RARM: Confidence-Gated Progress Reward Modeling for RL in Manipulation

Reinforcement learning for robot manipulation is often bottlenecked by reward design, especially in long-horizon tasks: sparse success rewards provide weak supervision, while hand-crafted dense rewards are tedious to design and generalize poorly across tasks. Progress-based reward models offer a promising alternative by estimating how far an observation has advanced toward task completion, but existing approaches often require task-specific demonstrations or progress labels, and can assign high rewards to visually plausible but physically incorrect states. We introduce the Reference-Anchored Reward Model (RARM), a lightweight visual comparator that converts a single successful demonstration into a dense, progress-aware reward. RARM is trained once on general-purpose videos with a contrastive temporal objective, requiring no robot-specific data, task-specific reward labels, or per-task reward engineering. At deployment, RARM matches rollout clips to reference clips and rewards only confident forward progress, suppressing uncertain matches that may otherwise produce false-positive rewards. Across 9 simulated manipulation tasks from LIBERO and MetaWorld and 4 real-world tasks, RARM achieves the best overall success rates in subsequent RL training, with particularly large gains on long-horizon tasks such as cloth folding, where unreliable progress estimates are especially harmful.