Diffusion Beats Autoregressive in Data-Constrained Settings
On the map: Diffusion models → Discrete and text diffusion
Abstract (arXiv)
Autoregressive (AR) models have long dominated the landscape of large language models, driving progress across a wide range of tasks. Recently, diffusion-based language models have emerged as a promising alternative, though their advantages over AR models remain underexplored. In this paper, we systematically study masked diffusion models in data-constrained settings where training involves repeated passes over limited data and find that they significantly outperform AR models when compute is abundant but data is scarce. Diffusion models make better use of repeated data, achieving lower validation loss and superior downstream performance. We find new scaling laws for diffusion models and derive a closed-form expression for the critical compute threshold at which diffusion begins to outperform AR. Finally, we explain why diffusion models excel in this regime: their randomized masking objective implicitly trains over a rich distribution of token orderings, acting as an implicit data augmentation that AR's fixed left-to-right factorization lacks. Our results suggest that when data, not compute, is the bottleneck, diffusion models offer a compelling alternative to the standard AR paradigm. Our code is available at: https://diffusion-scaling.github.io.
Key facts. Cited by 61 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Discrete and text diffusion, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models. Builds on 36 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Jul 2025.
Builds on
36 of 46 references.
Closest ancestors · 7
Same direction, newest first
- 2025Block Diffusion: Interpolating Between Autoregressive and Diffusion Language Models12 Mar
- 2025Large Language Diffusion Models14 Feb
- 2024Scaling up Masked Diffusion Models on Text24 Oct
- 2024Simple and Effective Masked Diffusion Language Models11 Jun
- 2024Simplified and Generalized Masked Diffusion for Discrete Data6 Jun
- 2023Discrete Diffusion Modeling by Estimating the Ratios of the Data Distribution25 Oct
- 2023Likelihood-Based Diffusion Language Models30 May
Other references · 29
- 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
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- 2021Structured Denoising Diffusion Models in Discrete State-Spacescited by 1,665
- 2022Diffusion-LM Improves Controllable Text Generationcited by 1,006
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- 2022Image Data Augmentation for Deep Learning: A Surveycited by 96
- 2025Unified Multimodal Discrete Diffusioncited by 46
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 20; 2026: 41.
61 papers.
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- 2026Data-efficient pre-training by scaling synthetic megadocs19 Mar 2026
- 2026Summer-22B: A Systematic Approach to Dataset Engineering and Training at Scale for Video Foundation Model26 Feb 2026
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