mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

An Efficient Black-Box Reduction from Online Learning to Multicalibration, and a New Route to Phi-Regret Minimization

arXiv 2604.19592 ↗First posted 21 Apr 2026cs.LG cs.GTcited by 3

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Abstract (arXiv)

We give a Gordon-Greenwald-Marks (GGM) style black-box reduction from online learning to online multicalibration. Concretely, we show that to achieve high-dimensional multicalibration with respect to a class of functions H, it suffices to combine any no-regret learner over mathcal H with an expected variational inequality (EVI) solver. We also prove a converse statement showing that efficient multicalibration implies efficient EVI solving, highlighting how EVIs in multicalibration mirror the role of fixed points in the GGM result for Phi-regret. This first set of results addresses the high-dimensional analogue of the open question in Garg, Jung, Reingold, and Roth (SODA '24), showing that oracle-efficient online multicalibration with √T-type guarantees is possible in full generality. Furthermore, our GGM-style reduction unifies the analyses of existing algorithms, transfers guarantees from online learning to multicalibration for challenging environments with delayed observations or censored outcomes, and yields the first efficient black-box reduction between online learning and multiclass omniprediction. Our second main result is a fine-grained reduction from high-dimensional online multicalibration to (contextual) Phi-regret minimization. Together with our first result, this establishes a new route from external regret to Phi-regret that bypasses sophisticated fixed-point or semi-separation machinery, dramatically simplifies a result of Daskalakis, Farina, Fishelson, Pipis, and Schneider (STOC '25) while improving rates, and yields new algorithms that are robust to richer deviation classes, such as those belonging to any reproducing kernel Hilbert space.

Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 34 of its 68 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Apr 2026.

Builds on

34 of 68 references.

References · 34

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22 more
  1. 2022Forecast Hedging and Calibrationcited by 22
  2. 2013Approachability, Regret and Calibration; implications and equivalencescited by 19
  3. 2023Complexity-Theoretic Implications of Multicalibrationcited by 16
  4. 2021Efficient Deviation Types and Learning for Hindsight Rationality in Extensive-Form Gamescited by 15
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  12. 2024A Lower Bound on Swap Regret in Extensive-Form Gamescited by 8
  13. 2025Swap Regret and Correlated Equilibria Beyond Normal-Form Gamescited by 8
  14. 2025How Global Calibration Strengthens Multiaccuracycited by 8
  15. 2026Optimal Lower Bounds for Online Multicalibrationcited by 6
  16. 2025Expected Variational Inequalitiescited by 5
  17. 2025In Defense of Defensive Forecastingcited by 5
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  19. 2025Learning and Computation of Phi-Equilibria at the Frontier of Tractabilitycited by 4
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  21. 2026Swap Regret Minimization Through Response-Based Approachabilitycited by 2
  22. 2026Defensive Generationcited by 1

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