Can large language models build causal graphs?
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Building causal graphs can be a laborious process. To ensure all relevant causal pathways have been captured, researchers often have to discuss with clinicians and experts while also reviewing extensive relevant medical literature. By encoding common and medical knowledge, large language models (LLMs) represent an opportunity to ease this process by automatically scoring edges (i.e., connections between two variables) in potential graphs. LLMs however have been shown to be brittle to the choice of probing words, context, and prompts that the user employs. In this work, we evaluate if LLMs can be a useful tool in complementing causal graph development.
Key facts. Cited by 73 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 24 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Mar 2023.
Builds on
9 of 24 references.
References · 9
- 2020Language Models are Few-Shot Learnerscited by 32,419
- 2022Large Language Models are Zero-Shot Reasonerscited by 4,374
- 2021Pre-train, Prompt, and Predict: A Systematic Survey of Prompting Methods in Natural Language Processingcited by 2,234
- 2019BioBERT: a pre-trained biomedical language representation model for biomedical text miningcited by 1,947
- 2022Can large language models reason about medical questions?cited by 194
- 2021Causal Inference in Natural Language Processing: Estimation, Prediction, Interpretation and Beyondcited by 178
- 2022Thinking about GPT-3 In-Context Learning for Biomedical IE? Think Againcited by 83
- 2021GPT-3 Models are Poor Few-Shot Learners in the Biomedical Domaincited by 36
- 2022Can Foundation Models Talk Causality?cited by 30
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 14; 2024: 24; 2025: 17; 2026: 18.
73 papers.
Sort:
By area:
- 2023Causal Reasoning and Large Language Models: Opening a New Frontier for Causalitycited by 353
- 2023Causal Discovery with Language Models as Imperfect Expertscited by 64
- 2023Integrating Large Language Model for Improved Causal Discoverycited by 54
- 2024Efficient Causal Graph Discovery Using Large Language Modelscited by 53
- 2023Prompt Engineering for Healthcare: Methodologies and Applicationscited by 52
- 2023Large Language Models are Temporal and Causal Reasoners for Video Question Answeringcited by 51
- 2023Causal Order: The Key to Leveraging Imperfect Experts in Causal Inferencecited by 48
- 2025Unveiling Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models: Reality or Mirage?cited by 38
- 2024Causal Inference with Large Language Model: A Surveycited by 32
- 2024ALCM: Autonomous LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery Frameworkcited by 29
- 2024Large Language Models and Causal Inference in Collaboration: A Surveycited by 26
- 2024Multi-Agent Causal Discovery Using Large Language Modelscited by 26
38 more
- 2024Large Language Models for Causal Discovery: Current Landscape and Future Directionscited by 25
- 2024Large Language Models are Effective Priors for Causal Graph Discoverycited by 24
- 2024Testing and Understanding Erroneous Planning in LLM Agents through Synthesized User Inputscited by 22
- 2023Causal Structure Learning Supervised by Large Language Modelcited by 21
- 2024Causal Evaluation of Language Modelscited by 18
- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Datacited by 18
- 2023From Text to Structure: Using Large Language Models to Support the Development of Legal Expert Systemscited by 17
- 2025Causally Reliable Concept Bottleneck Modelscited by 17
- 2024Causal Graph Discovery with Retrieval-Augmented Generation based Large Language Modelscited by 16
- 2025Auto-Discovery-Bench: Diagnosing Structured State Tracking in Oracle-Guided Discoverycited by 16
- 2024Large Language Models for Constrained-Based Causal Discoverycited by 15
- 2023GPT-Based Models Meet Simulation: How to Efficiently Use Large-Scale Pre-Trained Language Models Across Simulation Taskscited by 14
- 2024RealTCD: Temporal Causal Discovery from Interventional Data with Large Language Modelcited by 13
- 2024On the Reliability of Large Language Models for Causal Discoverycited by 12
- 2024CausalGraph2LLM: Evaluating LLMs for Causal Queriescited by 12
- 2025Can Large Language Models Help Experimental Design for Causal Discovery?cited by 11
- 2023LLM4Causal: Democratized Causal Tools for Everyone via Large Language Modelcited by 9
- 2025LLM Cannot Discover Causality, and Should Be Restricted to Non-Decisional Support in Causal Discoverycited by 8
