mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Simulation-Based Inference: A Practical Guide

arXiv 2508.12939 ↗First posted 18 Aug 2025stat.ML cs.LGcited by 30

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Abstract (arXiv)

A central challenge in many areas of science and engineering is to identify model parameters that are consistent with prior knowledge and empirical data. Bayesian inference offers a principled framework for this task, but can be computationally prohibitive when models are defined by stochastic simulators. Simulation-based Inference (SBI) is a suite of methods developed to overcome this limitation, which has enabled scientific discoveries in fields such as particle physics, astrophysics, and neuroscience. The core idea of SBI is to train neural networks on data generated by a simulator, without requiring access to likelihood evaluations. Once trained, inference is amortized: The neural network can rapidly perform Bayesian inference on empirical observations without requiring additional training or simulations. In this tutorial, we provide a practical guide for practitioners aiming to apply SBI methods. We outline a structured SBI workflow and offer practical guidelines and diagnostic tools for every stage of the process -- from setting up the simulator and prior, choosing and training inference networks, to performing inference and validating the results. We illustrate these steps through examples from astrophysics, psychophysics, and neuroscience. This tutorial empowers researchers to apply state-of-the-art SBI methods, facilitating efficient parameter inference for scientific discovery.

Key facts. Cited by 30 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 67 of its 120 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Aug 2025.

Builds on

67 of 120 references.

References · 67

  1. 2020Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 8,964
  2. 2022Flow Matching for Generative Modelingcited by 5,426
  3. 2016Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticianscited by 1,466
  4. 2019Normalizing Flows for Probabilistic Modeling and Inferencecited by 1,315
  5. 2019Neural Spline Flowscited by 590
  6. 2019The frontier of simulation-based inferencecited by 490
  7. 2016Revisiting Classifier Two-Sample Testscited by 258
  8. 2017Advances in Variational Inferencecited by 236
  9. 2018Sequential Neural Likelihood: Fast Likelihood-free Inference with Autoregressive Flowscited by 217
  10. 2019Automatic Posterior Transformation for Likelihood-Free Inferencecited by 216
  11. 2017Flexible statistical inference for mechanistic models of neural dynamicscited by 162
  12. 2021Benchmarking Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 160
38 more
  1. 2020BayesFlow: Learning complex stochastic models with invertible neural networkscited by 139
  2. 2018Validating Bayesian Inference Algorithms with Simulation-Based Calibrationcited by 118
  3. 2023Flow Matching for Scalable Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 97
  4. 2020On Contrastive Learning for Likelihood-free Inferencecited by 96
  5. 2015Approximating Likelihood Ratios with Calibrated Discriminative Classifierscited by 87
  6. 2016Likelihood-free inference by ratio estimationcited by 80
  7. 2021Real-time gravitational-wave science with neural posterior estimationcited by 76
  8. 2020Neural Approximate Sufficient Statistics for Implicit Modelscited by 72
  9. 2024All-in-one simulation-based inferencecited by 71
  10. 2018Likelihood-free inference with emulator networkscited by 61
  11. 2021Detecting Model Misspecification in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Neural Networkscited by 48
  12. 2023Learning Robust Statistics for Simulation-based Inference under Model Misspecificationcited by 48
  13. 2022Compositional Score Modeling for Simulation-based Inferencecited by 46
  14. 2022Robust Neural Posterior Estimation and Statistical Model Criticismcited by 45
  15. 2023Sampling-Based Accuracy Testing of Posterior Estimators for General Inferencecited by 45
  16. 2022Investigating the Impact of Model Misspecification in Neural Simulation-based Inferencecited by 44
  17. 2022Variational methods for simulation-based inferencecited by 43
  18. 2023JANA: Jointly Amortized Neural Approximation of Complex Bayesian Modelscited by 41
  19. 2022Truncated proposals for scalable and hassle-free simulation-based inferencecited by 40
  20. 2015Learning Summary Statistic for Approximate Bayesian Computation via Deep Neural Networkcited by 39
  21. 2022GATSBI: Generative Adversarial Training for Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 36
  22. 2023BayesFlow: Amortized Bayesian Workflows With Neural Networkscited by 32
  23. 2018A Likelihood-Free Inference Framework for Population Genetic Data using Exchangeable Neural Networkscited by 30
  24. 2021Sequential Neural Posterior and Likelihood Approximationcited by 30
  25. 2022Neural Importance Sampling for Rapid and Reliable Gravitational-Wave Inferencecited by 28
  26. 2021Diagnostics for Conditional Density Models and Bayesian Inference Algorithmscited by 26
  27. 2024Addressing Misspecification in Simulation-based Inference through Data-driven Calibrationcited by 26
  28. 2024sbi reloaded: a toolkit for simulation-based inference workflowscited by 23
  29. 2023Consistency Models for Scalable and Fast Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 22
  30. 2024Real-time gravitational-wave inference for binary neutron stars using machine learningcited by 21
  31. 2023Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inferencecited by 20
  32. 2023Generalized Bayesian Inference for Scientific Simulators via Amortized Cost Estimationcited by 17
  33. 2023L-C2ST: Local Diagnostics for Posterior Approximations in Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 17
  34. 2024Diffusion posterior sampling for simulation-based inference in tall data settingscited by 17
  35. 2021Group equivariant neural posterior estimationcited by 16
  36. 2022Black-box Bayesian inference for economic agent-based modelscited by 13
  37. 2025Effortless, Simulation-Efficient Bayesian Inference using Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 13
  38. 2021A neural simulation-based inference approach for characterizing the Galactic Center γ-ray excesscited by 12

