Automatic Doubly Robust Forests
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Abstract (arXiv)
This paper proposes the automatic Doubly Robust Random Forest (DRRF) algorithm for estimating the conditional expectation of a moment functional in the presence of high-dimensional nuisance functions. DRRF extends the automatic debiasing framework based on the Riesz representer to the conditional setting and enables nonparametric, forest-based estimation (Athey et al., 2019; Oprescu et al., 2019). In contrast to existing methods, DRRF does not require prior knowledge of the form of the debiasing term or impose restrictive parametric or semi-parametric assumptions on the target quantity. Additionally, it is computationally efficient in making predictions at multiple query points. We establish consistency and asymptotic normality results for the DRRF estimator under general assumptions, allowing for the construction of valid confidence intervals. Through extensive simulations in heterogeneous treatment effect (HTE) estimation, we demonstrate the superior performance of DRRF over benchmark approaches in terms of estimation accuracy, robustness, and computational efficiency.
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References · 6
- 2017A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictionscited by 6,555
- 2015Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forestscited by 600
- 2016Generalized Random Forestscited by 312
- 2017Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effectscited by 76
- 2018Orthogonal Random Forest for Causal Inferencecited by 51
- 2021RieszNet and ForestRiesz: Automatic Debiased Machine Learning with Neural Nets and Random Forestscited by 42
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