Personalized Trajectory Prediction via Distribution Discrimination
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Abstract (arXiv)
Trajectory prediction is confronted with the dilemma to capture the multi-modal nature of future dynamics with both diversity and accuracy. In this paper, we present a distribution discrimination (DisDis) method to predict personalized motion patterns by distinguishing the potential distributions. Motivated by that the motion pattern of each person is personalized due to his/her habit, our DisDis learns the latent distribution to represent different motion patterns and optimize it by the contrastive discrimination. This distribution discrimination encourages latent distributions to be more discriminative. Our method can be integrated with existing multi-modal stochastic predictive models as a plug-and-play module to learn the more discriminative latent distribution. To evaluate the latent distribution, we further propose a new metric, probability cumulative minimum distance (PCMD) curve, which cumulatively calculates the minimum distance on the sorted probabilities. Experimental results on the ETH and UCY datasets show the effectiveness of our method.
Key facts. Cited by 30 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 24 of its 48 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Jul 2021.
Builds on
24 of 48 references.
References · 24
- 2018Representation Learning with Contrastive Predictive Codingcited by 7,662
- 2019Momentum Contrast for Unsupervised Visual Representation Learningcited by 7,482
- 2018Unsupervised Feature Learning via Non-Parametric Instance-level Discriminationcited by 1,838
- 2019Contrastive Multiview Codingcited by 1,297
- 2018Social GAN: Socially Acceptable Trajectories with Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 687
- 2019Learning Discriminative Model Prediction for Trackingcited by 344
- 2020Social-STGCNN: A Social Spatio-Temporal Graph Convolutional Neural Network for Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 324
- 2017DESIRE: Distant Future Prediction in Dynamic Scenes with Interacting Agentscited by 310
- 2018SoPhie: An Attentive GAN for Predicting Paths Compliant to Social and Physical Constraintscited by 296
- 2020It Is Not the Journey but the Destination: Endpoint Conditioned Trajectory Predictioncited by 235
- 2019Human Motion Trajectory Prediction: A Surveycited by 231
- 2019Social-BiGAT: Multimodal Trajectory Forecasting using Bicycle-GAN and Graph Attention Networkscited by 228
12 more
- 2020Spatio-Temporal Graph Transformer Networks for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 218
- 2017Social Attention: Modeling Attention in Human Crowdscited by 185
- 2019Multiple Futures Predictioncited by 178
- 2016Variational Lossy Autoencodercited by 175
- 2018Crowd-Robot Interaction: Crowd-aware Robot Navigation with Attention-based Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 162
- 2019Multi-Agent Tensor Fusion for Contextual Trajectory Predictioncited by 131
- 2019Peeking into the Future: Predicting Future Person Activities and Locations in Videoscited by 112
- 2019SR-LSTM: State Refinement for LSTM towards Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 111
- 2020TPNet: Trajectory Proposal Network for Motion Predictioncited by 80
- 2020Recursive Social Behavior Graph for Trajectory Predictioncited by 66
- 2017Soft + Hardwired Attention: An LSTM Framework for Human Trajectory Prediction and Abnormal Event Detectioncited by 42
- 2020Reciprocal Learning Networks for Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 30
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 6; 2023: 11; 2024: 9; 2025: 2; 2026: 2.
