Simulation-Based Inference: A Practical Guide
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
A central challenge in many areas of science and engineering is to identify model parameters that are consistent with prior knowledge and empirical data. Bayesian inference offers a principled framework for this task, but can be computationally prohibitive when models are defined by stochastic simulators. Simulation-based Inference (SBI) is a suite of methods developed to overcome this limitation, which has enabled scientific discoveries in fields such as particle physics, astrophysics, and neuroscience. The core idea of SBI is to train neural networks on data generated by a simulator, without requiring access to likelihood evaluations. Once trained, inference is amortized: The neural network can rapidly perform Bayesian inference on empirical observations without requiring additional training or simulations. In this tutorial, we provide a practical guide for practitioners aiming to apply SBI methods. We outline a structured SBI workflow and offer practical guidelines and diagnostic tools for every stage of the process -- from setting up the simulator and prior, choosing and training inference networks, to performing inference and validating the results. We illustrate these steps through examples from astrophysics, psychophysics, and neuroscience. This tutorial empowers researchers to apply state-of-the-art SBI methods, facilitating efficient parameter inference for scientific discovery.
Key facts. Cited by 30 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 67 of its 120 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Aug 2025.
Builds on
67 of 120 references.
References · 67
- 2020Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 8,964
- 2022Flow Matching for Generative Modelingcited by 5,426
- 2016Variational Inference: A Review for Statisticianscited by 1,466
- 2019Normalizing Flows for Probabilistic Modeling and Inferencecited by 1,315
- 2019Neural Spline Flowscited by 590
- 2019The frontier of simulation-based inferencecited by 490
- 2016Revisiting Classifier Two-Sample Testscited by 258
- 2017Advances in Variational Inferencecited by 236
- 2018Sequential Neural Likelihood: Fast Likelihood-free Inference with Autoregressive Flowscited by 217
- 2019Automatic Posterior Transformation for Likelihood-Free Inferencecited by 216
- 2017Flexible statistical inference for mechanistic models of neural dynamicscited by 162
- 2021Benchmarking Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 160
38 more
- 2020BayesFlow: Learning complex stochastic models with invertible neural networkscited by 139
- 2018Validating Bayesian Inference Algorithms with Simulation-Based Calibrationcited by 118
- 2023Flow Matching for Scalable Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 97
- 2020On Contrastive Learning for Likelihood-free Inferencecited by 96
- 2015Approximating Likelihood Ratios with Calibrated Discriminative Classifierscited by 87
- 2016Likelihood-free inference by ratio estimationcited by 80
- 2021Real-time gravitational-wave science with neural posterior estimationcited by 76
- 2020Neural Approximate Sufficient Statistics for Implicit Modelscited by 72
- 2024All-in-one simulation-based inferencecited by 71
- 2018Likelihood-free inference with emulator networkscited by 61
- 2021Detecting Model Misspecification in Amortized Bayesian Inference with Neural Networkscited by 48
- 2023Learning Robust Statistics for Simulation-based Inference under Model Misspecificationcited by 48
- 2022Compositional Score Modeling for Simulation-based Inferencecited by 46
- 2022Robust Neural Posterior Estimation and Statistical Model Criticismcited by 45
- 2023Sampling-Based Accuracy Testing of Posterior Estimators for General Inferencecited by 45
- 2022Investigating the Impact of Model Misspecification in Neural Simulation-based Inferencecited by 44
- 2022Variational methods for simulation-based inferencecited by 43
- 2023JANA: Jointly Amortized Neural Approximation of Complex Bayesian Modelscited by 41
- 2022Truncated proposals for scalable and hassle-free simulation-based inferencecited by 40
- 2015Learning Summary Statistic for Approximate Bayesian Computation via Deep Neural Networkcited by 39
- 2022GATSBI: Generative Adversarial Training for Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 36
- 2023BayesFlow: Amortized Bayesian Workflows With Neural Networkscited by 32
- 2018A Likelihood-Free Inference Framework for Population Genetic Data using Exchangeable Neural Networkscited by 30
- 2021Sequential Neural Posterior and Likelihood Approximationcited by 30
- 2022Neural Importance Sampling for Rapid and Reliable Gravitational-Wave Inferencecited by 28
- 2021Diagnostics for Conditional Density Models and Bayesian Inference Algorithmscited by 26
- 2024Addressing Misspecification in Simulation-based Inference through Data-driven Calibrationcited by 26
- 2024sbi reloaded: a toolkit for simulation-based inference workflowscited by 23
- 2023Consistency Models for Scalable and Fast Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 22
- 2024Real-time gravitational-wave inference for binary neutron stars using machine learningcited by 21
- 2023Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inferencecited by 20
- 2023Generalized Bayesian Inference for Scientific Simulators via Amortized Cost Estimationcited by 17
- 2023L-C2ST: Local Diagnostics for Posterior Approximations in Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 17
- 2024Diffusion posterior sampling for simulation-based inference in tall data settingscited by 17
- 2021Group equivariant neural posterior estimationcited by 16
- 2022Black-box Bayesian inference for economic agent-based modelscited by 13
- 2025Effortless, Simulation-Efficient Bayesian Inference using Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 13
- 2021A neural simulation-based inference approach for characterizing the Galactic Center γ-ray excesscited by 12
50 most cited of 67 All 67 (JSON)
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 4; 2026: 26.
