mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

A Comprehensive Survey on Evidential Deep Learning and Its Applications

arXiv 2409.04720 ↗First posted 7 Sep 2024cs.LG cs.AIcited by 25

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Abstract (arXiv)

Reliable uncertainty estimation has become a crucial requirement for the industrial deployment of deep learning algorithms, particularly in high-risk applications such as autonomous driving and medical diagnosis. However, mainstream uncertainty estimation methods, based on deep ensembling or Bayesian neural networks, generally impose substantial computational overhead. To address this challenge, a novel paradigm called Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) has emerged, providing reliable uncertainty estimation with minimal additional computation in a single forward pass. This survey provides a comprehensive overview of the current research on EDL, designed to offer readers a broad introduction to the field without assuming prior knowledge. Specifically, we first delve into the theoretical foundation of EDL, the subjective logic theory, and discuss its distinctions from other uncertainty estimation frameworks. We further present existing theoretical advancements in EDL from four perspectives: reformulating the evidence collection process, improving uncertainty estimation via OOD samples, delving into various training strategies, and evidential regression networks. Thereafter, we elaborate on its extensive applications across various machine learning paradigms and downstream tasks. In the end, an outlook on future directions for better performances and broader adoption of EDL is provided, highlighting potential research avenues.

Key facts. Cited by 25 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 125 of its 211 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 7 Sep 2024.

Builds on

125 of 211 references.

References · 125

  1. 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 59,932
  2. 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 51,809
  3. 2022Generative Adversarial Networkscited by 5,603
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  5. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,416
  6. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,888
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  10. 2015Fast and Accurate Deep Network Learning by Exponential Linear Units (ELUs)cited by 1,061
  11. 2022Diffusion Models in Vision: A Surveycited by 1,008
  12. 2018Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Classification Uncertaintycited by 728
38 more
  1. 2021A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networkscited by 675
  2. 2018Predictive Uncertainty Estimation via Prior Networkscited by 555
  3. 2020A Survey of Deep Active Learningcited by 547
  4. 2016Weight Normalization: A Simple Reparameterization to Accelerate Training of Deep Neural Networkscited by 541
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  8. 2020Generalized ODIN: Detecting Out-of-distribution Image without Learning from Out-of-distribution Datacited by 408
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  10. 2020Simple and Principled Uncertainty Estimation with Deterministic Deep Learning via Distance Awarenesscited by 389
  11. 2020BatchEnsemble: An Alternative Approach to Efficient Ensemble and Lifelong Learningcited by 368
  12. 2023A Comprehensive Survey on Pretrained Foundation Models: A History from BERT to ChatGPTcited by 364
  13. 2019Deep Evidential Regressioncited by 354
  14. 2021What Are Bayesian Neural Network Posteriors Really Like?cited by 307
  15. 2015Probabilistic Backpropagation for Scalable Learning of Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 295
  16. 2014The Secrets of Salient Object Segmentationcited by 200
  17. 2020Efficient and Scalable Bayesian Neural Nets with Rank-1 Factorscited by 171
  18. 2022Trusted Multi-View Classification with Dynamic Evidential Fusioncited by 167
  19. 2020Posterior Network: Uncertainty Estimation without OOD Samples via Density-Based Pseudo-Countscited by 163
  20. 2019Ensemble Distribution Distillationcited by 158
  21. 2018Fast Approximate Natural Gradient Descent in a Kronecker-factored Eigenbasiscited by 143
  22. 2017Practical Gauss-Newton Optimisation for Deep Learningcited by 139
  23. 2020Uncertainty Quantification and Deep Ensemblescited by 138
  24. 2022Quantifying Aleatoric and Epistemic Uncertainty in Machine Learning: Are Conditional Entropy and Mutual Information Appropriate Measures?cited by 124
  25. 2020Better Aggregation in Test-Time Augmentationcited by 121
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  27. 2019Gaussian YOLOv3: An Accurate and Fast Object Detector Using Localization Uncertainty for Autonomous Drivingcited by 105
  28. 2017Deep Learning for Medical Image Processing: Overview, Challenges and Futurecited by 104
  29. 2019Reverse KL-Divergence Training of Prior Networks: Improved Uncertainty and Adversarial Robustnesscited by 104
  30. 2021Evidential Deep Learning for Open Set Action Recognitioncited by 96
  31. 2020Uncertainty Aware Semi-Supervised Learning on Graph Datacited by 95
  32. 2019Learning to Transfer Examples for Partial Domain Adaptationcited by 86
  33. 2021Unsupervised Multi-source Domain Adaptation Without Access to Source Datacited by 76
  34. 2021Prior and Posterior Networks: A Survey on Evidential Deep Learning Methods For Uncertainty Estimationcited by 71
  35. 2022Pitfalls of Epistemic Uncertainty Quantification through Loss Minimisationcited by 65
  36. 2020Greedy Policy Search: A Simple Baseline for Learnable Test-Time Augmentationcited by 61
  37. 2023Uncertainty Estimation by Fisher Information-based Evidential Deep Learningcited by 58
  38. 2019Stochastic gradient Markov chain Monte Carlocited by 56

