VCNet and Functional Targeted Regularization For Learning Causal Effects of Continuous Treatments
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Abstract (arXiv)
Motivated by the rising abundance of observational data with continuous treatments, we investigate the problem of estimating the average dose-response curve (ADRF). Available parametric methods are limited in their model space, and previous attempts in leveraging neural network to enhance model expressiveness relied on partitioning continuous treatment into blocks and using separate heads for each block; this however produces in practice discontinuous ADRFs. Therefore, the question of how to adapt the structure and training of neural network to estimate ADRFs remains open. This paper makes two important contributions. First, we propose a novel varying coefficient neural network (VCNet) that improves model expressiveness while preserving continuity of the estimated ADRF. Second, to improve finite sample performance, we generalize targeted regularization to obtain a doubly robust estimator of the whole ADRF curve.
Key facts. Cited by 59 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 53 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 14 Mar 2021.
Builds on
16 of 53 references.
References · 16
- 2015Variational Inference with Normalizing Flowscited by 2,161
- 2016Density estimation using Real NVPcited by 2,029
- 2016HyperNetworkscited by 1,003
- 2015Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forestscited by 597
- 2017Causal Effect Inference with Deep Latent-Variable Modelscited by 408
- 2016Learning Representations for Counterfactual Inferencecited by 327
- 2019Adapting Neural Networks for the Estimation of Treatment Effectscited by 285
- 2017Bayesian Inference of Individualized Treatment Effects using Multi-task Gaussian Processescited by 156
- 2019Learning Counterfactual Representations for Estimating Individual Dose-Response Curvescited by 90
- 2020Estimating the Effects of Continuous-valued Interventions using Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 78
- 2017Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effectscited by 76
- 2015Nonparametric methods for doubly robust estimation of continuous treatment effectscited by 62
4 more
- 2018Deep Neural Networks for Estimation and Inferencecited by 62
- 2018Conditional Density Estimation with Bayesian Normalising Flowscited by 54
- 2019Conditional Density Estimation with Neural Networks: Best Practices and Benchmarkscited by 37
- 2017The Kernel Mixture Network: A Nonparametric Method for Conditional Density Estimation of Continuous Random Variablescited by 14
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 2; 2022: 13; 2023: 11; 2024: 18; 2025: 8; 2026: 7.
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- 2024Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomescited by 73
- 2021Causal Effect Inference for Structured Treatmentscited by 38
- 2022Exploring Transformer Backbones for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 25
- 2022Normalizing Flows for Interventional Density Estimationcited by 21
- 2022Scalable Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis for Causal-Effect Estimates of Continuous-Valued Interventionscited by 20
- 2024Doubly Robust Causal Effect Estimation under Networked Interference via Targeted Learningcited by 19
- 2024Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatmentscited by 19
- 2022Domain-Specific Risk Minimization for Out-of-Distribution Generalizationcited by 15
- 2023Reliable Off-Policy Learning for Dosage Combinationscited by 15
- 2023Causal Effect Estimation: Recent Advances, Challenges, and Opportunitiescited by 14
- 2022Deep Causal Learning: Representation, Discovery and Inferencecited by 11
- 2022Comparison of meta-learners for estimating multi-valued treatment heterogeneous effectscited by 10
38 more
- 2022A Survey of Deep Causal Models and Their Industrial Applicationscited by 10
- 2023Counterfactual Prediction Under Outcome Measurement Errorcited by 10
- 2023Adversarially Balanced Representation for Continuous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 10
- 2021End-to-End Balancing for Causal Continuous Treatment-Effect Estimationcited by 9
- 2022Generalization bounds and algorithms for estimating conditional average treatment effect of dosagecited by 9
- 2023Ensembled Prediction Intervals for Causal Outcomes Under Hidden Confoundingcited by 7
- 2024Continuous Treatment Effect Estimation Using Gradient Interpolation and Kernel Smoothingcited by 7
- 2024Causal Machine Learning for Cost-Effective Allocation of Development Aidcited by 6
- 2024Contrastive Balancing Representation Learning for Heterogeneous Dose-Response Curves Estimationcited by 6
- 2024Deep Autoregressive Models as Causal Inference Enginescited by 6
- 2022Learning Instrumental Variable from Data Fusion for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 5
- 2022Time Series Causal Link Estimation under Hidden Confounding using Knockoff Interventionscited by 5
