Federated Causal Inference in Heterogeneous Observational Data
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Abstract (arXiv)
We are interested in estimating the effect of a treatment applied to individuals at multiple sites, where data is stored locally for each site. Due to privacy constraints, individual-level data cannot be shared across sites; the sites may also have heterogeneous populations and treatment assignment mechanisms. Motivated by these considerations, we develop federated methods to draw inference on the average treatment effects of combined data across sites. Our methods first compute summary statistics locally using propensity scores and then aggregate these statistics across sites to obtain point and variance estimators of average treatment effects. We show that these estimators are consistent and asymptotically normal. To achieve these asymptotic properties, we find that the aggregation schemes need to account for the heterogeneity in treatment assignments and in outcomes across sites. We demonstrate the validity of our federated methods through a comparative study of two large medical claims databases.
Key facts. Cited by 24 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 15 of its 88 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 25 Jul 2021.
Builds on
15 of 88 references.
References · 15
- 2016Communication-Efficient Learning of Deep Networks from Decentralized Datacited by 7,592
- 2019Federated Learning: Challenges, Methods, and Future Directionscited by 1,531
- 2016Federated Learning: Strategies for Improving Communication Efficiencycited by 1,461
- 2015Estimation and Inference of Heterogeneous Treatment Effects using Random Forestscited by 597
- 2015Causal inference using invariant prediction: identification and confidence intervalscited by 533
- 2015An Introduction to Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 510
- 2018Anchor regression: heterogeneous data meets causalitycited by 116
- 2017Double/Debiased/Neyman Machine Learning of Treatment Effectscited by 76
- 2016Efficient Distributed Learning with Sparsitycited by 38
- 2020Combining Observational and Experimental Datasets Using Shrinkage Estimatorscited by 28
- 2020Using Experiments to Correct for Selection in Observational Studiescited by 28
- 2019Heterogeneity-aware and communication-efficient distributed statistical inferencecited by 15
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 3; 2023: 6; 2024: 6; 2025: 5; 2026: 4.
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- 2023An Adaptive Kernel Approach to Federated Learning of Heterogeneous Causal Effectscited by 19
- 2022Vertical Federated Learning: A Structured Literature Reviewcited by 17
- 2023Multiply Robust Federated Estimation of Targeted Average Treatment Effectscited by 13
- 2022Towards Privacy-Aware Causal Structure Learning in Federated Settingcited by 11
- 2023Federated Causality Learning with Explainable Adaptive Optimizationcited by 11
- 2024Multi-Source Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shiftcited by 11
- 2022Collaborative causal inference on distributed datacited by 10
- 2024Collaborative Heterogeneous Causal Inference Beyond Meta-analysiscited by 4
- 2023Federated Causal Inference from Observational Datacited by 3
- 2024Federated Causal Inference: Multi-Study ATE Estimation beyond Meta-Analysiscited by 3
- 2023FedECA: Federated External Control Arms for Causal Inference with Time-To-Event Data in Distributed Settingscited by 2
- 2024Federated Learning for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 2
12 more
- 2025Federated Causal Inference from Multi-Site Observational Data via Propensity Score Aggregationcited by 2
- 2024Estimation of conditional average treatment effects on distributed confidential datacited by 1
- 2025Federated Instrumental Variable Analysis via Federated Generalized Method of Momentscited by 1
- 2023Federated Offline Policy Learningcited by 0
- 2024Data-light Uncertainty Set Merging with Admissibilitycited by 0
- 2025Causal Policy Learning in Reinforcement Learning: Backdoor-Adjusted Soft Actor-Criticcited by 0
- 2025From Privacy to Trust in the Agentic Era: A Taxonomy of Challenges in Trustworthy Federated Learning Through the Lens of Trust Report 2.0cited by 0
- 2025Latent Factor Point Processes for Patient Representation in Electronic Health Recordscited by 0
- 2026Fed-CausalDiff: Decoupled Synchronization for Federated Do-Simulation and Policy Evaluationcited by 0
- 2026A Survey on Federated Causal Discovery and Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Operationalising Relative Causal Knowledge: Backbone Identifiability from Private Reports on a Shared Outcomecited by 0
- 2026An Accurate and Single-Communication Federated Inference Algorithmcited by 0