- 2024Mining Causality: AI-Assisted Search for Instrumental Variablescited by 7
- 2024Prompting Strategies for Enabling Large Language Models to Infer Causation from Correlationcited by 7
- 2023Mitigating Prior Errors in Causal Structure Learning: A Resilient Approach via Bayesian Networkscited by 5
- 2023Causal discovery using dynamically requested knowledgecited by 5
- 2023An Explainable AI Approach to Large Language Model Assisted Causal Model Auditing and Developmentcited by 5
- 2024Simulating Policy Impacts: Developing a Generative Scenario Writing Method to Evaluate the Perceived Effects of Regulationcited by 5
- 2025Fairness-Driven LLM-based Causal Discovery with Active Learning and Dynamic Scoringcited by 5
- 2025Bayesian Network Structure Discovery Using Large Language Modelscited by 5
- 2023Towards CausalGPT: A Multi-Agent Approach for Faithful Knowledge Reasoning via Promoting Causal Consistency in LLMscited by 4
- 2025Realizing LLMs' Causal Potential Requires Science-Grounded, Novel Benchmarkscited by 4
- 2025How to Auto-optimize Prompts for Domain Tasks? Adaptive Prompting and Reasoning through Evolutionary Domain Knowledge Adaptationcited by 4
- 2025GraphLocator: Graph-guided Causal Reasoning for Issue Localizationcited by 4
- 2026CausaLab: A Scalable Environment for Interactive Causal Discovery Toward AI Scientistscited by 4
- 2024Foundation Model Sherpas: Guiding Foundation Models through Knowledge and Reasoningcited by 3
- 2024Scalability of Bayesian Network Structure Elicitation with Large Language Models: a Novel Methodology and Comparative Analysiscited by 3
- 2024CausalChat: Interactive Causal Model Development and Refinement Using Large Language Modelscited by 3
- 2025Uncovering Bias Paths with LLM-guided Causal Discovery: An Active Learning and Dynamic Scoring Approachcited by 3
- 2025Causal Graph based Event Reasoning using Semantic Relation Expertscited by 2
- 2025Causal MAS: A Survey of Large Language Model Architectures for Discovery and Effect Estimationcited by 2
- 2025IRIS: An Iterative and Integrated Framework for Verifiable Causal Discovery in the Absence of Tabular Datacited by 2
50 most cited of 73 All 73 (JSON)
- 2026Inferring Causal Relations between Two Sequences of Events with Language Models30 Sep 2026
- 2026Externalized CPDAG Summaries Improve LLM Causal Deduction25 Sep 2026
- 2026PRISM-BN: A Controlled Corpus and Benchmark for Text-to-Parameterized Bayesian Network Extraction18 Sep 2026
- 2026Active Causal Discovery Benchmark: Evaluating LLM Agents Under Budgeted Interventions16 Sep 2026
- 2026ABSOL: Aggregated Bayesian Subsampling Orchestrated with LLMs14 Sep 2026
- 2026Causal Discovery in the Era of Agents22 Jun 2026
- 2026From Prompts to Tokens: Internalizing Causal Supervision in Vision-Language Model for Multi-Image Causal Reasoning10 Jun 2026
- 2026Causal Ensemble Agent: Hierarchical Causal Discovery with LLM-guided Expert Reweighting9 Jun 2026
- 2026Consistency evaluation of benchmarks used for causal discovery1 Jun 2026
- 2026CausaLab: A Scalable Environment for Interactive Causal Discovery Toward AI Scientists25 May 2026
- 2026Enhancing Regime Shift Detection Using Unstructured Data: A Study on the Treasury Market17 May 2026
- 2026Eliciting associations between clinical variables from LLMs via comparison questions across populations7 May 2026
38 more
- 2026DAGverse: Building Document-Grounded Semantic DAGs from Scientific Papers26 Mar 2026
- 2026DMCD: Semantic-Statistical Framework for Causal Discovery23 Feb 2026
- 2026Linear-LLM-SCM: Benchmarking LLMs for Coefficient Elicitation in Linear-Gaussian Causal Models10 Feb 2026
- 2026IV Co-Scientist: Multi-Agent LLM Framework for Causal Instrumental Variable Discovery8 Feb 2026
- 2026Your Autoregressive Model Already Reveals the Causal Graph1 Feb 2026
- 2026Step-by-Step Causality: Transparent Causal Discovery with Multi-Agent Tree-Query and Adversarial Confidence Estimation15 Jan 2026
- 2025GraphLocator: Graph-guided Causal Reasoning for Issue Localization27 Dec 2025
- 2025CARE: Turning LLMs Into Causal Reasoning Expert20 Nov 2025
- 2025Bayesian Network Structure Discovery Using Large Language Models1 Nov 2025
- 2025How to Auto-optimize Prompts for Domain Tasks? Adaptive Prompting and Reasoning through Evolutionary Domain Knowledge Adaptation24 Oct 2025
- 2025Realizing LLMs' Causal Potential Requires Science-Grounded, Novel Benchmarks18 Oct 2025
- 2025IRIS: An Iterative and Integrated Framework for Verifiable Causal Discovery in the Absence of Tabular Data10 Oct 2025
