Mixture Martingales Revisited with Applications to Sequential Tests and Confidence Intervals
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
This paper presents new deviation inequalities that are valid uniformly in time under adaptive sampling in a multi-armed bandit model. The deviations are measured using the Kullback-Leibler divergence in a given one-dimensional exponential family, and may take into account several arms at a time. They are obtained by constructing for each arm a mixture martingale based on a hierarchical prior, and by multiplying those martingales. Our deviation inequalities allow us to analyze stopping rules based on generalized likelihood ratios for a large class of sequential identification problems, and to construct tight confidence intervals for some functions of the means of the arms.
Key facts. Cited by 76 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 28 Nov 2018.
Builds on
No reference list yet.
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2021: 7; 2022: 13; 2023: 14; 2024: 11; 2025: 17; 2026: 14.
76 papers.
Sort:
- 2022Top Two Algorithms Revisitedcited by 34
- 2021Navigating to the Best Policy in Markov Decision Processescited by 29
- 2024A Unified Confidence Sequence for Generalized Linear Models, with Applications to Banditscited by 29
- 2022Fully Adaptive Composition in Differential Privacycited by 22
- 2021Efficient Pure Exploration for Combinatorial Bandits with Semi-Bandit Feedbackcited by 21
- 2021Near-optimal inference in adaptive linear regressioncited by 21
- 2021Martingale Methods for Sequential Estimation of Convex Functionals and Divergencescited by 18
- 2022Near-Optimal Collaborative Learning in Banditscited by 18
- 2021A/B/n Testing with Control in the Presence of Subpopulationscited by 17
- 2022Optimal Clustering with Bandit Feedbackcited by 15
- 2023Adaptive Algorithms for Relaxed Pareto Set Identificationcited by 15
- 2022Bregman Deviations of Generic Exponential Familiescited by 13
38 more
- 2024Cost Aware Best Arm Identificationcited by 13
- 2023Improved Algorithms for Stochastic Linear Bandits Using Tail Bounds for Martingale Mixturescited by 12
- 2023Best Arm Identification with Fixed Budget: A Large Deviation Perspectivecited by 12
- 2022Non-Asymptotic Analysis of a UCB-based Top Two Algorithmcited by 11
- 2026Best Arm Identification with LLM Judges and Limited Humancited by 10
- 2024Peeking with PEAK: Sequential, Nonparametric Composite Hypothesis Tests for Means of Multiple Data Streamscited by 9
- 2024Optimal Multi-Fidelity Best-Arm Identificationcited by 9
- 2021The Role of Contextual Information in Best Arm Identificationcited by 8
- 2023Best Arm Identification with Fairness Constraints on Subpopulationscited by 8
- 2023Optimal Best-Arm Identification in Bandits with Access to Offline Datacited by 8
- 2023Optimal Batched Best Arm Identificationcited by 8
- 2025Anytime-valid, Bayes-assisted, Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 7
- 2022On the complexity of All varepsilon-Best Arms Identificationcited by 6
- 2023On the Complexity of Differentially Private Best-Arm Identification with Fixed Confidencecited by 6
- 2023Time-Uniform Confidence Spheres for Means of Random Vectorscited by 6
- 2024Best-Arm Identification in Unimodal Banditscited by 6
- 2021PAC Mode Estimation using PPR Martingale Confidence Sequencescited by 5
- 2022On the Sample Complexity of Representation Learning in Multi-task Bandits with Global and Local structurecited by 5
- 2024Anytime-Valid Inference for Double/Debiased Machine Learning of Causal Parameterscited by 5
- 2024Reward Maximization for Pure Exploration: Minimax Optimal Good Arm Identification for Nonparametric Multi-Armed Banditscited by 5
- 2024Preference-based Pure Explorationcited by 5
- 2022Optimal Best Arm Identification in Two-Armed Bandits with a Fixed Budget under a Small Gapcited by 4
