Training Compute Thresholds: Features and Functions in AI Regulation
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Abstract (arXiv)
Regulators in the US and EU are using thresholds based on training compute--the number of computational operations used in training--to identify general-purpose artificial intelligence (GPAI) models that may pose risks of large-scale societal harm. We argue that training compute currently is the most suitable metric to identify GPAI models that deserve regulatory oversight and further scrutiny. Training compute correlates with model capabilities and risks, is quantifiable, can be measured early in the AI lifecycle, and can be verified by external actors, among other advantageous features. These features make compute thresholds considerably more suitable than other proposed metrics to serve as an initial filter to trigger additional regulatory requirements and scrutiny. However, training compute is an imperfect proxy for risk. As such, compute thresholds should not be used in isolation to determine appropriate mitigation measures. Instead, they should be used to detect potentially risky GPAI models that warrant regulatory oversight, such as through notification requirements, and further scrutiny, such as via model evaluations and risk assessments, the results of which may inform which mitigation measures are appropriate. In fact, this appears largely consistent with how compute thresholds are used today. As GPAI technology and market structures evolve, regulators should update compute thresholds and complement them with other metrics into regulatory review processes.
Key facts. Cited by 14 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 44 of its 76 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 May 2024.
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44 of 76 references.
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 2; 2025: 9; 2026: 3.
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12 most cited of 13 All 13 (JSON)
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- 2026Detecting Hidden ML Training With Zero-Overhead Telemetry17 Jun 2026
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- 2025Modeling the Economic Impacts of AI Openness Regulation14 Jul 2025
- 2025Compute Requirements for Algorithmic Innovation in Frontier AI Models13 Jul 2025
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- 2025Trends in Frontier AI Model Count: A Forecast to 202821 Apr 2025
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- 2025Practical Principles for AI Cost and Compute Accounting21 Feb 2025
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- 2024Towards Data Governance of Frontier AI Models5 Dec 2024
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