- 2025Differentially Private Learners for Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 5
- 2025Projection Pursuit Density Ratio Estimationcited by 5
- 2022Heterogeneous Treatment Effect with Trained Kernels of the Nadaraya-Watson Regressioncited by 4
- 2024Uplift modeling with continuous treatments: A predict-then-optimize approachcited by 4
- 2026Causal Foundation Models with Continuous Treatmentscited by 4
- 2022GCF: Generalized Causal Forest for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimation in Online Marketplacecited by 3
- 2023SpaCE: The Spatial Confounding Environmentcited by 3
- 2024PairNet: Training with Observed Pairs to Estimate Individual Treatment Effectcited by 3
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Surveycited by 3
- 2024DISCRET: Synthesizing Faithful Explanations For Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 2
- 2024Sources of Gain: Decomposing Performance in Conditional Average Dose Response Estimationcited by 2
- 2022BENK: The Beran Estimator with Neural Kernels for Estimating the Heterogeneous Treatment Effectcited by 1
- 2023A Causal Perspective on Loan Pricing: Investigating the Impacts of Selection Bias on Identifying Bid-Response Functionscited by 1
- 2024SubgroupTE: Advancing Treatment Effect Estimation with Subgroup Identificationcited by 1
- 2024Heterogeneous treatment effect estimation with subpopulation identification for personalized medicine in opioid use disordercited by 1
- 2024New User Event Prediction Through the Lens of Causal Inferencecited by 1
- 2025MMCE: A Framework for Deep Monotonic Modeling of Multiple Causal Effectscited by 1
- 2025Beyond the ATE: Interpretable Modelling of Treatment Effects over Dose and Timecited by 1
- 2023Causal Estimation of Exposure Shifts with Neural Networkscited by 0
- 2023Identification of Causal Relationship between Amyloid-beta Accumulation and Alzheimer's Disease Progression via Counterfactual Inferencecited by 0
- 2023De-confounding Representation Learning for Counterfactual Inference on Continuous Treatment via Generative Adversarial Networkcited by 0
- 2023Using representation balancing to learn conditional-average dose responses from clustered datacited by 0
- 2024Pareto-Optimal Estimation and Policy Learning on Short-term and Long-term Treatment Effectscited by 0
- 2024Disentangled Representation via Variational AutoEncoder for Continuous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 0
- 2024Generalized Encouragement-Based Instrumental Variables for Counterfactual Regressioncited by 0
- 2025Leveraging a Simulator for Learning Causal Representations from Post-Treatment Covariates for CATEcited by 0
50 most cited of 59 All 59 (JSON)
- 2026Weighted Spline-Expanded Networks with Distributional Balancing for Continuous Treatment Effects27 Sep 2026
- 2026Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effect on CVR with Targeted Regularization13 Aug 2026
- 2026Surv-IPTB: An Attention-Based Model for Estimating Individual Probability of Treatment Benefit with Survival Data6 Aug 2026
- 2026Interventional Flow Matching: Prospective Dose-Response Forecasting with Velocity-Field Jacobian Regularization28 Jun 2026
- 2026Are Good Generators Good Decision-Makers? Policy Learning for General Interventions via Retargeted Counterfactual Generation5 Jun 2026
- 2026Causal Foundation Models with Continuous Treatments14 May 2026
- 2026Causal Representation Learning with Optimal Compression under Complex Treatments12 Mar 2026
- 2025Multi-Treatment-DML: Causal Estimation for Multi-Dimensional Continuous Treatments with Monotonicity Constraints in Personal Loan Risk Optimization4 Aug 2025
- 2025Beyond the ATE: Interpretable Modelling of Treatment Effects over Dose and Time9 Jul 2025
- 2025Hidden Representation Clustering with Multi-Task Representation Learning towards Robust Online Budget Allocation1 Jun 2025
- 2025Projection Pursuit Density Ratio Estimation1 Jun 2025
- 2025MMCE: A Framework for Deep Monotonic Modeling of Multiple Causal Effects2 Apr 2025
38 more
- 2025A Computational Theory for Efficient Mini Agent Evaluation with Causal Guarantees27 Mar 2025
- 2025Differentially Private Learners for Heterogeneous Treatment Effects5 Mar 2025
- 2025Leveraging a Simulator for Learning Causal Representations from Post-Treatment Covariates for CATE7 Feb 2025
- 2024Uplift modeling with continuous treatments: A predict-then-optimize approach12 Dec 2024
- 2024Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomes11 Oct 2024
- 2024Deep Autoregressive Models as Causal Inference Engines27 Sep 2024
- 2024Generalized Encouragement-Based Instrumental Variables for Counterfactual Regression10 Aug 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Complex Treatments: A Survey19 Jul 2024
- 2024New User Event Prediction Through the Lens of Causal Inference8 Jul 2024
- 2024Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatments3 Jul 2024
- 2024Sources of Gain: Decomposing Performance in Conditional Average Dose Response Estimation12 Jun 2024
- 2024PairNet: Training with Observed Pairs to Estimate Individual Treatment Effect6 Jun 2024