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- 2022Stochastic Trajectory Prediction via Motion Indeterminacy Diffusioncited by 184
- 2022Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNNcited by 51
- 2022Learning Pedestrian Group Representations for Multi-modal Trajectory Predictioncited by 44
- 2023EigenTrajectory: Low-Rank Descriptors for Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecastingcited by 41
- 2024SingularTrajectory: Universal Trajectory Predictor Using Diffusion Modelcited by 35
- 2023FEND: A Future Enhanced Distribution-Aware Contrastive Learning Framework for Long-tail Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2024Can Language Beat Numerical Regression? Language-Based Multimodal Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2023DICE: Diverse Diffusion Model with Scoring for Trajectory Predictioncited by 18
- 2023Unsupervised Sampling Promoting for Stochastic Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 17
- 2022STGlow: A Flow-based Generative Framework with Dual Graphormer for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 13
- 2023Uncertainty-Aware Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Distributional Diffusioncited by 13
- 2024Social Physics Informed Diffusion Model for Crowd Simulationcited by 11
18 more
- 2024Intention-aware Denoising Diffusion Model for Trajectory Predictioncited by 11
- 2023Vision-based Multi-future Trajectory Prediction: A Surveycited by 8
- 2023TrajPAC: Towards Robustness Verification of Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Modelscited by 8
- 2023ForceFormer: Exploring Social Force and Transformer for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 7
- 2025Continuous Locomotive Crowd Behavior Generationcited by 7
- 2024Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction with Difficulty-Guided Feature Enhancement Networkcited by 6
- 2024SocialCircle+: Learning the Angle-based Conditioned Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 6
- 2024Resonance: Learning to Predict Social-Aware Pedestrian Trajectories as Co-Vibrationscited by 5
- 2023XVTP3D: Cross-view Trajectory Prediction Using Shared 3D Queries for Autonomous Drivingcited by 4
- 2023Sparse Pedestrian Character Learning for Trajectory Predictioncited by 3
- 2024G2LTraj: A Global-to-Local Generation Approach for Trajectory Predictioncited by 3
- 2024Heterogeneous Interaction Modeling With Reduced Accumulated Error for Multi-Agent Trajectory Predictioncited by 3
- 2022Rethinking Trajectory Prediction via "Team Game"cited by 1
- 2022Learning a Pedestrian Social Behavior Dictionarycited by 1
- 2023EANet: Expert Attention Network for Online Trajectory Predictioncited by 1
- 2025A Spatio-temporal Graph Network Allowing Incomplete Trajectory Input for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 0
- 2026Schr"odinger's Cat: Probabilistic Representation and Prediction of Potential Scene Kinematicscited by 0
- 2026PRISM: Predictive Representation of Interaction Style and Motion for Social Robot Navigationcited by 0
- 2026PRISM: Predictive Representation of Interaction Style and Motion for Social Robot Navigation16 Sep 2026
- 2026Schr"odinger's Cat: Probabilistic Representation and Prediction of Potential Scene Kinematics28 Jul 2026
- 2025Continuous Locomotive Crowd Behavior Generation7 Apr 2025
- 2025A Spatio-temporal Graph Network Allowing Incomplete Trajectory Input for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction22 Jan 2025
- 2024Resonance: Learning to Predict Social-Aware Pedestrian Trajectories as Co-Vibrations3 Dec 2024
- 2024Heterogeneous Interaction Modeling With Reduced Accumulated Error for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction28 Oct 2024
- 2024SocialCircle+: Learning the Angle-based Conditioned Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction23 Sep 2024
- 2024Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction with Difficulty-Guided Feature Enhancement Network26 Jul 2024
- 2024G2LTraj: A Global-to-Local Generation Approach for Trajectory Prediction30 Apr 2024
- 2024SingularTrajectory: Universal Trajectory Predictor Using Diffusion Model27 Mar 2024
- 2024Can Language Beat Numerical Regression? Language-Based Multimodal Trajectory Prediction27 Mar 2024
- 2024Intention-aware Denoising Diffusion Model for Trajectory Prediction14 Mar 2024
18 more
- 2024Social Physics Informed Diffusion Model for Crowd Simulation8 Feb 2024
- 2023Sparse Pedestrian Character Learning for Trajectory Prediction27 Nov 2023
- 2023DICE: Diverse Diffusion Model with Scoring for Trajectory Prediction23 Oct 2023
- 2023EANet: Expert Attention Network for Online Trajectory Prediction11 Sep 2023
