Calibrating LLMs with Semantic-level Reward
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Abstract (arXiv)
As large language models (LLMs) are deployed in consequential settings such as medical question answering and legal reasoning, the ability to estimate when their outputs are likely to be correct is essential for safe and reliable use, requiring well-calibrated uncertainty. Standard reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) trains models with a binary correctness reward that is indifferent to confidence, providing no penalty for confident but wrong predictions and thereby degrading calibration. Recent work addresses this by training models to produce verbalized confidence scores alongside answers and rewarding agreement with correctness. However, verbalized confidence is calibrated at the token level and thus exhibits inconsistency across textual variations with same semantic meaning. We propose Calibration with Semantic Reward (CSR), a framework that calibrates language models directly in semantic space without a verbalized confidence interface. CSR combines the correctness reward with a novel semantic calibration reward that encourages exploitation among correct rollouts by promoting semantic agreement, and exploration among incorrect ones by discouraging spurious consistency. Experiments across three model families on HotpotQA (in-distribution) and TriviaQA, MSMARCO, and NQ-Open (out-of-distribution) show that CSR consistently achieves lower ECE and higher AUROC than verbalized-confidence baselines across nearly all settings, reducing ECE by up to 40% and improving AUROC by up to 31% over verbalized-confidence baselines, with calibration behavior generalizing robustly across all four evaluation settings.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 20 of its 27 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 15 May 2026.
Builds on
20 of 27 references.
References · 20
- 2024The Llama 3 Herd of Modelscited by 14,715
- 2024DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Modelscited by 9,379
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- 2018HotpotQA: A Dataset for Diverse, Explainable Multi-hop Question Answeringcited by 3,754
- 2017TriviaQA: A Large Scale Distantly Supervised Challenge Dataset for Reading Comprehensioncited by 2,955
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- 2023Can LLMs Express Their Uncertainty? An Empirical Evaluation of Confidence Elicitation in LLMscited by 974
- 2023Just Ask for Calibration: Strategies for Eliciting Calibrated Confidence Scores from Language Models Fine-Tuned with Human Feedbackcited by 812
- 2022Teaching Models to Express Their Uncertainty in Wordscited by 751
8 more
- 2018Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networkscited by 557
- 2025Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards Implicitly Incentivizes Correct Reasoning in Base LLMscited by 289
- 2025Beyond Binary Rewards: Training LMs to Reason About Their Uncertaintycited by 117
- 2024SaySelf: Teaching LLMs to Express Confidence with Self-Reflective Rationalescited by 105
- 2024On Verbalized Confidence Scores for LLMscited by 83
- 2024Overconfidence is Key: Verbalized Uncertainty Evaluation in Large Language and Vision-Language Modelscited by 54
- 2025Rewarding Doubt: A Reinforcement Learning Approach to Calibrated Confidence Expression of Large Language Modelscited by 52
- 2025ConfTuner: Training Large Language Models to Express Their Confidence Verballycited by 39
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.
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- 2026On the effectiveness of reward functions in reinforcement learning for confidence calibration of large language models
- 2026Scaling with Confidence: Calibrating Confidence of LLMs for Adaptive Test Time Scaling
- 2026Test-time Calibration Learning for Large Language Model Reasoning
- 2026RL-ARC: Calibrating Large Reasoning Models via Reasoning-guided Uncertainty
- 2025Trained on Tokens, Calibrated on Concepts: The Emergence of Semantic Calibration in LLMs
- 2026Balancing Classification and Calibration Performance in Decision-Making LLMs via Calibration Aware Reinforcement Learning
- 2026ConfidenceBench: Evaluating Confidence Calibration in Large Language Models
- 2025Confidence as a Reward: Transforming LLMs into Reward Models