mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Universal Learning of Nonlinear Dynamics

arXiv 2508.11990 ↗First posted 16 Aug 2025cs.LG math.OC stat.MLcited by 5

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Abstract (arXiv)

We study the fundamental problem of learning a marginally stable unknown nonlinear dynamical system. We describe an algorithm for this problem, based on the technique of spectral filtering, which learns a mapping from past observations to the next based on a spectral representation of the system. Using techniques from online convex optimization, we prove vanishing prediction error for any nonlinear dynamical system that has finitely many marginally stable modes, with rates governed by a novel quantitative control-theoretic notion of learnability. The main technical component of our method is a new spectral filtering algorithm for linear dynamical systems, which incorporates past observations and applies to general noisy and marginally stable systems. This significantly generalizes the original spectral filtering algorithm to both asymmetric dynamics as well as incorporating noise correction, and is of independent interest.

Key facts. Cited by 5 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 27 of its 50 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 16 Aug 2025.

Builds on

27 of 50 references.

References · 27

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15 more
  1. 2019Learning Linear Dynamical Systems with Semi-Parametric Least Squarescited by 58
  2. 2019The Nonstochastic Control Problemcited by 52
  3. 2017Learning Linear Dynamical Systems via Spectral Filteringcited by 46
  4. 2020Black-Box Control for Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 43
  5. 2018Spectral Filtering for General Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 37
  6. 2013Online Learning for Time Series Predictioncited by 33
  7. 2023A New Approach to Learning Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 23
  8. 2023Spectral State Space Modelscited by 21
  9. 2020No-Regret Prediction in Marginally Stable Systemscited by 18
  10. 2018On-Line Learning of Linear Dynamical Systems: Exponential Forgetting in Kalman Filterscited by 16
  11. 2023PyKoopman: A Python Package for Data-Driven Approximation of the Koopman Operatorcited by 10
  12. 2023Tensor Decompositions Meet Control Theory: Learning General Mixtures of Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 10
  13. 2018Theory and Algorithms for Forecasting Time Seriescited by 7
  14. 2024Flash STU: Fast Spectral Transform Unitscited by 7
  15. 2020Luenberger observers for discrete-time nonlinear systemscited by 6

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Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 4.

5 papers.