mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Overfitting or perfect fitting? Risk bounds for classification and regression rules that interpolate

arXiv 1806.05161 ↗First posted 13 Jun 2018stat.ML cond-mat.stat-mech cs.LGcited by 99

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Abstract (arXiv)

Many modern machine learning models are trained to achieve zero or near-zero training error in order to obtain near-optimal (but non-zero) test error. This phenomenon of strong generalization performance for "overfitted" / interpolated classifiers appears to be ubiquitous in high-dimensional data, having been observed in deep networks, kernel machines, boosting and random forests. Their performance is consistently robust even when the data contain large amounts of label noise. Very little theory is available to explain these observations. The vast majority of theoretical analyses of generalization allows for interpolation only when there is little or no label noise. This paper takes a step toward a theoretical foundation for interpolated classifiers by analyzing local interpolating schemes, including geometric simplicial interpolation algorithm and singularly weighted k-nearest neighbor schemes. Consistency or near-consistency is proved for these schemes in classification and regression problems. Moreover, the nearest neighbor schemes exhibit optimal rates under some standard statistical assumptions. Finally, this paper suggests a way to explain the phenomenon of adversarial examples, which are seemingly ubiquitous in modern machine learning, and also discusses some connections to kernel machines and random forests in the interpolated regime.

Key facts. Cited by 99 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 13 Jun 2018.

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Citing papers per year: 2020: 1; 2021: 25; 2022: 28; 2023: 21; 2024: 10; 2025: 6; 2026: 8.

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  1. 2020Spectral Bias and Task-Model Alignment Explain Generalization in Kernel Regression and Infinitely Wide Neural Networkscited by 166
  2. 2021Fit without fear: remarkable mathematical phenomena of deep learning through the prism of interpolationcited by 132
  3. 2024On Memorization of Large Language Models in Logical Reasoningcited by 117
  4. 2022Neural Collapse: A Review on Modelling Principles and Generalizationcited by 95
  5. 2021Learning Curve Theorycited by 85
  6. 2022Benign Overfitting without Linearity: Neural Network Classifiers Trained by Gradient Descent for Noisy Linear Datacited by 74
  7. 2021A Farewell to the Bias-Variance Tradeoff? An Overview of the Theory of Overparameterized Machine Learningcited by 57
  8. 2021RDA: Robust Domain Adaptation via Fourier Adversarial Attackingcited by 48
  9. 2021SGD Generalizes Better Than GD (And Regularization Doesn't Help)cited by 38
  10. 2022The Implicit Bias of Benign Overfittingcited by 38
  11. 2022Benign, Tempered, or Catastrophic: A Taxonomy of Overfittingcited by 36
  12. 2021Early-stopped neural networks are consistentcited by 34
38 more
  1. 2021Pointer Value Retrieval: A new benchmark for understanding the limits of neural network generalizationcited by 29
  2. 2023Benign Overfitting in Linear Classifiers and Leaky ReLU Networks from KKT Conditions for Margin Maximizationcited by 29
  3. 2021The Interplay Between Implicit Bias and Benign Overfitting in Two-Layer Linear Networkscited by 18
  4. 2023More is Better in Modern Machine Learning: when Infinite Overparameterization is Optimal and Overfitting is Obligatorycited by 18
  5. 2021Optimistic Rates: A Unifying Theory for Interpolation Learning and Regularization in Linear Regressioncited by 17
  6. 2022The worst of both worlds: A comparative analysis of errors in learning from data in psychology and machine learningcited by 17
  7. 2023From Tempered to Benign Overfitting in ReLU Neural Networkscited by 16
  8. 2021Accelerated, Optimal, and Parallel: Some Results on Model-Based Stochastic Optimizationcited by 14
  9. 2022Memorize to Generalize: on the Necessity of Interpolation in High Dimensional Linear Regressioncited by 14
  10. 2021Exact Gap between Generalization Error and Uniform Convergence in Random Feature Modelscited by 13
  11. 2022On the Inconsistency of Kernel Ridgeless Regression in Fixed Dimensionscited by 13
  12. 2023ResMem: Learn what you can and memorize the restcited by 13
  13. 2023InstanT: Semi-supervised Learning with Instance-dependent Thresholdscited by 13
  14. 2022Wide and Deep Neural Networks Achieve Optimality for Classificationcited by 12
  15. 2021On the Convergence of Shallow Neural Network Training with Randomly Masked Neuronscited by 11
  16. 2022Monotonicity and Double Descent in Uncertainty Estimation with Gaussian Processescited by 11
  17. 2023On the Lipschitz Constant of Deep Networks and Double Descentcited by 11
  18. 2023Noisy Interpolation Learning with Shallow Univariate ReLU Networkscited by 11
  19. 2024Simplicity bias and optimization threshold in two-layer ReLU networkscited by 11
  20. 2021Deep Learning Generalization and the Convex Hull of Training Setscited by 10
  21. 2021Provable Super-Convergence with a Large Cyclical Learning Ratecited by 10
  22. 2024Making Better Use of Unlabelled Data in Bayesian Active Learningcited by 10
  23. 2022Information bottleneck theory of high-dimensional regression: relevancy, efficiency and optimalitycited by 9
  24. 2024The Surprising Harmfulness of Benign Overfitting for Adversarial Robustnesscited by 9
  25. 2022Deep Linear Networks can Benignly Overfit when Shallow Ones Docited by 8
  26. 2022Deep Double Descent via Smooth Interpolationcited by 8
  27. 2022A Universal Trade-off Between the Model Size, Test Loss, and Training Loss of Linear Predictorscited by 7
  28. 2023Training shallow ReLU networks on noisy data using hinge loss: when do we overfit and is it benign?cited by 7
  29. 2021Minimax Supervised Clustering in the Anisotropic Gaussian Mixture Model: A new take on Robust Interpolationcited by 6
  30. 2022Bit Error and Block Error Rate Training for ML-Assisted Communicationcited by 6
  31. 2023Size Lowerbounds for Deep Operator Networkscited by 6
  32. 2023Universality of max-margin classifierscited by 6
  33. 2023What do larger image classifiers memorise?cited by 6
  34. 2025Trustworthy Machine Learning via Memorization and the Granular Long-Tail: A Survey on Interactions, Tradeoffs, and Beyondcited by 6
  35. 2025When and How Unlabeled Data Provably Improve In-Context Learningcited by 6
  36. 2022Benign Overfitting in Classification: Provably Counter Label Noise with Larger Modelscited by 5
  37. 2023Interpolation Learning With Minimum Description Lengthcited by 5
  38. 2023Towards understanding neural collapse in supervised contrastive learning with the information bottleneck methodcited by 5

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