mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Model Discovery Agent: LLM-assisted Bayesian experiment design for data-efficient discovery of mechanistic world models

arXiv 2608.09696 ↗First posted 10 Aug 2026cs.AIcited by 6

On the map: World models → World models for language agents

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Abstract (arXiv)

A primary goal of science is to learn mechanistic world models from limited experimental data, both to explain observations and to predict novel interventions. We introduce the Model Discovery Agent (MDA), which combines LLM proposals for mathcal M-open model discovery, experiment design based on Value of Information, and approximate Bayesian inference over model structures, parameters, and stochastic latent trajectories. We apply MDA to learn symbolic reaction rate laws for ChemBench citepkabra2026autoscilab, partially observed ODE models for GlucoseBench citepxie2018simglucose,kovatchev2009insilico, and partially observed SDE models for a new stochastic single-neuron simulator we create. In the appendix, we also show results on various other domains from BoxingGym citepgandhi2025boxinggym. We show that MDA has improved sample efficiency compared to various baseline methods, and the learned models are good predictors but also provide interpretable abstractions of each domain.

Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in World models for language agents, one of 11 directions in World models. Builds on 41 of its 110 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Aug 2026.

Builds on

41 of 110 references.

Closest ancestors · 2

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2026From Observation to Insight: Mechanistic World Models and the Quest for Autonomous Discovery14 Jul
  2. 2024Robust agents learn causal world models16 Feb

Other references · 39

  1. 2024The AI Scientist: Towards Fully Automated Open-Ended Scientific Discoverycited by 1,002
  2. 2016The CMA Evolution Strategy: A Tutorialcited by 364
  3. 2023Causal Reasoning and Large Language Models: Opening a New Frontier for Causalitycited by 348
  4. 2017Causal Consistency of Structural Equation Modelscited by 114
  5. 2021Deep Adaptive Design: Amortizing Sequential Bayesian Experimental Designcited by 103
  6. 2019Elements of Sequential Monte Carlocited by 60
  7. 2023Prediction-Oriented Bayesian Active Learningcited by 60
  8. 2023Integrating Large Language Model for Improved Causal Discoverycited by 54
  9. 2024Combining Induction and Transduction for Abstract Reasoningcited by 53
  10. 2025An AI system to help scientists write expert-level empirical softwarecited by 52
  11. 2024Optimal experimental design: Formulations and computationscited by 45
  12. 2024Automated Statistical Model Discovery with Language Modelscited by 41
27 more
  1. 2025Automated Hypothesis Validation with Agentic Sequential Falsificationscited by 40
  2. 2025Evaluating Large Language Models in Scientific Discoverycited by 38
  3. 2023Interpretable Machine Learning for Science with PySR and SymbolicRegression.jlcited by 36
  4. 2025NewtonBench: Benchmarking Generalizable Scientific Law Discovery in LLM Agentscited by 32
  5. 2025Simulation-Based Inference: A Practical Guidecited by 30
  6. 2026ARC-AGI-3: A New Challenge for Frontier Agentic Intelligencecited by 29
  7. 2025BED-LLM: Intelligent Information Gathering with LLMs and Bayesian Experimental Designcited by 21
  8. 2024The Statistical Accuracy of Neural Posterior and Likelihood Estimationcited by 15
  9. 2025BoxingGym: Benchmarking Progress in Automated Experimental Design and Model Discoverycited by 15
  10. 2025Auto-Discovery-Bench: Diagnosing Structured State Tracking in Oracle-Guided Discoverycited by 15
  11. 2025Measuring Scientific Capabilities of Language Models with a Systems Biology Dry Labcited by 11
  12. 2026A Probabilistic Framework for LLM-Based Model Discoverycited by 10
  13. 2019Likelihood-free MCMC with Amortized Approximate Ratio Estimatorscited by 9
  14. 2026DiscoverPhysics: Benchmarking LLMs for Out-of-the-Box Scientific Thinkingcited by 8
  15. 2026Agentic AI Scientists Are Not Built For Autonomous Scientific Discoverycited by 7
  16. 2026LLM-AutoSciLab: Closed-Loop Scientific Discovery via Active Experimentation with LLMscited by 7
  17. 2023Interventionally Consistent Surrogates for Agent-based Simulatorscited by 6
  18. 2026Closing the Loop to Discover Psychological Theories with an Automated Cognitive Scientistcited by 6
  19. 2026LLM-ACES: Closed-Loop Discovery of Dynamical Systems with LLM-Guided Adaptive Searchcited by 5
  20. 2026auto-psych: Automating the science of mind using agent-driven theory discovery and experimentationcited by 4
  21. 2013Bayesian Prediction for Artificial Intelligencecited by 3
  22. 2026ATLAS: Active Theory Learning for Automated Sciencecited by 3
  23. 2023Causal Falsification of Digital Twinscited by 2
  24. 2025From Prediction to Understanding: Will AI Foundation Models Transform Brain Science?cited by 2
  25. 2025Probabilistic Modelling is Sufficient for Causal Inferencecited by 2
  26. 2026Amortising Bayesian Experimental Design for Sequential Information Gathering in LLMscited by 2
  27. 2026Playing ZendoWorld: Challenging AI Agents on Active Visual Concept Inductioncited by 1

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 6.

6 papers.

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  1. 2025LLMs for Bayesian Optimization in Scientific Domains: Are We There Yet?
  2. 2026The Little Scientist: LLM Agent-Driven Discovery via the Scientific Method
  3. 2026Automatic Ordinary Differential Equations Discovery For Biological Systems Using Large Language Model Powered Agentic System
  4. 2025PhysGym: Benchmarking LLMs in Interactive Physics Discovery with Controlled Priors
  5. 2026Fisher-R1: Training LLM Agents for Reliable Hypothesis Testing
  6. 2025Towards Scientific Intelligence: A Survey of LLM-based Scientific Agents
  7. 2025SR-Scientist: Scientific Equation Discovery With Agentic AI
  8. 2026Why LLMs Fail at Causal Discovery and How Interventional Agents Escape