Gradient Descent Learns Linear Dynamical Systems
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Abstract (arXiv)
We prove that stochastic gradient descent efficiently converges to the global optimizer of the maximum likelihood objective of an unknown linear time-invariant dynamical system from a sequence of noisy observations generated by the system. Even though the objective function is non-convex, we provide polynomial running time and sample complexity bounds under strong but natural assumptions. Linear systems identification has been studied for many decades, yet, to the best of our knowledge, these are the first polynomial guarantees for the problem we consider.
Key facts. Cited by 78 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 16 Sep 2016.
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Citing papers per year: 2019: 1; 2020: 0; 2021: 19; 2022: 9; 2023: 11; 2024: 13; 2025: 16; 2026: 9.
78 papers.
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- 2023Resurrecting Recurrent Neural Networks for Long Sequencescited by 397
- 2022Statistical Learning Theory for Control: A Finite Sample Perspectivecited by 52
- 2025The Surprising Agreement Between Convex Optimization Theory and Learning-Rate Scheduling for Large Model Trainingcited by 31
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- 2023A New Approach to Learning Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 23
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- 2024Geometry of Polynomial Neural Networkscited by 21
- 2019On the Global Convergence of Imitation Learning: A Case for Linear Quadratic Regulatorcited by 20
- 2021Stochastic Polyak Stepsize with a Moving Targetcited by 19
- 2021Streaming Linear System Identification with Reverse Experience Replaycited by 17
- 2021Global Convergence and Stability of Stochastic Gradient Descentcited by 17
38 more
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- 2021On Riemannian Stochastic Approximation Schemes with Fixed Step-Sizecited by 12
- 2022Finite Sample Identification of Bilinear Dynamical Systemscited by 12
- 2021Escape saddle points by a simple gradient-descent based algorithmcited by 11
- 2024HOPE for a Robust Parameterization of Long-memory State Space Modelscited by 11
- 2023Tensor Decompositions Meet Control Theory: Learning General Mixtures of Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 10
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- 2023An Interventional Perspective on Identifiability in Gaussian LTI Systems with Independent Component Analysiscited by 9
- 2024Model Stealing for Any Low-Rank Language Modelcited by 9
- 2021Why Do Local Methods Solve Nonconvex Problems?cited by 8
- 2024Structure learning of Hamiltonians from real-time evolutioncited by 8
- 2022On the Implicit Bias of Gradient Descent for Temporal Extrapolationcited by 7
- 2022Learning Low Dimensional State Spaces with Overparameterized Recurrent Neural Netscited by 7
- 2024Convergence of Gradient Descent for Recurrent Neural Networks: A Nonasymptotic Analysiscited by 7
- 2024Loss Landscape Characterization of Neural Networks without Over-Parametrizationcited by 7
- 2021On the Provable Generalization of Recurrent Neural Networkscited by 6
- 2021Deep inference of latent dynamics with spatio-temporal super-resolution using selective backpropagation through timecited by 6
- 2022Zeroth-Order Negative Curvature Finding: Escaping Saddle Points without Gradientscited by 6
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- 2024Learning Linear Dynamics from Bilinear Observationscited by 6
- 2026On the Role of Batch Size in Stochastic Conditional Gradient Methodscited by 6
- 2021On the Memory Mechanism of Tensor-Power Recurrent Modelscited by 5
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- 2021On the Stability of Nonlinear Receding Horizon Control: A Geometric Perspectivecited by 4
- 2021Metric Entropy Limits on Recurrent Neural Network Learning of Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 4
- 2021Time varying regression with hidden linear dynamicscited by 4
- 2023Non-Asymptotic Pointwise and Worst-Case Bounds for Classical Spectrum Estimatorscited by 4
- 2025Finite Sample Identification of Partially Observed Bilinear Dynamical Systemscited by 4
- 2025Unbiased and Sign Compression in Distributed Learning: Comparing Noise Resilience via SDEscited by 4
- 2021Online Stochastic Gradient Descent Learns Linear Dynamical Systems from A Single Trajectorycited by 3
- 2021Robust Learning of Recurrent Neural Networks in Presence of Exogenous Noisecited by 3
50 most cited of 78 All 78 (JSON)
- 2026Spectral Distillation: From Nonlinear Dynamics to Linear State-Space Models5 Aug 2026
- 2026A Memory Efficient Unified Algorithm for Online Learning of Linear Dynamical Systems2 Jul 2026
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- 2026Dynamics and Representation Structure of Local Approximations to Gradient-Based Learning in Linear Recurrent Neural Networks29 May 2026
- 2026Limits of Learning Linear Dynamics from Experiments12 May 2026
- 2026The Power of Second Order Methods for Sequence Preconditioning8 May 2026
- 2026Interpretable Physics Extraction from Data for Linear Dynamical Systems using Lie Generator Networks28 Mar 2026
- 2026On the Role of Batch Size in Stochastic Conditional Gradient Methods22 Mar 2026
- 2026Universal Dynamics of Warmup Stable Decay: understanding WSD beyond Transformers13 Jan 2026
- 2025Logarithmic Regret and Polynomial Scaling in Online Multi-step-ahead Prediction16 Nov 2025