- 2024Disentangled Representation via Variational AutoEncoder for Continuous Treatment Effect Estimation4 Jun 2024
- 2024DISCRET: Synthesizing Faithful Explanations For Treatment Effect Estimation2 Jun 2024
- 2024Doubly Robust Causal Effect Estimation under Networked Interference via Targeted Learning6 May 2024
- 2024Contrastive Balancing Representation Learning for Heterogeneous Dose-Response Curves Estimation21 Mar 2024
- 2024Pareto-Optimal Estimation and Policy Learning on Short-term and Long-term Treatment Effects5 Mar 2024
- 2024Heterogeneous treatment effect estimation with subpopulation identification for personalized medicine in opioid use disorder30 Jan 2024
- 2024Causal Machine Learning for Cost-Effective Allocation of Development Aid30 Jan 2024
- 2024Continuous Treatment Effect Estimation Using Gradient Interpolation and Kernel Smoothing27 Jan 2024
- 2024SubgroupTE: Advancing Treatment Effect Estimation with Subgroup Identification22 Jan 2024
- 2023Adversarially Balanced Representation for Continuous Treatment Effect Estimation17 Dec 2023
- 2023SpaCE: The Spatial Confounding Environment1 Dec 2023
- 2023Using representation balancing to learn conditional-average dose responses from clustered data7 Sep 2023
- 2023A Causal Perspective on Loan Pricing: Investigating the Impacts of Selection Bias on Identifying Bid-Response Functions7 Sep 2023
- 2023De-confounding Representation Learning for Counterfactual Inference on Continuous Treatment via Generative Adversarial Network24 Jul 2023
- 2023Identification of Causal Relationship between Amyloid-beta Accumulation and Alzheimer's Disease Progression via Counterfactual Inference3 Jul 2023
- 2023Ensembled Prediction Intervals for Causal Outcomes Under Hidden Confounding15 Jun 2023
- 2023Reliable Off-Policy Learning for Dosage Combinations31 May 2023
- 2023Counterfactual Prediction Under Outcome Measurement Error22 Feb 2023
- 2023Causal Estimation of Exposure Shifts with Neural Networks6 Feb 2023
- 2023Causal Effect Estimation: Recent Advances, Challenges, and Opportunities2 Feb 2023
- 2022BENK: The Beran Estimator with Neural Kernels for Estimating the Heterogeneous Treatment Effect19 Nov 2022
- 2022Deep Causal Learning: Representation, Discovery and Inference7 Nov 2022
- 2022Time Series Causal Link Estimation under Hidden Confounding using Knockoff Interventions23 Sep 2022
- 2022A Survey of Deep Causal Models and Their Industrial Applications19 Sep 2022
- 2022Normalizing Flows for Interventional Density Estimation13 Sep 2022
- 2022Learning Instrumental Variable from Data Fusion for Treatment Effect Estimation23 Aug 2022
50 newest of 59 All 59 (JSON)
- 2024Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomescited by 73
- 2021Causal Effect Inference for Structured Treatmentscited by 38
- 2022Exploring Transformer Backbones for Heterogeneous Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 25
- 2022Normalizing Flows for Interventional Density Estimationcited by 21
- 2022Scalable Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis for Causal-Effect Estimates of Continuous-Valued Interventionscited by 20
- 2024Doubly Robust Causal Effect Estimation under Networked Interference via Targeted Learningcited by 19
- 2024Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatmentscited by 19
- 2022Domain-Specific Risk Minimization for Out-of-Distribution Generalizationcited by 15
- 2023Reliable Off-Policy Learning for Dosage Combinationscited by 15
- 2023Causal Effect Estimation: Recent Advances, Challenges, and Opportunitiescited by 14
- 2022Deep Causal Learning: Representation, Discovery and Inferencecited by 11
- 2022Comparison of meta-learners for estimating multi-valued treatment heterogeneous effectscited by 10
12 most cited of 58 All 58 (JSON)
- 2026Weighted Spline-Expanded Networks with Distributional Balancing for Continuous Treatment Effects27 Sep 2026
- 2026Doubly Robust Estimation of Causal Effect on CVR with Targeted Regularization13 Aug 2026
- 2026Surv-IPTB: An Attention-Based Model for Estimating Individual Probability of Treatment Benefit with Survival Data6 Aug 2026
- 2026Are Good Generators Good Decision-Makers? Policy Learning for General Interventions via Retargeted Counterfactual Generation5 Jun 2026
- 2026Causal Foundation Models with Continuous Treatments14 May 2026
- 2026Causal Representation Learning with Optimal Compression under Complex Treatments12 Mar 2026
- 2025Multi-Treatment-DML: Causal Estimation for Multi-Dimensional Continuous Treatments with Monotonicity Constraints in Personal Loan Risk Optimization4 Aug 2025
- 2025Beyond the ATE: Interpretable Modelling of Treatment Effects over Dose and Time9 Jul 2025
- 2025Hidden Representation Clustering with Multi-Task Representation Learning towards Robust Online Budget Allocation1 Jun 2025
- 2025Projection Pursuit Density Ratio Estimation1 Jun 2025
- 2025MMCE: A Framework for Deep Monotonic Modeling of Multiple Causal Effects2 Apr 2025
- 2025A Computational Theory for Efficient Mini Agent Evaluation with Causal Guarantees27 Mar 2025
12 newest of 58 All 58 (JSON)