Sensitivity-Aware Amortized Bayesian Inference
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Abstract (arXiv)
Sensitivity analyses reveal the influence of various modeling choices on the outcomes of statistical analyses. While theoretically appealing, they are overwhelmingly inefficient for complex Bayesian models. In this work, we propose sensitivity-aware amortized Bayesian inference (SA-ABI), a multifaceted approach to efficiently integrate sensitivity analyses into simulation-based inference with neural networks. First, we utilize weight sharing to encode the structural similarities between alternative likelihood and prior specifications in the training process with minimal computational overhead. Second, we leverage the rapid inference of neural networks to assess sensitivity to data perturbations and preprocessing steps. In contrast to most other Bayesian approaches, both steps circumvent the costly bottleneck of refitting the model for each choice of likelihood, prior, or data set. Finally, we propose to use deep ensembles to detect sensitivity arising from unreliable approximation (e.g., due to model misspecification). We demonstrate the effectiveness of our method in applied modeling problems, ranging from disease outbreak dynamics and global warming thresholds to human decision-making. Our results support sensitivity-aware inference as a default choice for amortized Bayesian workflows, automatically providing modelers with insights into otherwise hidden dimensions.
Key facts. Cited by 20 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 59 of its 117 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 Oct 2023.
Builds on
59 of 117 references.
References · 59
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- 2026Amortized Simulation-Based Inference in Generalized Bayes via Neural Posterior Estimation29 Jan 2026
- 2025MIST: Mutual Information Estimation Via Supervised Training24 Nov 2025
- 2025Efficient Autoregressive Inference for Transformer Probabilistic Models10 Oct 2025
- 2025Simulation-Based Inference: A Practical Guide18 Aug 2025
- 2025Meta-Statistical Learning: Supervised Learning of Statistical Estimators17 Feb 2025
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- 2025Distribution Transformers: Fast Approximate Bayesian Inference With On-The-Fly Prior Adaptation4 Feb 2025
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