Leveraging Uncertainty Estimation for Efficient LLM Routing
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Abstract (arXiv)
Deploying large language models (LLMs) in edge-cloud environments requires an efficient routing strategy to balance cost and response quality. Traditional approaches prioritize either human-preference data or accuracy metrics from benchmark datasets as routing criteria, but these methods suffer from rigidity and subjectivity. Moreover, existing routing frameworks primarily focus on accuracy and cost, neglecting response quality from a human preference perspective. In this work, we propose the Confidence-Driven LLM Router, a novel framework that leverages uncertainty estimation to optimize routing decisions. To comprehensively assess routing performance, we evaluate both system cost efficiency and response quality. In particular, we introduce the novel use of LLM-as-a-Judge to simulate human rating preferences, providing the first systematic assessment of response quality across different routing strategies. Extensive experiments on MT-Bench, GSM8K, and MMLU demonstrate that our approach outperforms state-of-the-art routing methods, achieving superior response quality while maintaining cost efficiency.
Key facts. Cited by 21 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 15 of its 23 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Feb 2025.
Builds on
15 of 23 references.
References · 15
- 2019PyTorch: An Imperative Style, High-Performance Deep Learning Librarycited by 20,160
- 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 9,743
- 2023Judging LLM-as-a-Judge with MT-Bench and Chatbot Arenacited by 8,393
- 2020Measuring Massive Multitask Language Understandingcited by 7,768
- 2017TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehensioncited by 2,895
- 2020DeBERTa: Decoding-enhanced BERT with Disentangled Attentioncited by 2,157
- 2024Chatbot Arena: An Open Platform for Evaluating LLMs by Human Preferencecited by 1,151
- 2023Semantic Uncertainty: Linguistic Invariances for Uncertainty Estimation in Natural Language Generationcited by 795
- 2023FrugalGPT: How to Use Large Language Models While Reducing Cost and Improving Performancecited by 791
- 2019Latent Retrieval for Weakly Supervised Open Domain Question Answeringcited by 691
- 2024RouteLLM: Learning to Route LLMs with Preference Datacited by 633
- 2024GraphRouter: A Graph-based Router for LLM Selectionscited by 154
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 7; 2026: 14.
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- 2025Harnessing Multiple Large Language Models: A Survey on LLM Ensemblecited by 86
- 2026Dynamic Model Routing and Cascading for Efficient LLM Inference: A Surveycited by 16
- 2026When Routing Collapses: On the Degenerate Convergence of LLM Routerscited by 10
- 2026Walking Through Uncertainty: An Empirical Study of Uncertainty Estimation for Audio-Aware Large Language Modelscited by 4
- 2025Breaking the Mirror: Activation-Based Mitigation of Self-Preference in LLM Evaluatorscited by 3
- 2026TCAndon-Router: Adaptive Reasoning Router for Multi-Agent Collaborationcited by 3
- 2025Early-Exit and Instant Confidence Translation Quality Estimationcited by 2
- 2025SpecRouter: Adaptive Routing for Multi-Level Speculative Decoding in Large Language Modelscited by 2
- 2025Balancing Information Accuracy and Response Timeliness in Networked LLMscited by 2
- 2026Towards Fair and Comprehensive Evaluation of Routers in Collaborative LLM Systemscited by 2
- 2026A Systematic Evaluation of Black-Box Uncertainty Estimation Methods for Large Language Modelscited by 2
- 2025Meta-Router: Bridging Gold-standard and Preference-based Evaluations in Large Language Model Routingcited by 1
9 more
- 2026FlyRoute: Self-Evolving Agent Profiling via Data Flywheel for Adaptive Task Routingcited by 1
- 2025CoE-Ops: Collaboration of LLM-based Experts for AIOps Question-Answeringcited by 0
- 2026Conditional Performance Guarantee for Large Reasoning Modelscited by 0
- 2026LaCy: What Small Language Models Can and Should Learn is Not Just a Question of Losscited by 0
- 2026AgentOpt v0.1 Technical Report: Client-Side Optimization for LLM-Based Agentcited by 0
- 2026Zero-Shot Confidence Estimation for Small LLMs: When Supervised Baselines Aren't Worth Trainingcited by 0
- 2026LatentRouter: Can We Choose the Right Multimodal Model Before Seeing Its Answer?cited by 0
- 2026FrankenReport: Early Exiting in Long-Form Generation Using Expected Value of Computationcited by 0
- 2026Auditing and Repairing LLM-as-Judge Failures in a Production Text-to-SQL Pipelinecited by 0
- 2026Auditing and Repairing LLM-as-Judge Failures in a Production Text-to-SQL Pipeline9 Sep 2026
- 2026FrankenReport: Early Exiting in Long-Form Generation Using Expected Value of Computation6 Sep 2026
