Early-Exit and Instant Confidence Translation Quality Estimation
On the map: Efficient LLM inference and serving → Early exit and edge inference
Abstract (arXiv)
Quality estimation is omnipresent in machine translation, for both evaluation and generation. Unfortunately, quality estimation models are often opaque and computationally expensive, making them impractical to be part of large-scale pipelines. In this work, we tackle two connected challenges: (1) reducing the cost of quality estimation at scale, and (2) developing an inexpensive uncertainty estimation method for quality estimation. To address the latter, we introduce Instant Confidence COMET, an uncertainty-aware quality estimation model that matches the performance of previous approaches at a fraction of their costs. We extend this to Early-Exit COMET, a quality estimation model that can compute quality scores and associated confidences already at early model layers, allowing us to early-exit computations and reduce evaluation costs. We also apply our model to machine translation reranking. We combine Early-Exit COMET with an upper confidence bound bandit algorithm to find the best candidate from a large pool without having to run the full evaluation model on all candidates. In both cases (evaluation and reranking) our methods reduce the required compute by 50% with very little degradation in performance. Finally, we show how Instant Confidence COMET can be used to decide which translations a human evaluator should score rather than relying on the COMET score.
Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Early exit and edge inference, one of 12 directions in Efficient LLM inference and serving. Builds on 28 of its 50 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Feb 2025.
Builds on
28 of 50 references.
References · 28
- 2022No Language Left Behind: Scaling Human-Centered Machine Translationcited by 1,312
- 2020COMET: A Neural Framework for MT Evaluationcited by 1,033
- 2023Eliciting Latent Predictions from Transformers with the Tuned Lenscited by 623
- 2019Linguistic Knowledge and Transferability of Contextual Representationscited by 383
- 2020BERT Loses Patience: Fast and Robust Inference with Early Exitcited by 273
- 2023xCOMET: Transparent Machine Translation Evaluation through Fine-grained Error Detectioncited by 265
- 2020Is MAP Decoding All You Need? The Inadequacy of the Mode in Neural Machine Translationcited by 138
- 2021High Quality Rather than High Model Probability: Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding with Neural Metricscited by 104
- 2024MetricX-24: The Google Submission to the WMT 2024 Metrics Shared Taskcited by 93
- 2021Sampling-Based Approximations to Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding for Neural Machine Translationcited by 65
- 2024Error Span Annotation: A Balanced Approach for Human Evaluation of Machine Translationcited by 62
- 2021Uncertainty-Aware Machine Translation Evaluationcited by 35
16 more
- 2023Faster Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding with Confidence-based Pruningcited by 34
- 2023MBR and QE Finetuning: Training-time Distillation of the Best and Most Expensive Decoding Methodscited by 33
- 2025How to Select Datapoints for Efficient Human Evaluation of NLG Models?cited by 23
- 2024Linear-time Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding with Reference Aggregationcited by 21
- 2025Leveraging Uncertainty Estimation for Efficient LLM Routingcited by 21
- 2024AI-Assisted Human Evaluation of Machine Translationcited by 20
- 2024Don't Rank, Combine! Combining Machine Translation Hypotheses Using Quality Estimationcited by 13
- 2024Efficient Minimum Bayes Risk Decoding using Low-Rank Matrix Completion Algorithmscited by 13
- 2024Centroid-Based Efficient Minimum Bayes Risk Decodingcited by 12
- 2024SpeechQE: Estimating the Quality of Direct Speech Translationcited by 10
- 2022Don't Discard Fixed-Window Audio Segmentation in Speech-to-Text Translationcited by 8
- 2024xCOMET-lite: Bridging the Gap Between Efficiency and Quality in Learned MT Evaluation Metricscited by 7
- 2023EEL: Efficiently Encoding Lattices for Rerankingcited by 4
- 2025Translate Smart, not Hard: Cascaded Translation Systems with Quality-Aware Deferralcited by 4
- 2020Attend to the beginning: A study on using bidirectional attention for extractive summarizationcited by 2
- 2024A Bayesian Optimization Approach to Machine Translation Rerankingcited by 2
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 1.
2 papers.
- 2025Searching the Internet for Challenging Benchmarks at Scalecited by 2
- 2026Why We Need Speech to Evaluate Speech Translationcited by 1
- 2026Why We Need Speech to Evaluate Speech Translation27 May 2026
- 2025Searching the Internet for Challenging Benchmarks at Scale30 Sep 2025
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2026Beyond Scalar Scores: Reinforcement Learning for Error-Aware Quality Estimation of Machine Translation
- 2024Improving Machine Translation with Human Feedback: An Exploration of Quality Estimation as a Reward Model
- 2025Alleviating Distribution Shift in Synthetic Data for Machine Translation Quality Estimation
- 2021Knowledge Distillation for Quality Estimation
- 2024QE-EBM: Using Quality Estimators as Energy Loss for Machine Translation
- 2025Calibrating Translation Decoding with Quality Estimation on LLMs
- 2025M2PO: Multi-Perspective Multi-Pair Preference Optimization for Machine Translation
- 2025LLMs Are Not Scorers: Rethinking MT Evaluation with Generation-Based Methods