mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Real-time gravitational-wave inference for binary neutron stars using machine learning

arXiv 2407.09602 ↗First posted 12 Jul 2024gr-qc astro-ph.IM cs.LGcited by 21

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

Mergers of binary neutron stars (BNSs) emit signals in both the gravitational-wave (GW) and electromagnetic (EM) spectra. Famously, the 2017 multi-messenger observation of GW170817 led to scientific discoveries across cosmology, nuclear physics, and gravity. Central to these results were the sky localization and distance obtained from GW data, which, in the case of GW170817, helped to identify the associated EM transient, AT 2017gfo, 11 hours after the GW signal. Fast analysis of GW data is critical for directing time-sensitive EM observations; however, due to challenges arising from the length and complexity of signals, it is often necessary to make approximations that sacrifice accuracy. Here, we present a machine learning framework that performs complete BNS inference in just one second without making any such approximations. Our approach enhances multi-messenger observations by providing (i) accurate localization even before the merger; (ii) improved localization precision by ~30% compared to approximate low-latency methods; and (iii) detailed information on luminosity distance, inclination, and masses, which can be used to prioritize expensive telescope time. Additionally, the flexibility and reduced cost of our method open new opportunities for equation-of-state studies. Finally, we demonstrate that our method scales to extremely long signals, up to an hour in length, thus serving as a blueprint for data analysis for next-generation ground- and space-based detectors.

Key facts. Cited by 21 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 16 of its 92 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 Jul 2024.

Builds on

16 of 92 references.

References · 16

  1. 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 51,809
  2. 2015Variational Inference with Normalizing Flowscited by 2,161
  3. 2019Neural Spline Flowscited by 590
  4. 2019The frontier of simulation-based inferencecited by 490
  5. 2019Automatic Posterior Transformation for Likelihood-Free Inferencecited by 216
  6. 2017Flexible statistical inference for mechanistic models of neural dynamicscited by 162
  7. 2023Flow Matching for Scalable Simulation-Based Inferencecited by 97
  8. 2021Real-time gravitational-wave science with neural posterior estimationcited by 76
  9. 2022Truncated proposals for scalable and hassle-free simulation-based inferencecited by 40
  10. 2019Bayesian parameter estimation using conditional variational autoencoders for gravitational-wave astronomycited by 36
  11. 2022Neural Importance Sampling for Rapid and Reliable Gravitational-Wave Inferencecited by 28
  12. 2020Complete parameter inference for GW150914 using deep learningcited by 25
4 more
  1. 2020Gravitational-wave parameter estimation with autoregressive neural network flowscited by 19
  2. 2020Lightning-Fast Gravitational Wave Parameter Inference through Neural Amortizationcited by 17
  3. 2021Group equivariant neural posterior estimationcited by 16
  4. 2022Adapting to noise distribution shifts in flow-based gravitational-wave inferencecited by 5

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2024: 1; 2025: 9; 2026: 11.

21 papers.

Sort:

By area:

  1. 2025Simulation-Based Inference: A Practical Guidecited by 30
  2. 2025Effortless, Simulation-Efficient Bayesian Inference using Tabular Foundation Modelscited by 13
  3. 2025SciTS: Scientific Time Series Understanding and Generation with LLMscited by 13
  4. 2025Towards autonomous quantum physics research using LLM agents with access to intelligent toolscited by 7
  5. 2024Fast and Reliable Probabilistic Reflectometry Inversion with Prior-Amortized Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 4
  6. 2025FlowVAT: Normalizing Flow Variational Inference with Affine-Invariant Temperingcited by 2
  7. 2026Do Diffusion Models Dream of Electric Planes? Discrete and Continuous Simulation-Based Inference for Aircraft Designcited by 2
  8. 2026An agentic framework for gravitational-wave counterpart association in the multi-messenger eracited by 2
  9. 2025Learning Individual Reproductive Behavior from Aggregate Fertility Rates via Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 1
  10. 2025Flexible Gravitational-Wave Parameter Estimation with Transformerscited by 1
  11. 2026An Introduction to Bayesian and Frequentist Simulation-Based Inference with Machine Learningcited by 1
  12. 2025Enhancing the reliability of machine learning for gravitational wave parameter estimation with attention-based modelscited by 0
9 more
  1. 2025Recent Advances in Simulation-based Inference for Gravitational Wave Data Analysiscited by 0
  2. 2026STEP: Scientific Time-Series Encoder Pretraining via Cross-Domain Distillationcited by 0
  3. 2026Binary Black Hole Parameter Estimation with Hybrid CNN-Transformer Neural Networkscited by 0
  4. 2026AI-enabled gravitational-waves searches for binary neutron stars at optimal sensitivitycited by 0
  5. 2026Fast, accurate, and differentiable: a neural-network surrogate for NRSur7dq4 precessing binary black hole waveformscited by 0
  6. 2026Simulation-Based Quantum System Inference with Neural Posterior Estimationcited by 0
  7. 2026High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Inference in Latent Spacescited by 0
  8. 2026Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structurecited by 0
  9. 2026Machine Learning Meets High-Energy Nuclear Physics: From Pattern Recognition to Physics-Integrated Discoverycited by 0