- 2023Thompson Exploration with Best Challenger Rule in Best Arm Identificationcited by 4
- 2025Pure Exploration with Feedback Graphscited by 4
- 2025FraPPE: Fast and Efficient Preference-based Pure Explorationcited by 4
- 2025Stopping Rules for Stochastic Gradient Descent via Anytime-Valid Confidence Sequencescited by 4
- 2022Brownian Noise Reduction: Maximizing Privacy Subject to Accuracy Constraintscited by 3
- 2022SPRT-based Efficient Best Arm Identification in Stochastic Banditscited by 3
- 2022Best Arm Identification with Contextual Information under a Small Gapcited by 3
- 2023AdaStop: adaptive statistical testing for sound comparisons of Deep RL agentscited by 3
- 2023Worst-Case Optimal Multi-Armed Gaussian Best Arm Identification with a Fixed Budgetcited by 3
- 2024Fair Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidencecited by 3
- 2025The Batch Complexity of Bandit Pure Explorationcited by 3
- 2025Best-of-∞ -- Asymptotic Performance of Test-Time LLM Ensemblingcited by 3
- 2023Best Arm Identification in Stochastic Bandits: Beyond β-optimalitycited by 2
- 2025Best Group Identification in Multi-Objective Banditscited by 2
- 2025Constrained Pareto Set Identification with Bandit Feedbackcited by 2
- 2025E-Scores for (In)Correctness Assessment of Generative Model Outputscited by 2
50 most cited of 76 All 76 (JSON)
- 2026Sharp Non-Asymptotic Analysis of the Penalized Challenger in β-EB-TCI for Bernoulli Bandits1 Oct 2026
- 2026Cost-Aware Best-LLM Identification using Dueling Feedback24 Sep 2026
- 2026Gap Entropy and Almost Instance-Wise Optimal Best-Arm Identification12 Sep 2026
- 2026Where Does the Union Bound Go? Best-Arm Identification and Strong FWER Control20 Aug 2026
- 2026When May a Model Replace the Experiment? Audits, Licenses, and the Price of Trust in Surrogate-Driven Design2 Aug 2026
- 2026Two-Fidelity Best-Action Identification for Stochastic Minimax Tree1 Jun 2026
- 2026varepsilon-Good Action Identification in Fixed-Budget Monte Carlo Tree Search11 May 2026
- 2026Asymptotically Log-Optimal Bayes-Assisted Confidence Sequences for Bounded Means8 May 2026
- 2026Cover meets Robbins while Betting on Bounded Data: ln n Regret and Almost Sure lnln n Regret22 Apr 2026
- 2026Multi-Armed Sequential Hypothesis Testing by Betting18 Mar 2026
- 2026Global Sequential Testing for Multi-Stream Auditing25 Feb 2026
- 2026Almost Asymptotically Optimal Active Clustering Through Pairwise Observations5 Feb 2026
38 more
- 2026An Efficient Algorithm for Thresholding Monte Carlo Tree Search30 Jan 2026
- 2026Best Arm Identification with LLM Judges and Limited Human29 Jan 2026
- 2025Stopping Rules for Stochastic Gradient Descent via Anytime-Valid Confidence Sequences15 Dec 2025
- 2025Eventually LIL Regret: Almost Sure lnln T Regret for a sub-Gaussian Mixture on Unbounded Data13 Dec 2025
- 2025Finite-Horizon Quickest Change Detection Balancing Latency with False Alarm Probability16 Nov 2025
- 2025Bernstein-von Mises for Adaptively Collected Data10 Nov 2025
- 2025E-Scores for (In)Correctness Assessment of Generative Model Outputs29 Oct 2025
- 2025Best-of-∞ -- Asymptotic Performance of Test-Time LLM Ensembling25 Sep 2025
- 2025FraPPE: Fast and Efficient Preference-based Pure Exploration22 Aug 2025
- 2025Fixed-Confidence Multiple Change Point Identification under Bandit Feedback11 Jul 2025
- 2025Constrained Pareto Set Identification with Bandit Feedback9 Jun 2025
- 2025Non-Asymptotic Analysis of (Sticky) Track-and-Stop28 May 2025
- 2025Pure Exploration with Infinite Answers28 May 2025
- 2025Anytime-valid, Bayes-assisted, Prediction-Powered Inference23 May 2025
- 2025Best Group Identification in Multi-Objective Bandits23 May 2025
- 2025Pure Exploration with Feedback Graphs10 Mar 2025
- 2025The Batch Complexity of Bandit Pure Exploration3 Feb 2025
- 2025Online Clustering of Data Sequences with Bandit Information20 Jan 2025