- 2026An Accurate and Single-Communication Federated Inference Algorithm27 Aug 2026
- 2026Operationalising Relative Causal Knowledge: Backbone Identifiability from Private Reports on a Shared Outcome11 Aug 2026
- 2026A Survey on Federated Causal Discovery and Inference21 Jun 2026
- 2026Fed-CausalDiff: Decoupled Synchronization for Federated Do-Simulation and Policy Evaluation21 Jun 2026
- 2025Latent Factor Point Processes for Patient Representation in Electronic Health Records28 Aug 2025
- 2025From Privacy to Trust in the Agentic Era: A Taxonomy of Challenges in Trustworthy Federated Learning Through the Lens of Trust Report 2.021 Jul 2025
- 2025Causal Policy Learning in Reinforcement Learning: Backdoor-Adjusted Soft Actor-Critic5 Jun 2025
- 2025Federated Instrumental Variable Analysis via Federated Generalized Method of Moments27 May 2025
- 2025Federated Causal Inference from Multi-Site Observational Data via Propensity Score Aggregation23 May 2025
- 2024Federated Causal Inference: Multi-Study ATE Estimation beyond Meta-Analysis22 Oct 2024
- 2024Data-light Uncertainty Set Merging with Admissibility16 Oct 2024
- 2024Multi-Source Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shift15 May 2024
12 more
- 2024Collaborative Heterogeneous Causal Inference Beyond Meta-analysis24 Apr 2024
- 2024Federated Learning for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects27 Feb 2024
- 2024Estimation of conditional average treatment effects on distributed confidential data5 Feb 2024
- 2023Federated Causality Learning with Explainable Adaptive Optimization9 Dec 2023
- 2023FedECA: Federated External Control Arms for Causal Inference with Time-To-Event Data in Distributed Settings28 Nov 2023
- 2023Multiply Robust Federated Estimation of Targeted Average Treatment Effects22 Sep 2023
- 2023Federated Causal Inference from Observational Data24 Aug 2023
- 2023Federated Offline Policy Learning21 May 2023
- 2023An Adaptive Kernel Approach to Federated Learning of Heterogeneous Causal Effects1 Jan 2023
- 2022Vertical Federated Learning: A Structured Literature Review1 Dec 2022
- 2022Towards Privacy-Aware Causal Structure Learning in Federated Setting13 Nov 2022
- 2022Collaborative causal inference on distributed data16 Aug 2022
- 2026A Survey on Federated Causal Discovery and Inferencecited by 0
- 2026A Survey on Federated Causal Discovery and Inference21 Jun 2026
- 2023Federated Offline Policy Learningcited by 0
- 2023Federated Offline Policy Learning21 May 2023
- 2023An Adaptive Kernel Approach to Federated Learning of Heterogeneous Causal Effectscited by 19
- 2022Vertical Federated Learning: A Structured Literature Reviewcited by 17
- 2023Multiply Robust Federated Estimation of Targeted Average Treatment Effectscited by 13
- 2022Towards Privacy-Aware Causal Structure Learning in Federated Settingcited by 11
- 2023Federated Causality Learning with Explainable Adaptive Optimizationcited by 11
- 2024Multi-Source Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shiftcited by 11
- 2022Collaborative causal inference on distributed datacited by 10
- 2024Collaborative Heterogeneous Causal Inference Beyond Meta-analysiscited by 4
- 2023Federated Causal Inference from Observational Datacited by 3
- 2024Federated Causal Inference: Multi-Study ATE Estimation beyond Meta-Analysiscited by 3
- 2023FedECA: Federated External Control Arms for Causal Inference with Time-To-Event Data in Distributed Settingscited by 2
- 2024Federated Learning for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effectscited by 2
12 most cited of 21 All 21 (JSON)
- 2026An Accurate and Single-Communication Federated Inference Algorithm27 Aug 2026
- 2026Operationalising Relative Causal Knowledge: Backbone Identifiability from Private Reports on a Shared Outcome11 Aug 2026
- 2026Fed-CausalDiff: Decoupled Synchronization for Federated Do-Simulation and Policy Evaluation21 Jun 2026
- 2025Latent Factor Point Processes for Patient Representation in Electronic Health Records28 Aug 2025
- 2025Causal Policy Learning in Reinforcement Learning: Backdoor-Adjusted Soft Actor-Critic5 Jun 2025
- 2025Federated Instrumental Variable Analysis via Federated Generalized Method of Moments27 May 2025
- 2025Federated Causal Inference from Multi-Site Observational Data via Propensity Score Aggregation23 May 2025
- 2024Federated Causal Inference: Multi-Study ATE Estimation beyond Meta-Analysis22 Oct 2024
- 2024Data-light Uncertainty Set Merging with Admissibility16 Oct 2024
- 2024Multi-Source Conformal Inference Under Distribution Shift15 May 2024
- 2024Collaborative Heterogeneous Causal Inference Beyond Meta-analysis24 Apr 2024
- 2024Federated Learning for Estimating Heterogeneous Treatment Effects27 Feb 2024
12 newest of 21 All 21 (JSON)