- 2026A Systematic Evaluation of Black-Box Uncertainty Estimation Methods for Large Language Models18 Jun 2026
- 2026FlyRoute: Self-Evolving Agent Profiling via Data Flywheel for Adaptive Task Routing21 May 2026
- 2026LatentRouter: Can We Choose the Right Multimodal Model Before Seeing Its Answer?11 May 2026
- 2026Zero-Shot Confidence Estimation for Small LLMs: When Supervised Baselines Aren't Worth Training4 May 2026
- 2026Walking Through Uncertainty: An Empirical Study of Uncertainty Estimation for Audio-Aware Large Language Models28 Apr 2026
- 2026AgentOpt v0.1 Technical Report: Client-Side Optimization for LLM-Based Agent7 Apr 2026
- 2026Dynamic Model Routing and Cascading for Efficient LLM Inference: A Survey23 Feb 2026
- 2026LaCy: What Small Language Models Can and Should Learn is Not Just a Question of Loss12 Feb 2026
- 2026Towards Fair and Comprehensive Evaluation of Routers in Collaborative LLM Systems12 Feb 2026
- 2026When Routing Collapses: On the Degenerate Convergence of LLM Routers3 Feb 2026
9 more
- 2026Conditional Performance Guarantee for Large Reasoning Models30 Jan 2026
- 2026TCAndon-Router: Adaptive Reasoning Router for Multi-Agent Collaboration8 Jan 2026
- 2025Meta-Router: Bridging Gold-standard and Preference-based Evaluations in Large Language Model Routing29 Sep 2025
- 2025Breaking the Mirror: Activation-Based Mitigation of Self-Preference in LLM Evaluators3 Sep 2025
- 2025Balancing Information Accuracy and Response Timeliness in Networked LLMs4 Aug 2025
- 2025CoE-Ops: Collaboration of LLM-based Experts for AIOps Question-Answering25 Jul 2025
- 2025SpecRouter: Adaptive Routing for Multi-Level Speculative Decoding in Large Language Models12 May 2025
- 2025Harnessing Multiple Large Language Models: A Survey on LLM Ensemble25 Feb 2025
- 2025Early-Exit and Instant Confidence Translation Quality Estimation20 Feb 2025
- 2026Dynamic Model Routing and Cascading for Efficient LLM Inference: A Surveycited by 16
- 2025Early-Exit and Instant Confidence Translation Quality Estimationcited by 2
- 2025SpecRouter: Adaptive Routing for Multi-Level Speculative Decoding in Large Language Modelscited by 2
- 2026FrankenReport: Early Exiting in Long-Form Generation Using Expected Value of Computationcited by 0
- 2026FrankenReport: Early Exiting in Long-Form Generation Using Expected Value of Computation6 Sep 2026
- 2026Dynamic Model Routing and Cascading for Efficient LLM Inference: A Survey23 Feb 2026
- 2025SpecRouter: Adaptive Routing for Multi-Level Speculative Decoding in Large Language Models12 May 2025
- 2025Early-Exit and Instant Confidence Translation Quality Estimation20 Feb 2025
- 2025Harnessing Multiple Large Language Models: A Survey on LLM Ensemblecited by 86
- 2026When Routing Collapses: On the Degenerate Convergence of LLM Routerscited by 10
- 2026Walking Through Uncertainty: An Empirical Study of Uncertainty Estimation for Audio-Aware Large Language Modelscited by 4
- 2026TCAndon-Router: Adaptive Reasoning Router for Multi-Agent Collaborationcited by 3
- 2025Balancing Information Accuracy and Response Timeliness in Networked LLMscited by 2
- 2026Towards Fair and Comprehensive Evaluation of Routers in Collaborative LLM Systemscited by 2
- 2026A Systematic Evaluation of Black-Box Uncertainty Estimation Methods for Large Language Modelscited by 2
- 2025Meta-Router: Bridging Gold-standard and Preference-based Evaluations in Large Language Model Routingcited by 1
- 2026LaCy: What Small Language Models Can and Should Learn is Not Just a Question of Losscited by 0
- 2026Zero-Shot Confidence Estimation for Small LLMs: When Supervised Baselines Aren't Worth Trainingcited by 0
- 2026Auditing and Repairing LLM-as-Judge Failures in a Production Text-to-SQL Pipelinecited by 0
- 2026Auditing and Repairing LLM-as-Judge Failures in a Production Text-to-SQL Pipeline9 Sep 2026
- 2026A Systematic Evaluation of Black-Box Uncertainty Estimation Methods for Large Language Models18 Jun 2026
- 2026Zero-Shot Confidence Estimation for Small LLMs: When Supervised Baselines Aren't Worth Training4 May 2026
- 2026Walking Through Uncertainty: An Empirical Study of Uncertainty Estimation for Audio-Aware Large Language Models28 Apr 2026
- 2026LaCy: What Small Language Models Can and Should Learn is Not Just a Question of Loss12 Feb 2026
- 2026Towards Fair and Comprehensive Evaluation of Routers in Collaborative LLM Systems12 Feb 2026
- 2026When Routing Collapses: On the Degenerate Convergence of LLM Routers3 Feb 2026
- 2026TCAndon-Router: Adaptive Reasoning Router for Multi-Agent Collaboration8 Jan 2026
- 2025Meta-Router: Bridging Gold-standard and Preference-based Evaluations in Large Language Model Routing29 Sep 2025
- 2025Balancing Information Accuracy and Response Timeliness in Networked LLMs4 Aug 2025
- 2025Harnessing Multiple Large Language Models: A Survey on LLM Ensemble25 Feb 2025