mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Can LLMs Predict Their Own Failures? Self-Awareness via Internal Circuits

arXiv 2512.20578 ↗First posted 23 Dec 2025cs.CLcited by 12

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Abstract (arXiv)

Large language models (LLMs) generate fluent and complex outputs but often fail to recognize their own mistakes and hallucinations. Existing approaches typically rely on external judges, multi-sample consistency, or text-based self-critique, which incur additional compute or correlate weakly with true correctness. We ask: can LLMs predict their own failures by inspecting internal states during inference? We introduce Gnosis, a lightweight self-awareness mechanism that enables frozen LLMs to perform intrinsic self-verification by decoding signals from hidden states and attention patterns. Gnosis passively observes internal traces, compresses them into fixed-budget descriptors, and predicts correctness with negligible inference cost, adding only ~5M parameters and operating independently of sequence length. Across math reasoning, open-domain question answering, and academic knowledge benchmarks, and over frozen backbones ranging from 1.7B to 20B parameters, Gnosis consistently outperforms strong internal baselines and large external judges in both accuracy and calibration. Moreover, it generalizes zero-shot to partial generations, enabling early detection of failing trajectories and compute-aware control. These results show that reliable correctness cues are intrinsic to generation process and can be extracted efficiently without external supervision.

Key facts. Cited by 12 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 31 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 23 Dec 2025.

Builds on

22 of 31 references.

References · 22

  1. 2022Training language models to follow instructions with human feedbackcited by 15,712
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  12. 2025Skywork-Reward-V2: Scaling Preference Data Curation via Human-AI Synergycited by 204
10 more
  1. 2025Reasoning Models Know When They're Right: Probing Hidden States for Self-Verificationcited by 154
  2. 2025RewardBench 2: Advancing Reward Model Evaluationcited by 136
  3. 2024HelpSteer2-Preference: Complementing Ratings with Preferencescited by 129
  4. 2025AbstentionBench: Reasoning LLMs Fail on Unanswerable Questionscited by 129
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  6. 2024Calibrating Large Language Models Using Their Generations Onlycited by 63
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  8. 2024Do LLMs Know about Hallucination? An Empirical Investigation of LLM's Hidden Statescited by 50
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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 12.

12 papers.

Similar, not cited

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  1. 2026LLMs Encode Their Failures: Predicting Success from Pre-Generation Activations
  2. 2025Incentivizing LLMs to Self-Verify Their Answers
  3. 2024Lachesis: Predicting LLM Inference Accuracy using Structural Properties of Reasoning Paths
  4. 2026Wrong Prediction, Right Answer: Recovering Evidence from Collapsed LLM Sequence Scores
  5. 2026Can We Break LLMs Out of Self-Loops? Fine-Grained Reasoning Control with Activation Steering
  6. 2023A Closer Look at the Self-Verification Abilities of Large Language Models in Logical Reasoning
  7. 2024Are Your LLMs Capable of Stable Reasoning?
  8. 2026ReFlect: An Effective Harness System for Complex Long-Horizon LLM Reasoning