Large Language Models for Causal Discovery: Current Landscape and Future Directions
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Abstract (arXiv)
Causal discovery (CD) and Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as transformative fields in artificial intelligence that have evolved largely independently. While CD specializes in uncovering cause-effect relationships from data, and LLMs excel at natural language processing and generation, their integration presents unique opportunities for advancing causal understanding. This survey examines how LLMs are transforming CD across three key dimensions: direct causal extraction from text, integration of domain knowledge into statistical methods, and refinement of causal structures. We systematically analyze approaches that leverage LLMs for CD tasks, highlighting their innovative use of metadata and natural language for causal inference. Our analysis reveals both LLMs' potential to enhance traditional CD methods and their current limitations as imperfect expert systems. We identify key research gaps, outline evaluation frameworks and benchmarks for LLM-based causal discovery, and advocate future research efforts for leveraging LLMs in causality research. As the first comprehensive examination of the synergy between LLMs and CD, this work lays the groundwork for future advances in the field.
Key facts. Cited by 25 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Feb 2024.
Builds on
17 of 48 references.
References · 17
- 2022Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 12,459
- 2022Survey of Hallucination in Natural Language Generationcited by 2,075
- 2019Language Models as Knowledge Bases?cited by 1,936
- 2018DAGs with NO TEARS: Continuous Optimization for Structure Learningcited by 752
- 2023Causal Reasoning and Large Language Models: Opening a New Frontier for Causalitycited by 353
- 2023Causal Parrots: Large Language Models May Talk Causality But Are Not Causalcited by 150
- 2023Can Large Language Models Infer Causation from Correlation?cited by 146
- 2023CLadder: Assessing Causal Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 107
- 2023Can large language models build causal graphs?cited by 73
- 2016Structure Learning in Graphical Modelingcited by 66
- 2023Causal Discovery with Language Models as Imperfect Expertscited by 64
- 2024Efficient Causal Graph Discovery Using Large Language Modelscited by 53
5 more
- 2023Causal-Discovery Performance of ChatGPT in the context of Neuropathic Pain Diagnosiscited by 36
- 2023Causal Structure Learning Supervised by Large Language Modelcited by 21
- 2024Discovering and Reasoning of Causality in the Hidden World with Large Language Modelscited by 10
- 2023Task-Driven Causal Feature Distillation: Towards Trustworthy Risk Predictioncited by 9
- 2023LLM4Causal: Democratized Causal Tools for Everyone via Large Language Modelcited by 9
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 6; 2025: 4; 2026: 15.
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- 2024Multi-Agent Causal Discovery Using Large Language Modelscited by 26
- 2024Sora Detector: A Unified Hallucination Detection for Large Text-to-Video Modelscited by 17
- 2024CausalEval: Towards Better Causal Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 13
- 2025Disparities in LLM Reasoning Accuracy and Explanations: A Case Study on African American Englishcited by 8
- 2024Mining Causality: AI-Assisted Search for Instrumental Variablescited by 7
- 2024LLM4GRN: Discovering Causal Gene Regulatory Networks with LLMs -- Evaluation through Synthetic Data Generationcited by 7
- 2025Can Large Language Models Infer Causal Relationships from Real-World Text?cited by 4
- 2025Causal Reasoning in Pieces: Modular In-Context Learning for Causal Discoverycited by 3
- 2026Think Locally, Explain Globally: Graph-Guided LLM Investigations via Local Reasoning and Belief Propagationcited by 3
- 2026Epistemic Regret Minimization: Label-Free Causal Critique Beyond Outcome Rewardcited by 2
