mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

RL-ARC: Calibrating Large Reasoning Models via Reasoning-guided Uncertainty

arXiv 2610.11352 ↗First posted 8 Oct 2026cs.AI cs.CL cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Language models (LMs) are commonly trained with Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewards (RLVR) to enhance their reasoning capabilities. However, since RLVR does not explicitly account for calibration during training, it can lead to severe calibration degradation, including overconfidence. Recent calibration-aware training methods for LMs, which incorporate objectives for uncertainty estimation into training, improve calibration but still exhibit overconfidence under distribution shift, while sacrificing reasoning performance. To this end, we propose RL-ARC, a calibration-aware training framework that jointly leverages reasoning confidence and answer confidence. Specifically, RL-ARC leverages reasoning confidence as an auxiliary signal for calibrating answer confidence, applying it as reasoning-guided regularization for correct cases and as an overconfidence penalty for incorrect cases. Comprehensive results across ID and OOD settings show that, beyond improving calibration, RL-ARC enables reasoning models to adaptively estimate confidence based on the given question without substantially sacrificing reasoning performance, thereby highlighting the importance of reasoning confidence for training reliable reasoning models.

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References · 11

  1. 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 9,743
  2. 2024DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Modelscited by 8,851
  3. 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,195
  4. 2024Qwen2.5 Technical Reportcited by 4,713
  5. 2022Language Models (Mostly) Know What They Knowcited by 1,783
  6. 2024OpenAI o1 System Cardcited by 1,220
  7. 2024Qwen2.5-Math Technical Report: Toward Mathematical Expert Model via Self-Improvementcited by 1,057
  8. 2024Measuring short-form factuality in large language modelscited by 345
  9. 2025Big-Math: A Large-Scale, High-Quality Math Dataset for Reinforcement Learning in Language Modelscited by 104
  10. 2025Mitigating LLM Hallucination via Behaviorally Calibrated Reinforcement Learningcited by 13
  11. 2025C2GSPG: Confidence-calibrated Group Sequence Policy Gradient towards Self-aware Reasoningcited by 8

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