Reliable Off-Policy Learning for Dosage Combinations
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Abstract (arXiv)
Decision-making in personalized medicine such as cancer therapy or critical care must often make choices for dosage combinations, i.e., multiple continuous treatments. Existing work for this task has modeled the effect of multiple treatments independently, while estimating the joint effect has received little attention but comes with non-trivial challenges. In this paper, we propose a novel method for reliable off-policy learning for dosage combinations. Our method proceeds along three steps: (1) We develop a tailored neural network that estimates the individualized dose-response function while accounting for the joint effect of multiple dependent dosages. (2) We estimate the generalized propensity score using conditional normalizing flows in order to detect regions with limited overlap in the shared covariate-treatment space. (3) We present a gradient-based learning algorithm to find the optimal, individualized dosage combinations. Here, we ensure reliable estimation of the policy value by avoiding regions with limited overlap. We finally perform an extensive evaluation of our method to show its effectiveness. To the best of our knowledge, ours is the first work to provide a method for reliable off-policy learning for optimal dosage combinations.
Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 13 Oct 2026). Builds on 51 of its 93 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 31 May 2023.
Builds on
51 of 93 references.
References · 51
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38 more
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50 most cited of 51 All 51 (JSON)
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- 2024Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomescited by 74
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networkscited by 30
- 2023Bayesian Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 26
- 2024Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatmentscited by 19
- 2023A Neural Framework for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysiscited by 17
- 2024Meta-Learners for Partially-Identified Treatment Effects Across Multiple Environmentscited by 11
- 2025Treatment Effect Estimation for Optimal Decision-Makingcited by 7
- 2025Efficient and Sharp Off-Policy Learning under Unobserved Confoundingcited by 5
- 2024Sources of Gain: Decomposing Performance in Conditional Average Dose Response Estimationcited by 2
- 2026Rank-Learner: Orthogonal Ranking of Treatment Effectscited by 2
- 2025MOSIC: Model-Agnostic Optimal Subgroup Identification with Multi-Constraint for Improved Reliabilitycited by 1
- 2025Doubly Robust Fusion of Many Treatments for Policy Learningcited by 1
3 more
- 2025ExOSITO: Explainable Off-Policy Learning with Side Information for Intensive Care Unit Blood Test Orderscited by 0
- 2026Barycentric Fused Gromov-Wasserstein Balancing for Causal Inference under Multiple Treatmentscited by 0
- 2026Weighted Spline-Expanded Networks with Distributional Balancing for Continuous Treatment Effectscited by 0
- 2026Weighted Spline-Expanded Networks with Distributional Balancing for Continuous Treatment Effects27 Sep 2026
- 2026Barycentric Fused Gromov-Wasserstein Balancing for Causal Inference under Multiple Treatments22 Aug 2026
- 2026Rank-Learner: Orthogonal Ranking of Treatment Effects3 Feb 2026
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networks12 Jun 2025
- 2025Treatment Effect Estimation for Optimal Decision-Making19 May 2025
- 2025Doubly Robust Fusion of Many Treatments for Policy Learning12 May 2025
- 2025MOSIC: Model-Agnostic Optimal Subgroup Identification with Multi-Constraint for Improved Reliability29 Apr 2025
- 2025ExOSITO: Explainable Off-Policy Learning with Side Information for Intensive Care Unit Blood Test Orders24 Apr 2025
- 2025Efficient and Sharp Off-Policy Learning under Unobserved Confounding18 Feb 2025
- 2024Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomes11 Oct 2024
- 2024Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatments3 Jul 2024
- 2024Sources of Gain: Decomposing Performance in Conditional Average Dose Response Estimation12 Jun 2024
- 2024Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomescited by 74
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networkscited by 30
- 2023Bayesian Neural Controlled Differential Equations for Treatment Effect Estimationcited by 26
- 2024Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatmentscited by 19
- 2023A Neural Framework for Generalized Causal Sensitivity Analysiscited by 17
- 2024Meta-Learners for Partially-Identified Treatment Effects Across Multiple Environmentscited by 11
- 2025Treatment Effect Estimation for Optimal Decision-Makingcited by 7
- 2025Efficient and Sharp Off-Policy Learning under Unobserved Confoundingcited by 5
- 2024Sources of Gain: Decomposing Performance in Conditional Average Dose Response Estimationcited by 2
- 2026Rank-Learner: Orthogonal Ranking of Treatment Effectscited by 2
- 2025MOSIC: Model-Agnostic Optimal Subgroup Identification with Multi-Constraint for Improved Reliabilitycited by 1
- 2025Doubly Robust Fusion of Many Treatments for Policy Learningcited by 1
12 most cited of 15 All 15 (JSON)
- 2026Weighted Spline-Expanded Networks with Distributional Balancing for Continuous Treatment Effects27 Sep 2026
- 2026Barycentric Fused Gromov-Wasserstein Balancing for Causal Inference under Multiple Treatments22 Aug 2026
- 2026Rank-Learner: Orthogonal Ranking of Treatment Effects3 Feb 2026
- 2025Foundation Models for Causal Inference via Prior-Data Fitted Networks12 Jun 2025
- 2025Treatment Effect Estimation for Optimal Decision-Making19 May 2025
- 2025Doubly Robust Fusion of Many Treatments for Policy Learning12 May 2025
- 2025MOSIC: Model-Agnostic Optimal Subgroup Identification with Multi-Constraint for Improved Reliability29 Apr 2025
- 2025ExOSITO: Explainable Off-Policy Learning with Side Information for Intensive Care Unit Blood Test Orders24 Apr 2025
- 2025Efficient and Sharp Off-Policy Learning under Unobserved Confounding18 Feb 2025
- 2024Causal machine learning for predicting treatment outcomes11 Oct 2024
- 2024Conformal Prediction for Causal Effects of Continuous Treatments3 Jul 2024
- 2024Sources of Gain: Decomposing Performance in Conditional Average Dose Response Estimation12 Jun 2024
12 newest of 15 All 15 (JSON)