- 2024Unified Causality Analysis Based on the Degrees of Freedomcited by 1
- 2025Causal Reflection with Language Modelscited by 1
13 more
- 2026Benchmarking LLMs for Pairwise Causal Discovery in Biomedical and Multi-Domain Contextscited by 1
- 2026Leveraging Large Language Models for Causal Discovery: a Constraint-based, Argumentation-driven Approachcited by 1
- 2026KG-SoftMAP: Soft Knowledge-Graph Priors for Bayesian Network Structure Learning from Sparse Discrete Datacited by 1
- 2026DMCD: Semantic-Statistical Framework for Causal Discoverycited by 0
- 2026Eliciting associations between clinical variables from LLMs via comparison questions across populationscited by 0
- 2026Evaluating Bivariate Causal Statements Based on Mutual Compatibilitycited by 0
- 2026From Prompts to Tokens: Internalizing Causal Supervision in Vision-Language Model for Multi-Image Causal Reasoningcited by 0
- 2026KRCA: An Efficient Root Cause Analysis System in Hyper-scale Microservice Systems via Agentic AIcited by 0
- 2026Integrating Background Knowledge for Scalable Causal Discoverycited by 0
- 2026LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery: Probabilistic Fusion of Edge Existence and Orientationcited by 0
- 2026LEBGen: An LLM-Enhanced Bayesian Network Framework for Few-Shot Travel Survey Data Generationcited by 0
- 2026CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Eracited by 0
- 2026Contextual Causality with Large Language Models: A Surveycited by 0
- 2026Contextual Causality with Large Language Models: A Survey18 Sep 2026
- 2026CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era10 Sep 2026
- 2026LEBGen: An LLM-Enhanced Bayesian Network Framework for Few-Shot Travel Survey Data Generation8 Sep 2026
- 2026LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery: Probabilistic Fusion of Edge Existence and Orientation19 Aug 2026
- 2026Integrating Background Knowledge for Scalable Causal Discovery11 Jul 2026
- 2026KRCA: An Efficient Root Cause Analysis System in Hyper-scale Microservice Systems via Agentic AI2 Jul 2026
- 2026From Prompts to Tokens: Internalizing Causal Supervision in Vision-Language Model for Multi-Image Causal Reasoning10 Jun 2026
- 2026KG-SoftMAP: Soft Knowledge-Graph Priors for Bayesian Network Structure Learning from Sparse Discrete Data9 Jun 2026
- 2026Evaluating Bivariate Causal Statements Based on Mutual Compatibility29 May 2026
- 2026Eliciting associations between clinical variables from LLMs via comparison questions across populations7 May 2026
- 2026DMCD: Semantic-Statistical Framework for Causal Discovery23 Feb 2026
- 2026Leveraging Large Language Models for Causal Discovery: a Constraint-based, Argumentation-driven Approach18 Feb 2026
13 more
- 2026Epistemic Regret Minimization: Label-Free Causal Critique Beyond Outcome Reward12 Feb 2026
- 2026Think Locally, Explain Globally: Graph-Guided LLM Investigations via Local Reasoning and Belief Propagation25 Jan 2026
- 2026Benchmarking LLMs for Pairwise Causal Discovery in Biomedical and Multi-Domain Contexts21 Jan 2026
- 2025Causal Reflection with Language Models6 Aug 2025
- 2025Causal Reasoning in Pieces: Modular In-Context Learning for Causal Discovery31 Jul 2025
- 2025Can Large Language Models Infer Causal Relationships from Real-World Text?25 May 2025
- 2025Disparities in LLM Reasoning Accuracy and Explanations: A Case Study on African American English6 Mar 2025
- 2024Unified Causality Analysis Based on the Degrees of Freedom25 Oct 2024
- 2024CausalEval: Towards Better Causal Reasoning in Language Models22 Oct 2024
- 2024LLM4GRN: Discovering Causal Gene Regulatory Networks with LLMs -- Evaluation through Synthetic Data Generation21 Oct 2024
- 2024Mining Causality: AI-Assisted Search for Instrumental Variables21 Sep 2024
- 2024Multi-Agent Causal Discovery Using Large Language Models21 Jul 2024
- 2024Sora Detector: A Unified Hallucination Detection for Large Text-to-Video Models7 May 2024
