mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

PRISM-BN: A Controlled Corpus and Benchmark for Text-to-Parameterized Bayesian Network Extraction

arXiv 2609.21673 ↗First posted 18 Sep 2026cs.CLcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Probabilistic Graphical Models (PGMs), especially Bayesian Networks (BNs), expose directed structure and probabilistic parameters, making them natural symbolic targets for neurosymbolic AI. Yet training text-to-parameterized-BN systems requires paired text-to-BN resources unavailable at scale. We introduce PRISM-BN, a controlled corpus of 5054 BN-grounded descriptions paired with discrete reference BNs containing variables, states, directed edges, root priors, and full multi-parent CPDs across five domains. The instances are derived from 50 Wikipedia-seeded backbones, and their probabilities are internally constructed benchmark targets rather than externally validated causal estimates. PRISM-BN is built with PRISM, a marginal-first pipeline that elicits marginal and local joint distributions, analytically recovers normalized CPDs, and constructs locally reparameterized subgraphs. We define a benchmark with semantic node and state alignment, conditional structural scoring, and strict full-CPD evaluation. Across six LLM extractors, Node F1 ranges from 0.56 to 0.83, conditional Edge F1 from 0.90 to 0.97, and CPD-KL from 1.11 to 3.14. Conditional state and edge recovery remain consistently strong, whereas strict full-CPD agreement remains challenging. These trends persist with independently generated GPT-5.5 references, and a human pilot corroborates structural recoverability and similar probabilistic interpretations. PRISM-BN supports separate evaluation of structural recovery and probabilistic parameter estimation.

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References · 7

  1. 2019Neural Probabilistic Logic Programming in DeepProbLogcited by 394
  2. 2023Causal Reasoning and Large Language Models: Opening a New Frontier for Causalitycited by 353
  3. 2023Can large language models build causal graphs?cited by 73
  4. 2025Extracting Probabilistic Knowledge from Large Language Models for Bayesian Network Parameterizationcited by 15
  5. 2024QUITE: Quantifying Uncertainty in Natural Language Text in Bayesian Reasoning Scenarioscited by 9
  6. 2025Always Tell Me The Odds: Fine-grained Conditional Probability Estimationcited by 9
  7. 2025Bayesian Network Structure Discovery Using Large Language Modelscited by 5

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