Learning Linear Dynamical Systems via Spectral Filtering
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Abstract (arXiv)
We present an efficient and practical algorithm for the online prediction of discrete-time linear dynamical systems with a symmetric transition matrix. We circumvent the non-convex optimization problem using improper learning: carefully overparameterize the class of LDSs by a polylogarithmic factor, in exchange for convexity of the loss functions. From this arises a polynomial-time algorithm with a near-optimal regret guarantee, with an analogous sample complexity bound for agnostic learning. Our algorithm is based on a novel filtering technique, which may be of independent interest: we convolve the time series with the eigenvectors of a certain Hankel matrix.
Key facts. Cited by 46 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 2 Nov 2017.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 5; 2022: 4; 2023: 7; 2024: 10; 2025: 11; 2026: 9.
46 papers.
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- 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encodercited by 332
- 2023A New Approach to Learning Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 23
- 2023Spectral State Space Modelscited by 21
- 2021Streaming Linear System Identification with Reverse Experience Replaycited by 17
- 2022Finite Sample Identification of Bilinear Dynamical Systemscited by 12
- 2023Tensor Decompositions Meet Control Theory: Learning General Mixtures of Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 10
- 2024Online Linear Regression in Dynamic Environments via Discountingcited by 10
- 2023Smoothed Online Learning for Prediction in Piecewise Affine Systemscited by 9
- 2024Flash STU: Fast Spectral Transform Unitscited by 7
- 2024FutureFill: Fast Generation from Convolutional Sequence Modelscited by 7
- 2021Regret Analysis of Distributed Online LQR Control for Unknown LTI Systemscited by 6
- 2024Learning Linear Dynamics from Bilinear Observationscited by 6
34 more
- 2025Universal Sequence Preconditioningcited by 6
- 2023Oracle-Efficient Smoothed Online Learning for Piecewise Continuous Decision Makingcited by 5
- 2025Finite Sample Identification of Partially Observed Bilinear Dynamical Systemscited by 5
- 2025Universal Learning of Nonlinear Dynamicscited by 5
- 2025Research Program: Theory of Learning in Dynamical Systemscited by 5
- 2021Time varying regression with hidden linear dynamicscited by 4
- 2022Fairness in Forecasting of Observations of Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 4
- 2025Model-free Online Learning for the Kalman Filter: Forgetting Factor and Logarithmic Regretcited by 4
- 2024Online Control in Population Dynamicscited by 3
- 2024Combining Federated Learning and Control: A Surveycited by 3
- 2024Long-Context Linear System Identificationcited by 3
- 2024Provable Length Generalization in Sequence Prediction via Spectral Filteringcited by 3
- 2025UnHiPPO: Uncertainty-aware Initialization for State Space Modelscited by 3
- 2026Continuous Latent Contexts Enable Efficient Online Learning in Transformerscited by 3
- 2025A New Approach to Controlling Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 2
- 2026Spectral Filtering for Complex Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 2
- 2026Elastic Spectral State Space Models for Train-Once Budgeted Inferencecited by 2
- 2021Scalable Balanced Training of Conditional Generative Adversarial Neural Networks on Image Datacited by 1
- 2024The Complexity of Sequential Prediction in Dynamical Systemscited by 1
- 2025SpectraLDS: Provable Distillation for Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 1
- 2025Logarithmic Regret and Polynomial Scaling in Online Multi-step-ahead Predictioncited by 1
- 2026The Power of Second Order Methods for Sequence Preconditioningcited by 1
- 2021ast2vec: Utilizing Recursive Neural Encodings of Python Programscited by 0
- 2022Stable Parallel Training of Wasserstein Conditional Generative Adversarial Neural Networkscited by 0
- 2022Linear RNNs Provably Learn Linear Dynamic Systemscited by 0
- 2023Spectral learning of Bernoulli linear dynamical systems modelscited by 0
- 2024Approximated Orthogonal Projection Unit: Stabilizing Regression Network Training Using Natural Gradientcited by 0
- 2025Efficient Spectral Control of Partially Observed Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 0
- 2025Transductive and Learning-Augmented Online Regressioncited by 0
- 2026SFO: Learning PDE Operators via Spectral Filteringcited by 0
- 2026Online Nonstochastic Prediction: Logarithmic Regret via Predictive Online Least Squarescited by 0
- 2026A Memory Efficient Unified Algorithm for Online Learning of Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 0
- 2026A Spectral Filtering Approach to Regret Analysis of Distributed Online Control for Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 0
- 2026Spectral Distillation: From Nonlinear Dynamics to Linear State-Space Modelscited by 0
- 2026Spectral Distillation: From Nonlinear Dynamics to Linear State-Space Models5 Aug 2026
- 2026A Spectral Filtering Approach to Regret Analysis of Distributed Online Control for Linear Dynamical Systems3 Aug 2026
- 2026A Memory Efficient Unified Algorithm for Online Learning of Linear Dynamical Systems2 Jul 2026
- 2026Continuous Latent Contexts Enable Efficient Online Learning in Transformers11 May 2026