- 2024CausalEval: Towards Better Causal Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 13
- 2025Disparities in LLM Reasoning Accuracy and Explanations: A Case Study on African American Englishcited by 8
- 2025Causal Reasoning in Pieces: Modular In-Context Learning for Causal Discoverycited by 3
- 2026Think Locally, Explain Globally: Graph-Guided LLM Investigations via Local Reasoning and Belief Propagationcited by 3
- 2026Epistemic Regret Minimization: Label-Free Causal Critique Beyond Outcome Rewardcited by 2
- 2025Causal Reflection with Language Modelscited by 1
- 2026From Prompts to Tokens: Internalizing Causal Supervision in Vision-Language Model for Multi-Image Causal Reasoningcited by 0
- 2026CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Eracited by 0
- 2026CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era10 Sep 2026
- 2026From Prompts to Tokens: Internalizing Causal Supervision in Vision-Language Model for Multi-Image Causal Reasoning10 Jun 2026
- 2026Epistemic Regret Minimization: Label-Free Causal Critique Beyond Outcome Reward12 Feb 2026
- 2026Think Locally, Explain Globally: Graph-Guided LLM Investigations via Local Reasoning and Belief Propagation25 Jan 2026
- 2025Causal Reflection with Language Models6 Aug 2025
- 2025Causal Reasoning in Pieces: Modular In-Context Learning for Causal Discovery31 Jul 2025
- 2025Disparities in LLM Reasoning Accuracy and Explanations: A Case Study on African American English6 Mar 2025
- 2024CausalEval: Towards Better Causal Reasoning in Language Models22 Oct 2024
- 2024Sora Detector: A Unified Hallucination Detection for Large Text-to-Video Modelscited by 17
- 2024Mining Causality: AI-Assisted Search for Instrumental Variablescited by 7
- 2025Can Large Language Models Infer Causal Relationships from Real-World Text?cited by 4
- 2024Unified Causality Analysis Based on the Degrees of Freedomcited by 1
- 2026Benchmarking LLMs for Pairwise Causal Discovery in Biomedical and Multi-Domain Contextscited by 1
- 2026Leveraging Large Language Models for Causal Discovery: a Constraint-based, Argumentation-driven Approachcited by 1
- 2026KG-SoftMAP: Soft Knowledge-Graph Priors for Bayesian Network Structure Learning from Sparse Discrete Datacited by 1
- 2026DMCD: Semantic-Statistical Framework for Causal Discoverycited by 0
- 2026Eliciting associations between clinical variables from LLMs via comparison questions across populationscited by 0
- 2026Evaluating Bivariate Causal Statements Based on Mutual Compatibilitycited by 0
- 2026Integrating Background Knowledge for Scalable Causal Discoverycited by 0
- 2026LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery: Probabilistic Fusion of Edge Existence and Orientationcited by 0
12 most cited of 14 All 14 (JSON)
- 2026Contextual Causality with Large Language Models: A Survey18 Sep 2026
- 2026LEBGen: An LLM-Enhanced Bayesian Network Framework for Few-Shot Travel Survey Data Generation8 Sep 2026
- 2026LLM-Augmented Causal Discovery: Probabilistic Fusion of Edge Existence and Orientation19 Aug 2026
- 2026Integrating Background Knowledge for Scalable Causal Discovery11 Jul 2026
- 2026KG-SoftMAP: Soft Knowledge-Graph Priors for Bayesian Network Structure Learning from Sparse Discrete Data9 Jun 2026
- 2026Evaluating Bivariate Causal Statements Based on Mutual Compatibility29 May 2026
- 2026Eliciting associations between clinical variables from LLMs via comparison questions across populations7 May 2026
- 2026DMCD: Semantic-Statistical Framework for Causal Discovery23 Feb 2026
- 2026Leveraging Large Language Models for Causal Discovery: a Constraint-based, Argumentation-driven Approach18 Feb 2026
- 2026Benchmarking LLMs for Pairwise Causal Discovery in Biomedical and Multi-Domain Contexts21 Jan 2026
- 2025Can Large Language Models Infer Causal Relationships from Real-World Text?25 May 2025
- 2024Unified Causality Analysis Based on the Degrees of Freedom25 Oct 2024
12 newest of 14 All 14 (JSON)