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Citing papers per year: 2024: 2; 2025: 5; 2026: 18.

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  1. 2024Conjugated Semantic Pool Improves OOD Detection with Pre-trained Vision-Language Modelscited by 13
  2. 2024Multimodal Learning with Uncertainty Quantification based on Discounted Belief Fusioncited by 4
  3. 2025Uncertainty quantification with approximate variational learning for wearable photoplethysmography prediction taskscited by 3
  4. 2025Overcoming Non-stationary Dynamics with Evidential Proximal Policy Optimizationcited by 2
  5. 2026Trust It or Not: Evidential Uncertainty for Feed-Forward 3D Reconstruction with Trust3Rcited by 2
  6. 2025Uncertainty Quantification of Wind Gust Predictions in the Northeast United States: An Evidential Neural Network and Explainable Artificial Intelligence Approachcited by 1
  7. 2025MedBayes-Lite: A Clinical Uncertainty Governance Layer for Risk-Aware Medical Decision Supportcited by 1
  8. 2026REV-INR: Regularized Evidential Implicit Neural Representation for Uncertainty-Aware Volume Visualizationcited by 1
  9. 2026Similarity-as-Evidence: Calibrating Overconfident VLMs for Interpretable and Label-Efficient Medical Active Learningcited by 1
  10. 2026A neurosymbolic Approach with Epistemic Deep Learning for Hierarchical Image Classificationcited by 1
  11. 2025Negation-Aware Weighted Information Fusion for Reliable Evidential Reasoningcited by 0
  12. 2026Density-Informed Pseudo-Counts for Calibrated Evidential Deep Learningcited by 0
13 more
  1. 2026The Invisible Gorilla Effect in Out-of-distribution Detectioncited by 0
  2. 2026BD-Merging: Bias-Aware Dynamic Model Merging with Evidence-Guided Contrastive Learningcited by 0
  3. 2026Beyond a Single Signal: SPECTREG2, A Unified MultiExpert Anomaly Detector for Unknown Unknownscited by 0
  4. 2026Brain-Inspired Capture: Evidence-Driven Neuromimetic Perceptual Simulation for Visual Decodingcited by 0
  5. 2026Rethinking Vacuity for OOD Detection in Evidential Deep Learningcited by 0
  6. 2026Principle-Guided Supervision for Interpretable Uncertainty in Medical Image Segmentationcited by 0
  7. 2026Plug-in Losses for Evidential Deep Learning: A Simplified Framework for Uncertainty Estimation that Includes the Softmax Classifiercited by 0
  8. 2026Robust Fuzzy Multi-view Learning under View Conflictcited by 0
  9. 2026Courtroom Analogy: New Perspective on Uncertainty-Aware Classificationcited by 0
  10. 2026TMF-RSE: Tri-Modal Fusion with Regional Semantics and Evidential Uncertainty for Lung Severity Scoringcited by 0
  11. 2026UASPL: Uncertainty-Aware Self-Paced Learning with Evidential Neural Networkscited by 0
  12. 2026Uncertainty-Driven Replay Memory for Reinforcement Learningcited by 0
  13. 2026Predicting Human Disagreement for Calibrated Dynamic Facial Expression Recognitioncited by 0