How catastrophic can catastrophic forgetting be in linear regression?
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
To better understand catastrophic forgetting, we study fitting an overparameterized linear model to a sequence of tasks with different input distributions. We analyze how much the model forgets the true labels of earlier tasks after training on subsequent tasks, obtaining exact expressions and bounds. We establish connections between continual learning in the linear setting and two other research areas: alternating projections and the Kaczmarz method. In specific settings, we highlight differences between forgetting and convergence to the offline solution as studied in those areas. In particular, when T tasks in d dimensions are presented cyclically for k iterations, we prove an upper bound of T^2 * min{1/sqrt(k), d/k} on the forgetting. This stands in contrast to the convergence to the offline solution, which can be arbitrarily slow according to existing alternating projection results. We further show that the T^2 factor can be lifted when tasks are presented in a random ordering.
Key facts. Cited by 80 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 35 of its 83 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 19 May 2022.
Builds on
35 of 83 references.
References · 35
- 2016Overcoming catastrophic forgetting in neural networkscited by 4,718
- 2016Learning without Forgettingcited by 2,465
- 2017Gradient Episodic Memory for Continual Learningcited by 1,871
- 2018Continual Lifelong Learning with Neural Networks: A Reviewcited by 1,313
- 2017Continual Learning with Deep Generative Replaycited by 1,152
- 2017Memory Aware Synapses: Learning what (not) to forgetcited by 1,094
- 2017PackNet: Adding Multiple Tasks to a Single Network by Iterative Pruningcited by 882
- 2013An Empirical Investigation of Catastrophic Forgetting in Gradient-Based Neural Networkscited by 711
- 2017Lifelong Learning with Dynamically Expandable Networkscited by 689
- 2016Expert Gate: Lifelong Learning with a Network of Expertscited by 369
- 2019Orthogonal Gradient Descent for Continual Learningcited by 361
- 2017Variational Continual Learningcited by 335
23 more
- 2017Three Factors Influencing Minima in SGDcited by 270
- 2018Characterizing Implicit Bias in Terms of Optimization Geometrycited by 259
- 2020Understanding the Role of Training Regimes in Continual Learningcited by 177
- 2020Anatomy of Catastrophic Forgetting: Hidden Representations and Task Semanticscited by 158
- 2016Katyusha: The First Direct Acceleration of Stochastic Gradient Methodscited by 134
- 2013Stochastic Gradient Descent, Weighted Sampling, and the Randomized Kaczmarz algorithmcited by 132
- 2019A continual learning survey: Defying forgetting in classification taskscited by 118
- 2020A Theoretical Analysis of Catastrophic Forgetting through the NTK Overlap Matrixcited by 99
- 2020Optimal Continual Learning has Perfect Memory and is NP-hardcited by 86
- 2021Continual Learning in the Teacher-Student Setup: Impact of Task Similaritycited by 86
- 2020Generalisation Guarantees for Continual Learning with Orthogonal Gradient Descentcited by 68
- 2021Wide Neural Networks Forget Less Catastrophicallycited by 64
- 2021Recent Advances of Continual Learning in Computer Vision: An Overviewcited by 55
- 2021Powerpropagation: A sparsity inducing weight reparameterisationcited by 49
- 2016Tight Complexity Bounds for Optimizing Composite Objectivescited by 47
- 2021Last iterate convergence of SGD for Least-Squares in the Interpolation regimecited by 41
- 2020Task Agnostic Continual Learning Using Online Variational Bayes with Fixed-Point Updatescited by 34
- 2018Theory of Curriculum Learning, with Convex Loss Functionscited by 33
- 2021Statistical Mechanical Analysis of Catastrophic Forgetting in Continual Learning with Teacher and Student Networkscited by 22
- 2021How do Quadratic Regularizers Prevent Catastrophic Forgetting: The Role of Interpolationcited by 19
- 2020Stochastic Frank-Wolfe for Constrained Finite-Sum Minimizationcited by 14
- 2016Worst-case Complexity of Cyclic Coordinate Descent: O(n2) Gap with Randomized Versioncited by 6
- 2019Accelerated Sampling Kaczmarz Motzkin Algorithm for The Linear Feasibility Problemcited by 2
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2022: 3; 2023: 10; 2024: 18; 2025: 23; 2026: 26.
80 papers.