- 2025Detection Augmented Bandit Procedures for Piecewise Stationary MABs: A Modular Approach2 Jan 2025
- 2024Preference-based Pure Exploration4 Dec 2024
- 2024Best-Arm Identification in Unimodal Bandits4 Nov 2024
- 2024Learning to Explore with Lagrangians for Bandits under Unknown Linear Constraints24 Oct 2024
- 2024Reward Maximization for Pure Exploration: Minimax Optimal Good Arm Identification for Nonparametric Multi-Armed Bandits21 Oct 2024
- 2024Diminishing Exploration: A Minimalist Approach to Piecewise Stationary Multi-Armed Bandits8 Oct 2024
- 2024Fair Best Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence30 Aug 2024
- 2024Anytime-Valid Inference for Double/Debiased Machine Learning of Causal Parameters18 Aug 2024
- 2024A Unified Confidence Sequence for Generalized Linear Models, with Applications to Bandits19 Jul 2024
- 2024Optimal Multi-Fidelity Best-Arm Identification5 Jun 2024
- 2024Cost Aware Best Arm Identification26 Feb 2024
- 2024Peeking with PEAK: Sequential, Nonparametric Composite Hypothesis Tests for Means of Multiple Data Streams9 Feb 2024
- 2023Best Arm Identification with Fixed Budget: A Large Deviation Perspective19 Dec 2023
- 2023Optimal Regret Bounds for Collaborative Learning in Bandits15 Dec 2023
- 2023Time-Uniform Confidence Spheres for Means of Random Vectors14 Nov 2023
- 2023Worst-Case Optimal Multi-Armed Gaussian Best Arm Identification with a Fixed Budget30 Oct 2023
- 2023Optimal Batched Best Arm Identification21 Oct 2023
- 2023Thompson Exploration with Best Challenger Rule in Best Arm Identification1 Oct 2023
- 2023Improved Algorithms for Stochastic Linear Bandits Using Tail Bounds for Martingale Mixtures25 Sep 2023
- 2023On the Complexity of Differentially Private Best-Arm Identification with Fixed Confidence5 Sep 2023
50 newest of 76 All 76 (JSON)
- 2022Top Two Algorithms Revisitedcited by 34
- 2021Navigating to the Best Policy in Markov Decision Processescited by 29
- 2024A Unified Confidence Sequence for Generalized Linear Models, with Applications to Banditscited by 29
- 2022Fully Adaptive Composition in Differential Privacycited by 22
- 2021Efficient Pure Exploration for Combinatorial Bandits with Semi-Bandit Feedbackcited by 21
- 2021Near-optimal inference in adaptive linear regressioncited by 21
- 2021Martingale Methods for Sequential Estimation of Convex Functionals and Divergencescited by 18
- 2022Near-Optimal Collaborative Learning in Banditscited by 18
- 2021A/B/n Testing with Control in the Presence of Subpopulationscited by 17
- 2022Optimal Clustering with Bandit Feedbackcited by 15
- 2023Adaptive Algorithms for Relaxed Pareto Set Identificationcited by 15
- 2022Bregman Deviations of Generic Exponential Familiescited by 13
12 most cited of 76 All 76 (JSON)
- 2026Sharp Non-Asymptotic Analysis of the Penalized Challenger in β-EB-TCI for Bernoulli Bandits1 Oct 2026
- 2026Cost-Aware Best-LLM Identification using Dueling Feedback24 Sep 2026
- 2026Gap Entropy and Almost Instance-Wise Optimal Best-Arm Identification12 Sep 2026
- 2026Where Does the Union Bound Go? Best-Arm Identification and Strong FWER Control20 Aug 2026
- 2026When May a Model Replace the Experiment? Audits, Licenses, and the Price of Trust in Surrogate-Driven Design2 Aug 2026
- 2026Two-Fidelity Best-Action Identification for Stochastic Minimax Tree1 Jun 2026
- 2026varepsilon-Good Action Identification in Fixed-Budget Monte Carlo Tree Search11 May 2026
- 2026Asymptotically Log-Optimal Bayes-Assisted Confidence Sequences for Bounded Means8 May 2026
- 2026Cover meets Robbins while Betting on Bounded Data: ln n Regret and Almost Sure lnln n Regret22 Apr 2026
- 2026Multi-Armed Sequential Hypothesis Testing by Betting18 Mar 2026
- 2026Global Sequential Testing for Multi-Stream Auditing25 Feb 2026
- 2026Almost Asymptotically Optimal Active Clustering Through Pairwise Observations5 Feb 2026
12 newest of 76 All 76 (JSON)