30 papers.
Sort:
By area:
- 2026A Probabilistic Framework for LLM-Based Model Discoverycited by 10
- 2026BayesFlow 2: Multi-Backend Amortized Bayesian Inference in Pythoncited by 7
- 2026Model Discovery Agent: LLM-assisted Bayesian experiment design for data-efficient discovery of mechanistic world modelscited by 6
- 2026Flow-based Extremal Mathematical Structure Discoverycited by 3
- 2026Minimum Distance Summaries for Robust Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 3
- 2025JADAI: Jointly Amortizing Adaptive Design and Bayesian Inferencecited by 2
- 2026Do Diffusion Models Dream of Electric Planes? Discrete and Continuous Simulation-Based Inference for Aircraft Designcited by 2
- 2026Amortized Filtering and Smoothing with Conditional Normalizing Flowscited by 2
- 2025A Review of Diffusion-based Simulation-Based Inference: Foundations and Applications in Non-Ideal Data Scenarioscited by 1
- 2026First Estimation of Model Parameters for Neutrino-Induced Nucleon Knockout Using Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 1
- 2026Scalable Simulation-Based Model Inference with Test-Time Complexity Controlcited by 1
- 2026A Unifying Framework for Unsupervised Concept Extractioncited by 1
18 more
- 2026An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learningcited by 1
- 2026Simulation-Based Empirical Bayescited by 1
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Calibrated Clinical Text Classification with Large Language Modelscited by 0
- 2025Fast and Robust Simulation-Based Inference With Optimization Monte Carlocited by 0
- 2026Unsupervised Continual Learning for Amortized Bayesian Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Neural posterior estimation for scalable and accurate inverse parameter inference in Li-ion batteriescited by 0
- 2026Inverting Foundation Models of Brain Function with Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Neural Posterior Estimation of Terrain Parameters from Radar Sounder Datacited by 0
- 2026Mixed neural posterior estimation for simulators with discrete and continuous parameterscited by 0
- 2026Theoretical guidelines for annealed Langevin dynamics in compositional simulation-based inferencecited by 0
- 2026Conservative neural posterior estimation via distributionally robust trainingcited by 0
- 2026Benchmark of Likelihood-Free Inference Methods based on Neural and Optimal Transport Approachescited by 0
- 2026Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimationcited by 0
- 2026Impact of Multiple Non-Invasive Biosignals on Cardiovascular Biomarker Estimation via Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Calibrating subgrid parametrizations of single-column ocean models via simulation-based inferencecited by 0
- 2026Neural composite likelihood estimation: simulation based inference for time seriescited by 0
- 2026A Three-Way Testing Framework for Quantifying Epistemic Calibration Uncertainty in SBIcited by 0
- 2026High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Inference in Latent Spacescited by 0
- 2026High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Inference in Latent Spaces29 Sep 2026
- 2026A Three-Way Testing Framework for Quantifying Epistemic Calibration Uncertainty in SBI21 Sep 2026
- 2026Neural composite likelihood estimation: simulation based inference for time series18 Sep 2026
- 2026Calibrating subgrid parametrizations of single-column ocean models via simulation-based inference3 Sep 2026
- 2026Impact of Multiple Non-Invasive Biosignals on Cardiovascular Biomarker Estimation via Simulation-Based Inference26 Aug 2026
- 2026Model Discovery Agent: LLM-assisted Bayesian experiment design for data-efficient discovery of mechanistic world models10 Aug 2026
- 2026Simulation-Based Empirical Bayes23 Jul 2026
- 2026An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learning23 Jul 2026
- 2026Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimation20 Jul 2026
- 2026Benchmark of Likelihood-Free Inference Methods based on Neural and Optimal Transport Approaches28 May 2026
- 2026Conservative neural posterior estimation via distributionally robust training27 May 2026
