mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Scalable Utility-Aware Multiclass Calibration

arXiv 2510.25458 ↗First posted 29 Oct 2025cs.LG cs.AI stat.MLcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Ensuring that classifiers are well-calibrated, i.e., their predictions align with observed frequencies, is a minimal and fundamental requirement for classifiers to be viewed as trustworthy. Existing methods for assessing multiclass calibration often focus on specific aspects associated with prediction (e.g., top-class confidence, class-wise calibration) or utilize computationally challenging variational formulations. In this work, we study scalable evaluation of multiclass calibration. To this end, we propose utility calibration, a general framework that measures the calibration error relative to a specific utility function that encapsulates the goals or decision criteria relevant to the end user. We demonstrate how this framework can unify and re-interpret several existing calibration metrics, particularly allowing for more robust versions of the top-class and class-wise calibration metrics, and, going beyond such binarized approaches, toward assessing calibration for richer classes of downstream utilities.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 34 of its 58 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Oct 2025.

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34 of 58 references.

References · 34

  1. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,860
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  4. 2019Measuring Calibration in Deep Learningcited by 443
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  12. 2019Calibration tests in multi-class classification: A unifying frameworkcited by 79
22 more
  1. 2021Calibrating Predictions to Decisions: A Novel Approach to Multi-Class Calibrationcited by 79
  2. 2020Intra Order-preserving Functions for Calibration of Multi-Class Neural Networkscited by 65
  3. 2022Better Uncertainty Calibration via Proper Scores for Classification and Beyondcited by 65
  4. 2020Moment Multicalibration for Uncertainty Estimationcited by 63
  5. 2022Loss Minimization through the Lens of Outcome Indistinguishabilitycited by 61
  6. 2022A Unifying Theory of Distance from Calibrationcited by 51
  7. 2021Top-label calibration and multiclass-to-binary reductionscited by 46
  8. 2023U-Calibration: Forecasting for an Unknown Agentcited by 46
  9. 2021Distribution-free calibration guarantees for histogram binning without sample splittingcited by 44
  10. 2022Low-Degree Multicalibrationcited by 44
  11. 2022A Consistent and Differentiable Lp Canonical Calibration Error Estimatorcited by 44
  12. 2023High-Dimensional Prediction for Sequential Decision Makingcited by 41
  13. 2023Swap Agnostic Learning, or Characterizing Omniprediction via Multicalibrationcited by 31
  14. 2020Multi-Class Uncertainty Calibration via Mutual Information Maximization-based Binningcited by 27
  15. 2022T-Cal: An optimal test for the calibration of predictive modelscited by 24
  16. 2024Forecasting for Swap Regret for All Downstream Agentscited by 24
  17. 2023Calibration by Distribution Matching: Trainable Kernel Calibration Metricscited by 20
  18. 2024On Computationally Efficient Multi-Class Calibrationcited by 16
  19. 2025Can a calibration metric be both testable and actionable?cited by 10
  20. 2022Taking a Step Back with KCal: Multi-Class Kernel-Based Calibration for Deep Neural Networkscited by 8
  21. 2020The VC-dimension of k-vertex d-polytopescited by 4
  22. 2022Class-wise and reduced calibration methodscited by 4

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