mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Measuring Fine-Grained Negotiation Tactics of Humans and LLMs in Diplomacy

arXiv 2512.18292 ↗First posted 20 Dec 2025cs.CY cs.CLcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

The study of negotiation styles dates back to Aristotle's ethos-pathos-logos rhetoric. Prior efforts primarily studied the success of negotiation agents. Here, we shift the focus towards the styles of negotiation strategies. Our focus is the strategic dialogue board game Diplomacy, which affords rich natural language negotiation and measures of game success. We used LLM-as-a-judge to annotate a large human-human set of Diplomacy games for fine-grained negotiation tactics from a sociologically-grounded taxonomy. Using a combination of the It Takes Two and WebDiplomacy datasets, we demonstrate the reliability of our LLM-as-a-Judge framework and show strong correlations between negotiation features and success in the Diplomacy setting. Lastly, we investigate the differences between LLM and human negotiation strategies and show that fine-tuning can steer LLM agents toward more human-like negotiation behaviors.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 60 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Dec 2025.

Builds on

16 of 60 references.

References · 16

  1. 2021LoRA: Low-Rank Adaptation of Large Language Modelscited by 14,380
  2. 2017Deal or No Deal? End-to-End Learning for Negotiation Dialoguescited by 209
  3. 2023Improving Language Model Negotiation with Self-Play and In-Context Learning from AI Feedbackcited by 207
  4. 2018Decoupling Strategy and Generation in Negotiation Dialoguescited by 162
  5. 2024How Well Can LLMs Negotiate? NegotiationArena Platform and Analysiscited by 100
  6. 2022Mastering the Game of No-Press Diplomacy via Human-Regularized Reinforcement Learning and Planningcited by 48
  7. 2020Human-Level Performance in No-Press Diplomacy via Equilibrium Searchcited by 41
  8. 2019No Press Diplomacy: Modeling Multi-Agent Gameplaycited by 38
  9. 2024Are LLMs Effective Negotiators? Systematic Evaluation of the Multifaceted Capabilities of LLMs in Negotiation Dialoguescited by 29
  10. 2024LLMs with Personalities in Multi-issue Negotiation Gamescited by 22
  11. 2015Linguistic Harbingers of Betrayal: A Case Study on an Online Strategy Gamecited by 16
  12. 2022Opponent Modeling in Negotiation Dialogues by Related Data Adaptationcited by 13
4 more
  1. 2021Towards Emotion-Aware Agents For Negotiation Dialoguescited by 10
  2. 2023It Takes Two to Negotiate: Modeling Social Exchange in Online Multiplayer Gamescited by 8
  3. 2021Using Graph-Aware Reinforcement Learning to Identify Winning Strategies in Diplomacy Games (Student Abstract)cited by 3
  4. 2025Should I Trust You? Detecting Deception in Negotiations using Counterfactual RLcited by 3

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.

2 papers.

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  1. 2026MERIT Feedback Elicits Better Bargaining in LLM Negotiators
  2. 2024Simulating Human Strategic Behavior: Comparing Single and Multi-agent LLMs
  3. 2025Democratizing Diplomacy: A Harness for Evaluating Any Large Language Model on Full-Press Diplomacy
  4. 2025LLM Agents for Bargaining with Utility-based Feedback
  5. 2025Effects of Theory of Mind and Prosocial Beliefs on Steering Human-Aligned Behaviors of LLMs in Ultimatum Games
  6. 2025The Illusion of Rationality: Tacit Bias and Strategic Dominance in Frontier LLM Negotiation Games
  7. 2024Game-theoretic LLM: Agent Workflow for Negotiation Games
  8. 2025Strategic Tradeoffs Between Humans and AI in Multi-Agent Bargaining