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- 2023Theory on Forgetting and Generalization of Continual Learningcited by 69
- 2024Theory on Mixture-of-Experts in Continual Learningcited by 50
- 2023The Ideal Continual Learner: An Agent That Never Forgetscited by 34
- 2023The Tunnel Effect: Building Data Representations in Deep Neural Networkscited by 34
- 2024A Statistical Theory of Regularization-Based Continual Learningcited by 32
- 2023Continual Learning in Linear Classification on Separable Datacited by 31
- 2022Analysis of Catastrophic Forgetting for Random Orthogonal Transformation Tasks in the Overparameterized Regimecited by 28
- 2024The Joint Effect of Task Similarity and Overparameterization on Catastrophic Forgetting -- An Analytical Modelcited by 26
- 2024Understanding Forgetting in Continual Learning with Linear Regressioncited by 26
- 2023Fixed Design Analysis of Regularization-Based Continual Learningcited by 24
- 2024Fine-tuning Reinforcement Learning Models is Secretly a Forgetting Mitigation Problemcited by 23
- 2022Challenging Common Assumptions about Catastrophic Forgettingcited by 20
38 more
- 2024Disentangling and Mitigating the Impact of Task Similarity for Continual Learningcited by 19
- 2025Continual Multimodal Contrastive Learningcited by 19
- 2025Optimal Task Order for Continual Learning of Multiple Taskscited by 14
- 2024Provable Contrastive Continual Learningcited by 13
- 2024Order parameters and phase transitions of continual learning in deep neural networkscited by 13
- 2024Theoretical Insights into Overparameterized Models in Multi-Task and Replay-Based Continual Learningcited by 11
- 2024Last Iterate Convergence of Incremental Methods and Applications in Continual Learningcited by 10
- 2025From Continual Learning to SGD and Back: Better Rates for Continual Linear Modelscited by 10
- 2025Fast Last-Iterate Convergence of SGD in the Smooth Interpolation Regimecited by 10
- 2023Inductive biases of multi-task learning and finetuning: multiple regimes of feature reusecited by 9
- 2024What Will My Model Forget? Forecasting Forgotten Examples in Language Model Refinementcited by 9
- 2023Towards Anytime Fine-tuning: Continually Pre-trained Language Models with Hypernetwork Promptcited by 8
- 2024Demystifying Language Model Forgetting with Low-rank Example Associationscited by 8
- 2024LoRanPAC: Low-rank Random Features and Pre-trained Models for Bridging Theory and Practice in Continual Learningcited by 8
- 2024Continual Memorization of Factoids in Language Modelscited by 8
- 2025Unlocking the Power of Rehearsal in Continual Learning: A Theoretical Perspectivecited by 8
- 2025Optimal Rates in Continual Linear Regression via Increasing Regularizationcited by 8
- 2026Why Larger Models Learn More: Effects of Capacity, Interference, and Rare-Task Retentioncited by 8
- 2023On the Disconnect Between Theory and Practice of Neural Networks: Limits of the NTK Perspectivecited by 6
- 2025The Importance of Being Lazy: Scaling Limits of Continual Learningcited by 6
- 2023Advancing continual lifelong learning in neural information retrieval: definition, dataset, framework, and empirical evaluationcited by 5
- 2024Theory of Mixture-of-Experts for Mobile Edge Computingcited by 5
- 2025Measuring Representational Shifts in Continual Learning: A Linear Transformation Perspectivecited by 5
- 2025H2ST: Hierarchical Two-Sample Tests for Continual Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 4
- 2025Memory-Statistics Tradeoff in Continual Learning with Structural Regularizationcited by 4
- 2025Replay Can Provably Increase Forgettingcited by 4
- 2025Continual Hyperbolic Learning of Instances and Classescited by 4
- 2024Data-dependent and Oracle Bounds on Forgetting in Continual Learningcited by 3
- 2025Global Convergence of Continual Learning on Non-IID Datacited by 3
- 2025A statistical physics framework for optimal learningcited by 3
- 2026Putting a Face to Forgetting: Continual Learning meets Mechanistic Interpretabilitycited by 3
- 2025Information-Theoretic Generalization Bounds of Replay-based Continual Learningcited by 2
- 2025On the Theory of Continual Learning with Gradient Descent for Neural Networkscited by 2
- 2025Infinite-Dimensional Operator/Block Kaczmarz Algorithms: Regret Bounds and λ-Effectivenesscited by 2
- 2025Data Heterogeneity and Forgotten Labels in Split Federated Learningcited by 2
- 2026Last-Iterate Convergence of Randomized Kaczmarz and SGD with Greedy Step Sizecited by 2
- 2022Continual Learning with Distributed Optimization: Does CoCoA Forget?cited by 1
- 2024Effectiveness of Distributed Gradient Descent with Local Steps for Overparameterized Modelscited by 1
50 most cited of 80 All 80 (JSON)
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- 2026When Can First-Order Models of Fine-Tuning Bound Forgetting?26 Sep 2026
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- 2026Fine-Tuning Without Forgetting via Loss-Adaptive Learning Rates19 May 2026
- 2026PMF-CL: Pareto-Minimal-Forgetting Continual Learner for Conflicting Tasks18 May 2026
- 2026Understanding Imbalanced Forgetting in Rehearsal-Based Class-Incremental Learning14 May 2026
- 2026Implicit Target Shift in Online Learning: Characterization and Correction8 May 2026