- 2025Causal MAS: A Survey of Large Language Model Architectures for Discovery and Effect Estimation31 Aug 2025
- 2025Unveiling Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models: Reality or Mirage?26 Jun 2025
- 2025Sequential Causal Discovery with Noisy Language Model Priors19 Jun 2025
- 2025Uncovering Bias Paths with LLM-guided Causal Discovery: An Active Learning and Dynamic Scoring Approach13 Jun 2025
- 2025Causal Graph based Event Reasoning using Semantic Relation Experts7 Jun 2025
- 2025LLM Cannot Discover Causality, and Should Be Restricted to Non-Decisional Support in Causal Discovery1 Jun 2025
- 2025Accelerating Causal Network Discovery of Alzheimer Disease Biomarkers via Scientific Literature-based Retrieval Augmented Generation1 Apr 2025
- 2025Fairness-Driven LLM-based Causal Discovery with Active Learning and Dynamic Scoring21 Mar 2025
- 2025Causally Reliable Concept Bottleneck Models6 Mar 2025
- 2025Can Large Language Models Help Experimental Design for Causal Discovery?3 Mar 2025
- 2025Auto-Discovery-Bench: Diagnosing Structured State Tracking in Oracle-Guided Discovery21 Feb 2025
- 2024Retrieving Classes of Causal Orders with Inconsistent Knowledge Bases18 Dec 2024
- 2024Prompting Strategies for Enabling Large Language Models to Infer Causation from Correlation18 Dec 2024
- 2024Regularized Multi-LLMs Collaboration for Enhanced Score-based Causal Discovery27 Nov 2024
- 2024A Novel Approach to Eliminating Hallucinations in Large Language Model-Assisted Causal Discovery16 Nov 2024
- 2024CausalGraph2LLM: Evaluating LLMs for Causal Queries21 Oct 2024
- 2024CausalChat: Interactive Causal Model Development and Refinement Using Large Language Models18 Oct 2024
- 2024Mining Causality: AI-Assisted Search for Instrumental Variables21 Sep 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Large Language Model: A Survey15 Sep 2024
- 2024On the Reliability of Large Language Models for Causal Discovery29 Jul 2024
- 2024Multi-Agent Causal Discovery Using Large Language Models21 Jul 2024
- 2024Scalability of Bayesian Network Structure Elicitation with Large Language Models: a Novel Methodology and Comparative Analysis12 Jul 2024
- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Data9 Jul 2024
- 2024Large Language Models for Constrained-Based Causal Discovery11 Jun 2024
- 2024Large Language Models are Effective Priors for Causal Graph Discovery22 May 2024
- 2024Simulating Policy Impacts: Developing a Generative Scenario Writing Method to Evaluate the Perceived Effects of Regulation15 May 2024
50 newest of 73 All 73 (JSON)
- 2023Causal Reasoning and Large Language Models: Opening a New Frontier for Causalitycited by 353
- 2023Large Language Models are Temporal and Causal Reasoners for Video Question Answeringcited by 51
- 2025Unveiling Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models: Reality or Mirage?cited by 38
- 2024Causal Inference with Large Language Model: A Surveycited by 32
- 2024ALCM: Autonomous LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery Frameworkcited by 29
- 2024Causal Evaluation of Language Modelscited by 18
- 2024Prompting Strategies for Enabling Large Language Models to Infer Causation from Correlationcited by 7
- 2023Towards CausalGPT: A Multi-Agent Approach for Faithful Knowledge Reasoning via Promoting Causal Consistency in LLMscited by 4
- 2025How to Auto-optimize Prompts for Domain Tasks? Adaptive Prompting and Reasoning through Evolutionary Domain Knowledge Adaptationcited by 4
- 2025GraphLocator: Graph-guided Causal Reasoning for Issue Localizationcited by 4
- 2024Foundation Model Sherpas: Guiding Foundation Models through Knowledge and Reasoningcited by 3
- 2025Causal Graph based Event Reasoning using Semantic Relation Expertscited by 2
12 most cited of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2026From Prompts to Tokens: Internalizing Causal Supervision in Vision-Language Model for Multi-Image Causal Reasoning10 Jun 2026
- 2026Linear-LLM-SCM: Benchmarking LLMs for Coefficient Elicitation in Linear-Gaussian Causal Models10 Feb 2026
- 2025GraphLocator: Graph-guided Causal Reasoning for Issue Localization27 Dec 2025
- 2025CARE: Turning LLMs Into Causal Reasoning Expert20 Nov 2025
- 2025How to Auto-optimize Prompts for Domain Tasks? Adaptive Prompting and Reasoning through Evolutionary Domain Knowledge Adaptation24 Oct 2025
- 2025Unveiling Causal Reasoning in Large Language Models: Reality or Mirage?26 Jun 2025