- 2025Smooth Quasar-Convex Optimization with Constraints2 Oct 2025
- 2025Universal Learning of Nonlinear Dynamics16 Aug 2025
38 more
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- 2025Minimisation of Quasar-Convex Functions Using Random Zeroth-Order Oracles4 May 2025
- 2025Bidirectional Linear Recurrent Models for Sequence-Level Multisource Fusion11 Apr 2025
- 2025A New Approach to Controlling Linear Dynamical Systems4 Apr 2025
- 2025Expected Variational Inequalities25 Feb 2025
- 2025Unbiased and Sign Compression in Distributed Learning: Comparing Noise Resilience via SDEs24 Feb 2025
- 2025A Novel Unified Parametric Assumption for Nonconvex Optimization17 Feb 2025
- 2025On the Expressivity of Selective State-Space Layers: A Multivariate Polynomial Approach4 Feb 2025
- 2025The Ball-Proximal (="Broximal") Point Method: a New Algorithm, Convergence Theory, and Applications4 Feb 2025
- 2025The Surprising Agreement Between Convex Optimization Theory and Learning-Rate Scheduling for Large Model Training31 Jan 2025
- 2025Finite Sample Identification of Partially Observed Bilinear Dynamical Systems13 Jan 2025
- 2024Model Stealing for Any Low-Rank Language Model12 Nov 2024
- 2024Loss Landscape Characterization of Neural Networks without Over-Parametrization16 Oct 2024
- 2024Long-Context Linear System Identification8 Oct 2024
- 2024Tuning Frequency Bias of State Space Models2 Oct 2024
- 2024Learning Linear Dynamics from Bilinear Observations24 Sep 2024
- 2024Flash STU: Fast Spectral Transform Units16 Sep 2024
- 2024Online Non-Stationary Stochastic Quasar-Convex Optimization4 Jul 2024
- 2024Recurrent neural networks: vanishing and exploding gradients are not the end of the story31 May 2024
- 2024HOPE for a Robust Parameterization of Long-memory State Space Models22 May 2024
- 2024Structure learning of Hamiltonians from real-time evolution30 Apr 2024
- 2024Convergence of Gradient Descent for Recurrent Neural Networks: A Nonasymptotic Analysis19 Feb 2024
- 2024How to Make the Gradients Small Privately: Improved Rates for Differentially Private Non-Convex Optimization17 Feb 2024
- 2024Geometry of Polynomial Neural Networks1 Feb 2024
- 2023An Interventional Perspective on Identifiability in Gaussian LTI Systems with Independent Component Analysis29 Nov 2023
- 2023StableSSM: Alleviating the Curse of Memory in State-space Models through Stable Reparameterization24 Nov 2023
- 2023Optimizing Solution-Samplers for Combinatorial Problems: The Landscape of Policy-Gradient Methods8 Oct 2023
- 2023Tensor Decompositions Meet Control Theory: Learning General Mixtures of Linear Dynamical Systems13 Jul 2023
- 2023Aiming towards the minimizers: fast convergence of SGD for overparametrized problems5 Jun 2023
- 2023On the Role of Noise in the Sample Complexity of Learning Recurrent Neural Networks: Exponential Gaps for Long Sequences28 May 2023
- 2023Non-Asymptotic Pointwise and Worst-Case Bounds for Classical Spectrum Estimators21 Mar 2023
- 2023Resurrecting Recurrent Neural Networks for Long Sequences11 Mar 2023
- 2023A Brief Survey on the Approximation Theory for Sequence Modelling27 Feb 2023
- 2023Continuized Acceleration for Quasar Convex Functions in Non-Convex Optimization15 Feb 2023
- 2023A New Approach to Learning Linear Dynamical Systems23 Jan 2023
- 2022Learning Nonlinear Couplings in Network of Agents from a Single Sample Trajectory20 Nov 2022
50 newest of 78 All 78 (JSON)
- 2023Resurrecting Recurrent Neural Networks for Long Sequencescited by 397
- 2022Statistical Learning Theory for Control: A Finite Sample Perspectivecited by 52
- 2025The Surprising Agreement Between Convex Optimization Theory and Learning-Rate Scheduling for Large Model Trainingcited by 31
- 2023StableSSM: Alleviating the Curse of Memory in State-space Models through Stable Reparameterizationcited by 29
- 2024Recurrent neural networks: vanishing and exploding gradients are not the end of the storycited by 25
- 2023A New Approach to Learning Linear Dynamical Systemscited by 23
- 2023Aiming towards the minimizers: fast convergence of SGD for overparametrized problemscited by 22
- 2024Geometry of Polynomial Neural Networkscited by 21
- 2021Stochastic Polyak Stepsize with a Moving Targetcited by 19
- 2021Streaming Linear System Identification with Reverse Experience Replaycited by 17
- 2021Global Convergence and Stability of Stochastic Gradient Descentcited by 17
- 2021Almost Surely Stable Deep Dynamicscited by 16
12 most cited of 76 All 76 (JSON)
- 2026Spectral Distillation: From Nonlinear Dynamics to Linear State-Space Models5 Aug 2026
- 2026A Memory Efficient Unified Algorithm for Online Learning of Linear Dynamical Systems2 Jul 2026
- 2026Two-Layer Linear Auto-Regressive Models Estimate Latent States10 Jun 2026
- 2026Dynamics and Representation Structure of Local Approximations to Gradient-Based Learning in Linear Recurrent Neural Networks29 May 2026
- 2026Limits of Learning Linear Dynamics from Experiments12 May 2026
- 2026The Power of Second Order Methods for Sequence Preconditioning8 May 2026
- 2026Interpretable Physics Extraction from Data for Linear Dynamical Systems using Lie Generator Networks28 Mar 2026
- 2026On the Role of Batch Size in Stochastic Conditional Gradient Methods22 Mar 2026
- 2026Universal Dynamics of Warmup Stable Decay: understanding WSD beyond Transformers13 Jan 2026
- 2025Logarithmic Regret and Polynomial Scaling in Online Multi-step-ahead Prediction16 Nov 2025
- 2025Smooth Quasar-Convex Optimization with Constraints2 Oct 2025
- 2025Universal Learning of Nonlinear Dynamics16 Aug 2025
12 newest of 76 All 76 (JSON)