- 2026Theoretical guidelines for annealed Langevin dynamics in compositional simulation-based inference20 May 2026
18 more
- 2026Mixed neural posterior estimation for simulators with discrete and continuous parameters13 May 2026
- 2026Neural Posterior Estimation of Terrain Parameters from Radar Sounder Data5 May 2026
- 2026A Unifying Framework for Unsupervised Concept Extraction27 Apr 2026
- 2026Inverting Foundation Models of Brain Function with Simulation-Based Inference26 Apr 2026
- 2026Amortized Filtering and Smoothing with Conditional Normalizing Flows8 Apr 2026
- 2026Neural posterior estimation for scalable and accurate inverse parameter inference in Li-ion batteries2 Apr 2026
- 2026Scalable Simulation-Based Model Inference with Test-Time Complexity Control16 Mar 2026
- 2026First Estimation of Model Parameters for Neutrino-Induced Nucleon Knockout Using Simulation-Based Inference10 Mar 2026
- 2026Do Diffusion Models Dream of Electric Planes? Discrete and Continuous Simulation-Based Inference for Aircraft Design27 Feb 2026
- 2026Unsupervised Continual Learning for Amortized Bayesian Inference26 Feb 2026
- 2026A Probabilistic Framework for LLM-Based Model Discovery20 Feb 2026
- 2026Minimum Distance Summaries for Robust Neural Posterior Estimation9 Feb 2026
- 2026BayesFlow 2: Multi-Backend Amortized Bayesian Inference in Python6 Feb 2026
- 2026Flow-based Extremal Mathematical Structure Discovery25 Jan 2026
- 2025JADAI: Jointly Amortizing Adaptive Design and Bayesian Inference28 Dec 2025
- 2025A Review of Diffusion-based Simulation-Based Inference: Foundations and Applications in Non-Ideal Data Scenarios26 Dec 2025
- 2025Fast and Robust Simulation-Based Inference With Optimization Monte Carlo17 Nov 2025
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Calibrated Clinical Text Classification with Large Language Models19 Sep 2025
- 2026A Probabilistic Framework for LLM-Based Model Discoverycited by 10
- 2026BayesFlow 2: Multi-Backend Amortized Bayesian Inference in Pythoncited by 7
- 2026Flow-based Extremal Mathematical Structure Discoverycited by 3
- 2026Minimum Distance Summaries for Robust Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 3
- 2025JADAI: Jointly Amortizing Adaptive Design and Bayesian Inferencecited by 2
- 2026Amortized Filtering and Smoothing with Conditional Normalizing Flowscited by 2
- 2026First Estimation of Model Parameters for Neutrino-Induced Nucleon Knockout Using Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 1
- 2026Scalable Simulation-Based Model Inference with Test-Time Complexity Controlcited by 1
- 2026A Unifying Framework for Unsupervised Concept Extractioncited by 1
- 2026An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learningcited by 1
- 2026Simulation-Based Empirical Bayescited by 1
- 2025Uncertainty-Aware Calibrated Clinical Text Classification with Large Language Modelscited by 0
12 most cited of 27 All 27 (JSON)
- 2026High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Inference in Latent Spaces29 Sep 2026
- 2026A Three-Way Testing Framework for Quantifying Epistemic Calibration Uncertainty in SBI21 Sep 2026
- 2026Neural composite likelihood estimation: simulation based inference for time series18 Sep 2026
- 2026Calibrating subgrid parametrizations of single-column ocean models via simulation-based inference3 Sep 2026
- 2026Impact of Multiple Non-Invasive Biosignals on Cardiovascular Biomarker Estimation via Simulation-Based Inference26 Aug 2026
- 2026Simulation-Based Empirical Bayes23 Jul 2026
- 2026An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learning23 Jul 2026
- 2026Program Synthesis for Simulation-Based Inference: Joint Model Selection and Parameter Estimation20 Jul 2026
- 2026Benchmark of Likelihood-Free Inference Methods based on Neural and Optimal Transport Approaches28 May 2026
- 2026Conservative neural posterior estimation via distributionally robust training27 May 2026
- 2026Theoretical guidelines for annealed Langevin dynamics in compositional simulation-based inference20 May 2026
- 2026Mixed neural posterior estimation for simulators with discrete and continuous parameters13 May 2026
12 newest of 27 All 27 (JSON)