- 2025Causal Graph based Event Reasoning using Semantic Relation Experts7 Jun 2025
- 2024Prompting Strategies for Enabling Large Language Models to Infer Causation from Correlation18 Dec 2024
- 2024Causal Inference with Large Language Model: A Survey15 Sep 2024
- 2024ALCM: Autonomous LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery Framework2 May 2024
- 2024Causal Evaluation of Language Models1 May 2024
- 2024Foundation Model Sherpas: Guiding Foundation Models through Knowledge and Reasoning2 Feb 2024
12 newest of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2024Multi-Agent Causal Discovery Using Large Language Modelscited by 26
- 2024Testing and Understanding Erroneous Planning in LLM Agents through Synthesized User Inputscited by 22
- 2023LLM4Causal: Democratized Causal Tools for Everyone via Large Language Modelcited by 9
- 2026CausaLab: A Scalable Environment for Interactive Causal Discovery Toward AI Scientistscited by 4
- 2025Causal MAS: A Survey of Large Language Model Architectures for Discovery and Effect Estimationcited by 2
- 2026IV Co-Scientist: Multi-Agent LLM Framework for Causal Instrumental Variable Discoverycited by 2
- 2026Causal Ensemble Agent: Hierarchical Causal Discovery with LLM-guided Expert Reweightingcited by 2
- 2026Step-by-Step Causality: Transparent Causal Discovery with Multi-Agent Tree-Query and Adversarial Confidence Estimationcited by 0
- 2026Causal Discovery in the Era of Agentscited by 0
- 2026Causal Discovery in the Era of Agents22 Jun 2026
- 2026Causal Ensemble Agent: Hierarchical Causal Discovery with LLM-guided Expert Reweighting9 Jun 2026
- 2026CausaLab: A Scalable Environment for Interactive Causal Discovery Toward AI Scientists25 May 2026
- 2026IV Co-Scientist: Multi-Agent LLM Framework for Causal Instrumental Variable Discovery8 Feb 2026
- 2026Step-by-Step Causality: Transparent Causal Discovery with Multi-Agent Tree-Query and Adversarial Confidence Estimation15 Jan 2026
- 2025Causal MAS: A Survey of Large Language Model Architectures for Discovery and Effect Estimation31 Aug 2025
- 2024Multi-Agent Causal Discovery Using Large Language Models21 Jul 2024
- 2024Testing and Understanding Erroneous Planning in LLM Agents through Synthesized User Inputs27 Apr 2024
- 2023LLM4Causal: Democratized Causal Tools for Everyone via Large Language Model28 Dec 2023
- 2023Causal Discovery with Language Models as Imperfect Expertscited by 64
- 2023Integrating Large Language Model for Improved Causal Discoverycited by 54
- 2024Efficient Causal Graph Discovery Using Large Language Modelscited by 53
- 2023Prompt Engineering for Healthcare: Methodologies and Applicationscited by 52
- 2023Causal Order: The Key to Leveraging Imperfect Experts in Causal Inferencecited by 48
- 2024Large Language Models and Causal Inference in Collaboration: A Surveycited by 26
- 2024Large Language Models for Causal Discovery: Current Landscape and Future Directionscited by 25
- 2024Large Language Models are Effective Priors for Causal Graph Discoverycited by 24
- 2023Causal Structure Learning Supervised by Large Language Modelcited by 21
- 2024End-To-End Causal Effect Estimation from Unstructured Natural Language Datacited by 18
- 2023From Text to Structure: Using Large Language Models to Support the Development of Legal Expert Systemscited by 17
- 2025Causally Reliable Concept Bottleneck Modelscited by 17
12 most cited of 47 All 47 (JSON)
- 2026Inferring Causal Relations between Two Sequences of Events with Language Models30 Sep 2026
- 2026Externalized CPDAG Summaries Improve LLM Causal Deduction25 Sep 2026
- 2026PRISM-BN: A Controlled Corpus and Benchmark for Text-to-Parameterized Bayesian Network Extraction18 Sep 2026
- 2026Active Causal Discovery Benchmark: Evaluating LLM Agents Under Budgeted Interventions16 Sep 2026
- 2026ABSOL: Aggregated Bayesian Subsampling Orchestrated with LLMs14 Sep 2026
- 2026Consistency evaluation of benchmarks used for causal discovery1 Jun 2026
- 2026Enhancing Regime Shift Detection Using Unstructured Data: A Study on the Treasury Market17 May 2026
- 2026Eliciting associations between clinical variables from LLMs via comparison questions across populations7 May 2026
- 2026DAGverse: Building Document-Grounded Semantic DAGs from Scientific Papers26 Mar 2026
- 2026DMCD: Semantic-Statistical Framework for Causal Discovery23 Feb 2026
- 2026Your Autoregressive Model Already Reveals the Causal Graph1 Feb 2026
- 2025Bayesian Network Structure Discovery Using Large Language Models1 Nov 2025
12 newest of 47 All 47 (JSON)