- 2026The Power of Second Order Methods for Sequence Preconditioning8 May 2026
- 2026Online Nonstochastic Prediction: Logarithmic Regret via Predictive Online Least Squares6 May 2026
- 2026Elastic Spectral State Space Models for Train-Once Budgeted Inference30 Jan 2026
- 2026Spectral Filtering for Complex Linear Dynamical Systems29 Jan 2026
- 2026SFO: Learning PDE Operators via Spectral Filtering23 Jan 2026
- 2025Research Program: Theory of Learning in Dynamical Systems22 Dec 2025
- 2025Logarithmic Regret and Polynomial Scaling in Online Multi-step-ahead Prediction16 Nov 2025
- 2025Transductive and Learning-Augmented Online Regression4 Oct 2025
34 more
- 2025Universal Learning of Nonlinear Dynamics16 Aug 2025
- 2025UnHiPPO: Uncertainty-aware Initialization for State Space Models5 Jun 2025
- 2025Efficient Spectral Control of Partially Observed Linear Dynamical Systems27 May 2025
- 2025SpectraLDS: Provable Distillation for Linear Dynamical Systems23 May 2025
- 2025Model-free Online Learning for the Kalman Filter: Forgetting Factor and Logarithmic Regret13 May 2025
- 2025A New Approach to Controlling Linear Dynamical Systems4 Apr 2025
- 2025Universal Sequence Preconditioning10 Feb 2025
- 2025Finite Sample Identification of Partially Observed Bilinear Dynamical Systems13 Jan 2025
- 2024Provable Length Generalization in Sequence Prediction via Spectral Filtering1 Nov 2024
- 2024Long-Context Linear System Identification8 Oct 2024
- 2024FutureFill: Fast Generation from Convolutional Sequence Models2 Oct 2024
- 2024Learning Linear Dynamics from Bilinear Observations24 Sep 2024
- 2024Approximated Orthogonal Projection Unit: Stabilizing Regression Network Training Using Natural Gradient23 Sep 2024
- 2024Flash STU: Fast Spectral Transform Units16 Sep 2024
- 2024Combining Federated Learning and Control: A Survey12 Jul 2024
- 2024Online Control in Population Dynamics3 Jun 2024
- 2024Online Linear Regression in Dynamic Environments via Discounting29 May 2024
- 2024The Complexity of Sequential Prediction in Dynamical Systems9 Feb 2024
- 2023Spectral State Space Models11 Dec 2023
- 2023Tensor Decompositions Meet Control Theory: Learning General Mixtures of Linear Dynamical Systems13 Jul 2023
- 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encoder17 Apr 2023
- 2023Spectral learning of Bernoulli linear dynamical systems models3 Mar 2023
- 2023Oracle-Efficient Smoothed Online Learning for Piecewise Continuous Decision Making10 Feb 2023
- 2023Smoothed Online Learning for Prediction in Piecewise Affine Systems26 Jan 2023
- 2023A New Approach to Learning Linear Dynamical Systems23 Jan 2023
- 2022Linear RNNs Provably Learn Linear Dynamic Systems19 Nov 2022
- 2022Fairness in Forecasting of Observations of Linear Dynamical Systems12 Sep 2022
- 2022Finite Sample Identification of Bilinear Dynamical Systems29 Aug 2022
- 2022Stable Parallel Training of Wasserstein Conditional Generative Adversarial Neural Networks25 Jul 2022
- 2021Time varying regression with hidden linear dynamics29 Dec 2021
- 2021Regret Analysis of Distributed Online LQR Control for Unknown LTI Systems15 May 2021
- 2021ast2vec: Utilizing Recursive Neural Encodings of Python Programs22 Mar 2021
- 2021Streaming Linear System Identification with Reverse Experience Replay10 Mar 2021
- 2021Scalable Balanced Training of Conditional Generative Adversarial Neural Networks on Image Data21 Feb 2021
- 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encodercited by 332
- 2023A New Approach to Learning Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 23
- 2023Spectral State Space Modelscited by 21
- 2021Streaming Linear System Identification with Reverse Experience Replaycited by 17
- 2022Finite Sample Identification of Bilinear Dynamical Systemscited by 12
- 2023Tensor Decompositions Meet Control Theory: Learning General Mixtures of Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 10
- 2024Online Linear Regression in Dynamic Environments via Discountingcited by 10
- 2023Smoothed Online Learning for Prediction in Piecewise Affine Systemscited by 9
- 2024Flash STU: Fast Spectral Transform Unitscited by 7
- 2024FutureFill: Fast Generation from Convolutional Sequence Modelscited by 7
- 2021Regret Analysis of Distributed Online LQR Control for Unknown LTI Systemscited by 6
- 2024Learning Linear Dynamics from Bilinear Observationscited by 6
12 most cited of 46 All 46 (JSON)
- 2026Spectral Distillation: From Nonlinear Dynamics to Linear State-Space Models5 Aug 2026
- 2026A Spectral Filtering Approach to Regret Analysis of Distributed Online Control for Linear Dynamical Systems3 Aug 2026
- 2026A Memory Efficient Unified Algorithm for Online Learning of Linear Dynamical Systems2 Jul 2026
- 2026Continuous Latent Contexts Enable Efficient Online Learning in Transformers11 May 2026
- 2026The Power of Second Order Methods for Sequence Preconditioning8 May 2026
- 2026Online Nonstochastic Prediction: Logarithmic Regret via Predictive Online Least Squares6 May 2026
- 2026Elastic Spectral State Space Models for Train-Once Budgeted Inference30 Jan 2026
- 2026Spectral Filtering for Complex Linear Dynamical Systems29 Jan 2026
- 2026SFO: Learning PDE Operators via Spectral Filtering23 Jan 2026
- 2025Research Program: Theory of Learning in Dynamical Systems22 Dec 2025
- 2025Logarithmic Regret and Polynomial Scaling in Online Multi-step-ahead Prediction16 Nov 2025
- 2025Transductive and Learning-Augmented Online Regression4 Oct 2025
12 newest of 46 All 46 (JSON)