Overfitting or perfect fitting? Risk bounds for classification and regression rules that interpolate
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Abstract (arXiv)
Many modern machine learning models are trained to achieve zero or near-zero training error in order to obtain near-optimal (but non-zero) test error. This phenomenon of strong generalization performance for "overfitted" / interpolated classifiers appears to be ubiquitous in high-dimensional data, having been observed in deep networks, kernel machines, boosting and random forests. Their performance is consistently robust even when the data contain large amounts of label noise. Very little theory is available to explain these observations. The vast majority of theoretical analyses of generalization allows for interpolation only when there is little or no label noise. This paper takes a step toward a theoretical foundation for interpolated classifiers by analyzing local interpolating schemes, including geometric simplicial interpolation algorithm and singularly weighted k-nearest neighbor schemes. Consistency or near-consistency is proved for these schemes in classification and regression problems. Moreover, the nearest neighbor schemes exhibit optimal rates under some standard statistical assumptions. Finally, this paper suggests a way to explain the phenomenon of adversarial examples, which are seemingly ubiquitous in modern machine learning, and also discusses some connections to kernel machines and random forests in the interpolated regime.
Key facts. Cited by 99 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 13 Jun 2018.
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Citing papers per year: 2020: 1; 2021: 25; 2022: 28; 2023: 21; 2024: 10; 2025: 6; 2026: 8.
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50 most cited of 99 All 99 (JSON)
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- 2023More is Better in Modern Machine Learning: when Infinite Overparameterization is Optimal and Overfitting is Obligatory24 Nov 2023
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- 2022Membership Inference Attacks via Adversarial Examples27 Jul 2022
- 2021Fit without fear: remarkable mathematical phenomena of deep learning through the prism of interpolationcited by 132
- 2022Neural Collapse: A Review on Modelling Principles and Generalizationcited by 95
- 2021Learning Curve Theorycited by 85
- 2022Benign Overfitting without Linearity: Neural Network Classifiers Trained by Gradient Descent for Noisy Linear Datacited by 74
- 2021A Farewell to the Bias-Variance Tradeoff? An Overview of the Theory of Overparameterized Machine Learningcited by 57
- 2021RDA: Robust Domain Adaptation via Fourier Adversarial Attackingcited by 48
- 2021SGD Generalizes Better Than GD (And Regularization Doesn't Help)cited by 38
- 2022The Implicit Bias of Benign Overfittingcited by 38
- 2022Benign, Tempered, or Catastrophic: A Taxonomy of Overfittingcited by 36
- 2021Early-stopped neural networks are consistentcited by 34
- 2021Pointer Value Retrieval: A new benchmark for understanding the limits of neural network generalizationcited by 29
- 2023Benign Overfitting in Linear Classifiers and Leaky ReLU Networks from KKT Conditions for Margin Maximizationcited by 29
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- 2026Pointwise Complexity for Gaussian Fields: Upper Envelopes, Algorithmic Lower Bounds, and Separation6 Jun 2026
- 2026Memorisation, convergence and generalisation in generative models20 May 2026
- 2026A Rigorous, Tractable Measure of Model Complexity20 May 2026
- 2026Perfect Parallelization in Mini-Batch SGD with Classical Momentum Acceleration18 May 2026
- 2026Asymptotic Behavior of Multi--Task Learning: Implicit Regularization and Double Descent Effects5 Mar 2026
- 2026Is Memorization Helpful or Harmful? Prior Information Sets the Threshold10 Feb 2026
- 2026On damage of interpolation to adversarial robustness in regression22 Jan 2026
- 2025Aligning Inductive Bias for Data-Efficient Generalization in State Space Models25 Sep 2025
- 2025When and How Unlabeled Data Provably Improve In-Context Learning18 Jun 2025
- 2025Skeletonization of neuronal processes using Discrete Morse techniques from computational topology12 May 2025
- 2025Trustworthy Machine Learning via Memorization and the Granular Long-Tail: A Survey on Interactions, Tradeoffs, and Beyond10 Mar 2025
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