Guided by Gut: Efficient Test-Time Scaling with Reinforced Intrinsic Confidence
On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking
Abstract (arXiv)
Test-Time Scaling (TTS) methods for enhancing Large Language Model (LLM) reasoning often incur substantial computational costs, primarily due to extensive reliance on external Process Reward Models (PRMs) or sampling methods like Best-of-N (BoN). This paper introduces Guided by Gut (GG), an efficient self-guided TTS framework that achieves PRM-level performance without costly external verifier models. Our method employs a lightweight tree search guided solely by intrinsic LLM signals, token-level confidence and step novelty. One critical innovation is improving the reliability of internal confidence estimates via a targeted reinforcement learning fine-tuning phase. Empirical evaluations on challenging mathematical reasoning benchmarks demonstrate that GG enables smaller models (e.g., 1.5B parameters) to achieve accuracy matching or surpassing significantly larger models (e.g., 32B-70B parameters), while reducing GPU memory usage by up to 10x. Compared to PRM-based methods, GG achieves comparable accuracy with 8x faster inference speeds and 4-5x lower memory usage. Additionally, GG reduces KV cache memory usage by approximately 50% compared to the BoN strategy, facilitating more efficient and practical deployment of TTS techniques.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 38 of its 52 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 23 May 2025.
Builds on
38 of 52 references.
Closest ancestors · 9
Same direction, newest first
- 2025Efficient Test-Time Scaling via Self-Calibration25 Feb
- 2025CER: Confidence Enhanced Reasoning in LLMs20 Feb
- 2025Can 1B LLM Surpass 405B LLM? Rethinking Compute-Optimal Test-Time Scaling10 Feb
- 2025Confidence Improves Self-Consistency in LLMs10 Feb
- 2025s1: Simple test-time scaling31 Jan
- 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters6 Aug
- 2024Escape Sky-high Cost: Early-stopping Self-Consistency for Multi-step Reasoning19 Jan
- 2024ReFT: Reasoning with Reinforced Fine-Tuning17 Jan
- 2023Self-Evaluation Guided Beam Search for Reasoning1 May
Other references · 29
- 2022Training language models to follow instructions with human feedbackcited by 15,971
- 2017Proximal Policy Optimization Algorithmscited by 15,215
- 2022Chain-of-Thought Prompting Elicits Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 12,459
- 2024DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Modelscited by 9,379
- 2019Sentence-BERT: Sentence Embeddings using Siamese BERT-Networkscited by 9,170
- 2025Qwen2.5-VL Technical Reportcited by 5,587
- 2021Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Datasetcited by 5,371
- 2016SGDR: Stochastic Gradient Descent with Warm Restartscited by 5,045
- 2024Qwen2.5 Technical Reportcited by 4,942
- 2023Let's Verify Step by Stepcited by 3,789
- 2025DAPO: An Open-Source LLM Reinforcement Learning System at Scalecited by 2,810
- 2023FlashAttention-2: Faster Attention with Better Parallelism and Work Partitioningcited by 2,598
17 more
- 2025Understanding R1-Zero-Like Training: A Critical Perspectivecited by 1,345
- 2025Kimi k1.5: Scaling Reinforcement Learning with LLMscited by 1,210
- 2024Qwen2.5-Math Technical Report: Toward Mathematical Expert Model via Self-Improvementcited by 1,090
- 2024Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Samplingcited by 991
- 2023Math-Shepherd: Verify and Reinforce LLMs Step-by-step without Human Annotationscited by 928
- 2025SimpleRL-Zoo: Investigating and Taming Zero Reinforcement Learning for Open Base Models in the Wildcited by 511
- 2025LIMO: Less is More for Reasoningcited by 498
- 2025The Lessons of Developing Process Reward Models in Mathematical Reasoningcited by 415
- 2024ProcessBench: Identifying Process Errors in Mathematical Reasoningcited by 292
- 2024Monte Carlo Tree Search Boosts Reasoning via Iterative Preference Learningcited by 241
- 2024A Survey on Efficient Inference for Large Language Modelscited by 205
- 2022Will we run out of data? Limits of LLM scaling based on human-generated datacited by 195
- 2025When More is Less: Understanding Chain-of-Thought Length in LLMscited by 183
- 2024OpenR: An Open Source Framework for Advanced Reasoning with Large Language Modelscited by 94
- 2025A Comprehensive Survey of Reward Models: Taxonomy, Applications, Challenges, and Futurecited by 53
- 2023Fewer is More: Boosting LLM Reasoning with Reinforced Context Pruningcited by 26
- 2025Premise-Augmented Reasoning Chains Improve Error Identification in Math reasoning with LLMscited by 22
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 6; 2026: 2.
8 papers.
- 2025Don't Overthink It: A Survey of Efficient R1-style Large Reasoning Modelscited by 37
- 2025Low-probability Tokens Sustain Exploration in Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Rewardcited by 25
- 2025Can LLMs Predict Their Own Failures? Self-Awareness via Internal Circuitscited by 14
- 2025Probing the Difficulty Perception Mechanism of Large Language Modelscited by 8
- 2026Neural Chain-of-Thought Search: Searching the Optimal Reasoning Path to Enhance Large Language Modelscited by 8
- 2025PRInTS: Reward Modeling for Long-Horizon Information Seekingcited by 5
- 2025Charting the Future of Scholarly Knowledge with AI: A Community Perspectivecited by 0
- 2026Can We Predict The Human Preference For Text-to-Image Content Prior To Generation And Is It Even Useful To Do So?cited by 0
- 2026Can We Predict The Human Preference For Text-to-Image Content Prior To Generation And Is It Even Useful To Do So?3 Jun 2026
- 2026Neural Chain-of-Thought Search: Searching the Optimal Reasoning Path to Enhance Large Language Models16 Jan 2026
- 2025Can LLMs Predict Their Own Failures? Self-Awareness via Internal Circuits23 Dec 2025
- 2025PRInTS: Reward Modeling for Long-Horizon Information Seeking24 Nov 2025
- 2025Probing the Difficulty Perception Mechanism of Large Language Models7 Oct 2025
- 2025Low-probability Tokens Sustain Exploration in Reinforcement Learning with Verifiable Reward3 Oct 2025
- 2025Charting the Future of Scholarly Knowledge with AI: A Community Perspective27 Aug 2025
- 2025Don't Overthink It: A Survey of Efficient R1-style Large Reasoning Models4 Aug 2025
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2025Step-level Verifier-guided Hybrid Test-Time Scaling for Large Language Models
- 2025T1: Advancing Language Model Reasoning through Reinforcement Learning and Inference Scaling
- 2025Less is More: Improving LLM Reasoning with Minimal Test-Time Intervention
- 2026Scaling with Confidence: Calibrating Confidence of LLMs for Adaptive Test Time Scaling
- 2026ThinkBooster: A Unified Framework for Seamless Test-Time Scaling of LLM Reasoning
- 2025Prompting Test-Time Scaling Is A Strong LLM Reasoning Data Augmentation
- 2025ReProbe: Efficient Test-Time Scaling of Multi-Step Reasoning by Probing Internal States of Large Language Models
- 2025A Theoretical Study on Bridging Internal Probability and Self-Consistency for LLM Reasoning