- 2023XVTP3D: Cross-view Trajectory Prediction Using Shared 3D Queries for Autonomous Driving17 Aug 2023
- 2023TrajPAC: Towards Robustness Verification of Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Models11 Aug 2023
- 2023EigenTrajectory: Low-Rank Descriptors for Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecasting18 Jul 2023
- 2023Unsupervised Sampling Promoting for Stochastic Human Trajectory Prediction9 Apr 2023
- 2023FEND: A Future Enhanced Distribution-Aware Contrastive Learning Framework for Long-tail Trajectory Prediction29 Mar 2023
- 2023Uncertainty-Aware Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Distributional Diffusion15 Mar 2023
- 2023Vision-based Multi-future Trajectory Prediction: A Survey21 Feb 2023
- 2023ForceFormer: Exploring Social Force and Transformer for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction15 Feb 2023
- 2022Learning a Pedestrian Social Behavior Dictionary2 Dec 2022
- 2022STGlow: A Flow-based Generative Framework with Dual Graphormer for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction21 Nov 2022
- 2022Rethinking Trajectory Prediction via "Team Game"17 Oct 2022
- 2022Learning Pedestrian Group Representations for Multi-modal Trajectory Prediction20 Jul 2022
- 2022Stochastic Trajectory Prediction via Motion Indeterminacy Diffusion25 Mar 2022
- 2022Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNN9 Mar 2022
- 2024SingularTrajectory: Universal Trajectory Predictor Using Diffusion Modelcited by 35
- 2023DICE: Diverse Diffusion Model with Scoring for Trajectory Predictioncited by 18
- 2024Social Physics Informed Diffusion Model for Crowd Simulationcited by 11
- 2024Intention-aware Denoising Diffusion Model for Trajectory Predictioncited by 11
- 2024SingularTrajectory: Universal Trajectory Predictor Using Diffusion Model27 Mar 2024
- 2024Intention-aware Denoising Diffusion Model for Trajectory Prediction14 Mar 2024
- 2024Social Physics Informed Diffusion Model for Crowd Simulation8 Feb 2024
- 2023DICE: Diverse Diffusion Model with Scoring for Trajectory Prediction23 Oct 2023
- 2022Stochastic Trajectory Prediction via Motion Indeterminacy Diffusioncited by 184
- 2022Adaptive Trajectory Prediction via Transferable GNNcited by 51
- 2022Learning Pedestrian Group Representations for Multi-modal Trajectory Predictioncited by 44
- 2023EigenTrajectory: Low-Rank Descriptors for Multi-Modal Trajectory Forecastingcited by 41
- 2023FEND: A Future Enhanced Distribution-Aware Contrastive Learning Framework for Long-tail Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2024Can Language Beat Numerical Regression? Language-Based Multimodal Trajectory Predictioncited by 31
- 2023Unsupervised Sampling Promoting for Stochastic Human Trajectory Predictioncited by 17
- 2022STGlow: A Flow-based Generative Framework with Dual Graphormer for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 13
- 2023Uncertainty-Aware Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction via Distributional Diffusioncited by 13
- 2023Vision-based Multi-future Trajectory Prediction: A Surveycited by 8
- 2023TrajPAC: Towards Robustness Verification of Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction Modelscited by 8
- 2023ForceFormer: Exploring Social Force and Transformer for Pedestrian Trajectory Predictioncited by 7
12 most cited of 26 All 26 (JSON)
- 2026PRISM: Predictive Representation of Interaction Style and Motion for Social Robot Navigation16 Sep 2026
- 2026Schr"odinger's Cat: Probabilistic Representation and Prediction of Potential Scene Kinematics28 Jul 2026
- 2025Continuous Locomotive Crowd Behavior Generation7 Apr 2025
- 2025A Spatio-temporal Graph Network Allowing Incomplete Trajectory Input for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction22 Jan 2025
- 2024Resonance: Learning to Predict Social-Aware Pedestrian Trajectories as Co-Vibrations3 Dec 2024
- 2024Heterogeneous Interaction Modeling With Reduced Accumulated Error for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction28 Oct 2024
- 2024SocialCircle+: Learning the Angle-based Conditioned Interaction Representation for Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction23 Sep 2024
- 2024Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction with Difficulty-Guided Feature Enhancement Network26 Jul 2024
- 2024G2LTraj: A Global-to-Local Generation Approach for Trajectory Prediction30 Apr 2024
- 2024Can Language Beat Numerical Regression? Language-Based Multimodal Trajectory Prediction27 Mar 2024
- 2023Sparse Pedestrian Character Learning for Trajectory Prediction27 Nov 2023
- 2023EANet: Expert Attention Network for Online Trajectory Prediction11 Sep 2023
12 newest of 26 All 26 (JSON)