- 2026Recovery Guarantees for Continual Learning of Dependent Tasks: Memory, Data-Dependent Regularization, and Data-Dependent Weights19 Apr 2026
- 2026From Order to Distribution: An Exact Operator Framework for Forgetting in Continual Learning15 Apr 2026
- 2026Last-Iterate Convergence of Randomized Kaczmarz and SGD with Greedy Step Size10 Apr 2026
- 2026Exploring the Impact of Parameter Update Magnitude on Forgetting and Generalization of Continual Learning24 Feb 2026
- 2026Understanding the Role of Rehearsal Scale in Continual Learning under Varying Model Capacities24 Feb 2026
- 2026Continual Learning for non-stationary regression via Memory-Efficient Replay10 Feb 2026
- 2026Provable Effects of Data Replay in Continual Learning: A Feature Learning Perspective2 Feb 2026
- 2026Putting a Face to Forgetting: Continual Learning meets Mechanistic Interpretability29 Jan 2026
- 2025Data Heterogeneity and Forgotten Labels in Split Federated Learning12 Nov 2025
- 2025Infinite-Dimensional Operator/Block Kaczmarz Algorithms: Regret Bounds and λ-Effectiveness10 Nov 2025
- 2025The Unreasonable Effectiveness of Randomized Representations in Online Continual Graph Learning8 Oct 2025
- 2025On the Theory of Continual Learning with Gradient Descent for Neural Networks7 Oct 2025
- 2025High-dimensional Asymptotics of Generalization Performance in Continual Ridge Regression21 Aug 2025
- 2025Information-Theoretic Generalization Bounds of Replay-based Continual Learning16 Jul 2025
- 2025Fast Last-Iterate Convergence of SGD in the Smooth Interpolation Regime15 Jul 2025
- 2025A statistical physics framework for optimal learning10 Jul 2025
- 2025The Importance of Being Lazy: Scaling Limits of Continual Learning20 Jun 2025
- 2025Continual Hyperbolic Learning of Instances and Classes12 Jun 2025
- 2025Optimal Rates in Continual Linear Regression via Increasing Regularization6 Jun 2025
- 2025Replay Can Provably Increase Forgetting4 Jun 2025
- 2025Unlocking the Power of Rehearsal in Continual Learning: A Theoretical Perspective30 May 2025
- 2025Measuring Representational Shifts in Continual Learning: A Linear Transformation Perspective27 May 2025
- 2025Mathematics of Continual Learning24 Apr 2025
- 2025Enhancing knowledge retention for continual learning with domain-specific adapters and features gating11 Apr 2025
- 2025From Continual Learning to SGD and Back: Better Rates for Continual Linear Models6 Apr 2025
- 2025Memory-Statistics Tradeoff in Continual Learning with Structural Regularization5 Apr 2025
- 2025Global Convergence of Continual Learning on Non-IID Data24 Mar 2025
- 2025Continual Multimodal Contrastive Learning19 Mar 2025
- 2025H2ST: Hierarchical Two-Sample Tests for Continual Out-of-Distribution Detection19 Mar 2025
- 2025Sample Compression for Self Certified Continual Learning13 Mar 2025
- 2025Optimal Task Order for Continual Learning of Multiple Tasks5 Feb 2025
- 2024Algorithm Design for Continual Learning in IoT Networks22 Dec 2024
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- 2024Theory on Mixture-of-Experts in Continual Learningcited by 50
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- 2024Theory on Mixture-of-Experts in Continual Learning24 Jun 2024
- 2023Theory on Forgetting and Generalization of Continual Learningcited by 69
- 2023The Ideal Continual Learner: An Agent That Never Forgetscited by 34
- 2023The Tunnel Effect: Building Data Representations in Deep Neural Networkscited by 34
- 2024A Statistical Theory of Regularization-Based Continual Learningcited by 32
- 2023Continual Learning in Linear Classification on Separable Datacited by 31
- 2022Analysis of Catastrophic Forgetting for Random Orthogonal Transformation Tasks in the Overparameterized Regimecited by 28
- 2024The Joint Effect of Task Similarity and Overparameterization on Catastrophic Forgetting -- An Analytical Modelcited by 26
- 2024Understanding Forgetting in Continual Learning with Linear Regressioncited by 26
- 2023Fixed Design Analysis of Regularization-Based Continual Learningcited by 24
- 2024Fine-tuning Reinforcement Learning Models is Secretly a Forgetting Mitigation Problemcited by 23
- 2022Challenging Common Assumptions about Catastrophic Forgettingcited by 20
- 2024Disentangling and Mitigating the Impact of Task Similarity for Continual Learningcited by 19
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- 2026Neural Succession: A Mesoscopic Theory of Invasion, Coexistence, and Stabilization in Continual Learning28 Sep 2026
- 2026When Can First-Order Models of Fine-Tuning Bound Forgetting?26 Sep 2026
- 2026Meta-learning accelerates detector design optimization22 Sep 2026
- 2026The Sequential Price of Continual Learning30 Aug 2026
- 2026The Free-Recipe Limit: Every Recipe Effect Measures Which Premise of an Idealised Learner Broke9 Aug 2026
- 2026Optimal Training-Time Scaling in Gradual Adaptation5 Aug 2026
- 2026Interference and Retention in Continual Learning10 Jul 2026
- 2026Convergence of Continual Learning in Homogeneous Deep Networks29 Jun 2026
- 2026A Geometric View of SRC: Learning Representations for Stable Residual Inference28 May 2026
- 2026Why Larger Models Learn More: Effects of Capacity, Interference, and Rare-Task Retention28 May 2026
- 2026Understanding Generalization and Forgetting in In-Context Continual Learning27 May 2026
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