Kernel Debiased Plug-in Estimation based on the Universal Least Favorable Submodel9 Mar 2026
- 2025Overlap-Adaptive Regularization for Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation29 Sep 2025
- 2025A Two-armed Bandit Framework for A/B Testing24 Jul 2025
- 2025Adjustment for Confounding using Pre-Trained Representations17 Jun 2025
- 2025Understanding challenges to the interpretation of disaggregated evaluations of algorithmic fairness4 Jun 2025
- 2025The Post Double LASSO for Efficiency Analysis20 May 2025
- 2025Targeted Regularization for Causal Effect Estimation with Exponential Dispersion Family Outcomes11 Feb 2025
12 newest of 74 All 74 (JSON)