RETAIN: An Interpretable Predictive Model for Healthcare using Reverse Time Attention Mechanism
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Abstract (arXiv)
Accuracy and interpretability are two dominant features of successful predictive models. Typically, a choice must be made in favor of complex black box models such as recurrent neural networks (RNN) for accuracy versus less accurate but more interpretable traditional models such as logistic regression. This tradeoff poses challenges in medicine where both accuracy and interpretability are important. We addressed this challenge by developing the REverse Time AttentIoN model (RETAIN) for application to Electronic Health Records (EHR) data. RETAIN achieves high accuracy while remaining clinically interpretable and is based on a two-level neural attention model that detects influential past visits and significant clinical variables within those visits (e.g. key diagnoses). RETAIN mimics physician practice by attending the EHR data in a reverse time order so that recent clinical visits are likely to receive higher attention. RETAIN was tested on a large health system EHR dataset with 14 million visits completed by 263K patients over an 8 year period and demonstrated predictive accuracy and computational scalability comparable to state-of-the-art methods such as RNN, and ease of interpretability comparable to traditional models.
Key facts. Cited by 344 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 19 Aug 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2018: 1; 2019: 0; 2020: 0; 2021: 71; 2022: 42; 2023: 51; 2024: 54; 2025: 68; 2026: 57.
344 papers.
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- 2026T-MoXAI: A Hierarchical Explainability Framework for Temporal Multimodal Data27 Sep 2026
- 2026Rethinking How We Evaluate Methodological Progress in Health AI16 Sep 2026
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- 2026Scalable Clinical Data Infrastructure and Comparative ML Evaluation for Hospitalisation Risk Prediction in Elderly Patients with Multiple Long-Term Conditions using CPRD29 Aug 2026
- 2026Towards A Unified Information Bottleneck Framework for Time Series Explanations26 Aug 2026
- 2026Structured Evidence Routing for Incident Risk Prediction from Multimodal Longitudinal EHRs24 Aug 2026
- 2026SynEHR: Joint Modeling Inter-visit Temporal Evolution and Intra-visit Clinical Structure for Longitudinal EHR Synthesis21 Aug 2026
- 2026Explainable Transformer Models for Clinical Prediction Tasks on Structured Electronic Health Records20 Aug 2026
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