Orthogonal Representation Learning for Estimating Causal Quantities
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
End-to-end representation learning has become a powerful tool for estimating causal quantities from high-dimensional observational data, but its efficiency remained unclear. Here, we face a central tension: End-to-end representation learning methods often work well in practice but lack asymptotic optimality in the form of the quasi-oracle efficiency. In contrast, two-stage Neyman-orthogonal learners provide such a theoretical optimality property but do not explicitly benefit from the strengths of representation learning. In this work, we step back and ask two research questions: (1) When do representations strengthen existing Neyman-orthogonal learners? and (2) Can a balancing constraint - a commonly proposed technique in the representation learning literature - provide improvements to Neyman-orthogonality? We address these two questions through our theoretical and empirical analysis, where we introduce a unifying framework that connects representation learning with Neyman-orthogonal learners (namely, OR-learners). In particular, we show that, under the low-dimensional manifold hypothesis, the OR-learners can strictly improve the estimation error of the standard Neyman-orthogonal learners. At the same time, we find that the balancing constraint requires an additional inductive bias and cannot generally compensate for the lack of Neyman-orthogonality of the end-to-end approaches. Building on these insights, we offer guidelines for how users can effectively combine representation learning with the classical Neyman-orthogonal learners to achieve both practical performance and theoretical guarantees.
Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 50 of its 106 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Feb 2025.
Builds on
50 of 106 references.
References · 50
- 2015Variational Inference with Normalizing Flowscited by 2,170
- 2017Meta-learners for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Machine Learningcited by 478
- 2018Learning Adversarially Fair and Transferable Representationscited by 353
- 2017Quasi-Oracle Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 332
- 2016Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inferencecited by 329
- 2019Adapting Neural Networks for the Estimation of Treatment Effectscited by 287
- 2019Residual Flows for Invertible Generative Modelingcited by 257
- 2019Universal Approximation with Deep Narrow Networkscited by 200
- 2020Estimating Counterfactual Treatment Outcomes over Time Through Adversarially Balanced Representationscited by 155
- 2019Orthogonal Statistical Learningcited by 151
- 2021Nonparametric Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects: From Theory to Learning Algorithmscited by 144
- 2022Causal Transformer for Estimating Counterfactual Outcomescited by 123
38 more
- 2017Automated versus do-it-yourself methods for causal inference: Lessons learned from a data analysis competitioncited by 106
- 2017Universal Function Approximation by Deep Neural Nets with Bounded Width and ReLU Activationscited by 104
- 2019Deep Neural Network Approximation Theorycited by 93
- 2019Support and Invertibility in Domain-Invariant Representationscited by 87
- 2020Distribution-free binary classification: prediction sets, confidence intervals and calibrationcited by 79
- 2017Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effectscited by 76
- 2021On Inductive Biases for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 75
- 2024Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomescited by 74
- 2020Generalization Bounds and Representation Learning for Estimation of Potential Outcomes and Causal Effectscited by 72
- 2018Perfect Match: A Simple Method for Learning Representations For Counterfactual Inference With Neural Networkscited by 56
- 2018Interval Estimation of Individual-Level Causal Effects Under Unobserved Confoundingcited by 51
- 2021Quantifying Ignorance in Individual-Level Causal-Effect Estimates under Hidden Confoundingcited by 50
- 2020Counterfactual Representation Learning with Balancing Weightscited by 45
- 2018Learning Weighted Representations for Generalization Across Designscited by 41
- 2023Optimal Transport for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 32
- 2019Adversarial Balancing-based Representation Learning for Causal Effect Inference with Observational Datacited by 30
- 2019Smooth function approximation by deep neural networks with general activation functionscited by 30
- 2023In Search of Insights, Not Magic Bullets: Towards Demystification of the Model Selection Dilemma in Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 29
- 2023Bayesian Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 26
- 2020Counterfactual Predictions under Runtime Confoundingcited by 22
- 2023Bounds on Representation-Induced Confounding Bias for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 20
- 2024Model-agnostic meta-learners for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects over timecited by 19
- 2024Combining T-learning and DR-learning: a framework for oracle-efficient estimation of causal contrastscited by 18
- 2023Causal isotonic calibration for heterogeneous treatment effectscited by 16
- 2023The Fundamental Limits of Structure-Agnostic Functional Estimationcited by 12
- 2023Fair Off-Policy Learning from Observational Datacited by 11
- 2021Deconfounding Scores: Feature Representations for Causal Effect Estimation with Weak Overlapcited by 9
- 2022Origami in N dimensions: How feed-forward networks manufacture linear separabilitycited by 9
- 2022Adversarial De-confounding in Individualised Treatment Effects Estimationcited by 9
- 2017Matching Using Sufficient Dimension Reduction for Causal Inferencecited by 8
- 2023Orthogonal prediction of counterfactual outcomescited by 7
- 2023Fair and Robust Estimation of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects for Policy Learningcited by 6
- 2024Causal Machine Learning for Cost-Effective Allocation of Development Aidcited by 6
- 2024Structure-agnostic Optimality of Doubly Robust Learning for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 6
- 2024Efficient adjustment for complex covariates: Gaining efficiency with DOPEcited by 5
- 2024Revisiting Counterfactual Regression through the Lens of Gromov-Wasserstein Information Bottleneckcited by 4
- 2016Doubly robust matching estimators for high dimensional confounding adjustmentcited by 3
- 2024Generalization Bounds for Causal Regression: Insights, Guarantees and Sensitivity Analysiscited by 3
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 3; 2026: 2.
5 papers.
- 2025Differentially Private Learners for Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 5
- 2026Deconfounding Scores and Representation Learning for Causal Effect Estimation with Weak Overlapcited by 2
- 2025Individualised Treatment Effects Estimation with Composite Treatments and Composite Outcomescited by 1
- 2025Overlap-Adaptive Regularization for Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 1
- 2026Direct Doubly Robust Estimation of Conditional Quantile Contrastscited by 0
- 2026Deconfounding Scores and Representation Learning for Causal Effect Estimation with Weak Overlap1 Apr 2026
- 2026Direct Doubly Robust Estimation of Conditional Quantile Contrasts27 Jan 2026
- 2025Overlap-Adaptive Regularization for Conditional Average Treatment Effect Estimation29 Sep 2025
- 2025Differentially Private Learners for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects5 Mar 2025
- 2025Individualised Treatment Effects Estimation with Composite Treatments and Composite Outcomes12 Feb 2025