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Citing papers per year: 2025: 4; 2026: 26.

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  1. 2026A Probabilistic Framework for LLM-Based Model Discoverycited by 10
  2. 2026BayesFlow 2: Multi-Backend Amortized Bayesian Inference in Pythoncited by 7
  3. 2026Model Discovery Agent: LLM-assisted Bayesian experiment design for data-efficient discovery of mechanistic world modelscited by 6
  4. 2026Flow-based Extremal Mathematical Structure Discoverycited by 3
  5. 2026Minimum Distance Summaries for Robust Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 3
  6. 2025JADAI: Jointly Amortizing Adaptive Design and Bayesian Inferencecited by 2
  7. 2026Do Diffusion Models Dream of Electric Planes? Discrete and Continuous Simulation-Based Inference for Aircraft Designcited by 2
  8. 2026Amortized Filtering and Smoothing with Conditional Normalizing Flowscited by 2
  9. 2025A Review of Diffusion-based Simulation-Based Inference: Foundations and Applications in Non-Ideal Data Scenarioscited by 1
  10. 2026First Estimation of Model Parameters for Neutrino-Induced Nucleon Knockout Using Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 1
  11. 2026Scalable Simulation-Based Model Inference with Test-Time Complexity Controlcited by 1
  12. 2026A Unifying Framework for Unsupervised Concept Extractioncited by 1
18 more
  1. 2026An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learningcited by 1
  2. 2026Simulation-Based Empirical Bayescited by 1
  3. 2025Uncertainty-Aware Calibrated Clinical Text Classification with Large Language Modelscited by 0
  4. 2025Fast and Robust Simulation-Based Inference With Optimization Monte Carlocited by 0
  5. 2026Unsupervised Continual Learning for Amortized Bayesian Inferencecited by 0
  6. 2026Neural posterior estimation for scalable and accurate inverse parameter inference in Li-ion batteriescited by 0
  7. 2026Inverting Foundation Models of Brain Function with Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 0
  8. 2026Neural Posterior Estimation of Terrain Parameters from Radar Sounder Datacited by 0
  9. 2026Mixed neural posterior estimation for simulators with discrete and continuous parameterscited by 0
  10. 2026Theoretical guidelines for annealed Langevin dynamics in compositional simulation-based inferencecited by 0
  11. 2026Conservative neural posterior estimation via distributionally robust trainingcited by 0
  12. 2026Benchmark of Likelihood-Free Inference Methods based on Neural and Optimal Transport Approachescited by 0
  13. 2026Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimationcited by 0
  14. 2026Impact of Multiple Non-Invasive Biosignals on Cardiovascular Biomarker Estimation via Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 0
  15. 2026Calibrating subgrid parametrizations of single-column ocean models via simulation-based inferencecited by 0
  16. 2026Neural composite likelihood estimation: simulation based inference for time seriescited by 0
  17. 2026A Three-Way Testing Framework for Quantifying Epistemic Calibration Uncertainty in SBIcited by 0
  18. 2026High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Inference in Latent Spacescited by 0