A Decision Theoretic Framework for Measuring AI Reliance
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Abstract (arXiv)
Humans frequently make decisions with the aid of artificially intelligent (AI) systems. A common pattern is for the AI to recommend an action to the human who retains control over the final decision. Researchers have identified ensuring that a human has appropriate reliance on an AI as a critical component of achieving complementary performance. We argue that the current definition of appropriate reliance used in such research lacks formal statistical grounding and can lead to contradictions. We propose a formal definition of reliance, based on statistical decision theory, which separates the concepts of reliance as the probability the decision-maker follows the AI's recommendation from challenges a human may face in differentiating the signals and forming accurate beliefs about the situation. Our definition gives rise to a framework that can be used to guide the design and interpretation of studies on human-AI complementarity and reliance. Using recent AI-advised decision making studies from literature, we demonstrate how our framework can be used to separate the loss due to mis-reliance from the loss due to not accurately differentiating the signals. We evaluate these losses by comparing to a baseline and a benchmark for complementary performance defined by the expected payoff achieved by a rational decision-maker facing the same decision task as the behavioral decision-makers.
Key facts. Cited by 26 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 20 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Jan 2024.
Builds on
20 of 41 references.
References · 20
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- 2016"Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifiercited by 5,040
- 2016Fair prediction with disparate impact: A study of bias in recidivism prediction instrumentscited by 671
- 2020Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performancecited by 396
- 2020Effect of Confidence and Explanation on Accuracy and Trust Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Makingcited by 281
- 2018To Trust Or Not To Trust A Classifiercited by 205
- 2020Evaluating Explainable AI: Which Algorithmic Explanations Help Users Predict Model Behavior?cited by 189
- 2018On Human Predictions with Explanations and Predictions of Machine Learning Models: A Case Study on Deception Detectioncited by 159
- 2020Proxy Tasks and Subjective Measures Can Be Misleading in Evaluating Explainable AI Systemscited by 138
- 2021To Trust or to Think: Cognitive Forcing Functions Can Reduce Overreliance on AI in AI-assisted Decision-makingcited by 118
- 2023Appropriate Reliance on AI Advice: Conceptualization and the Effect of Explanationscited by 80
- 2023Understanding the Role of Human Intuition on Reliance in Human-AI Decision-Making with Explanationscited by 73
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- 2023Who Should I Trust: AI or Myself? Leveraging Human and AI Correctness Likelihood to Promote Appropriate Trust in AI-Assisted Decision-Makingcited by 67
- 2021Understanding the Effect of Out-of-distribution Examples and Interactive Explanations on Human-AI Decision Makingcited by 58
- 2018What can AI do for me: Evaluating Machine Learning Interpretations in Cooperative Playcited by 52
- 2023In Search of Verifiability: Explanations Rarely Enable Complementary Performance in AI-Advised Decision Makingcited by 50
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 4; 2025: 8; 2026: 14.
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- 2026Annie, Are You Okay? How Style- and Context-Based Personalization Shape AI-Assisted Decision-Making21 Sep 2026
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- 2026Human-AI Teaming Through the Lens of Calibration9 Jun 2026
- 2026Human Decision-Making with AI Assistance under Correlated Features27 May 2026
- 2026CoAX: Cognitive-Oriented Attribution eXplanation User Model of Human Understanding of AI Explanations30 Apr 2026
- 2026CollabSkill: Evaluating Human-Agent Collaboration On Real-World Tasks20 Apr 2026
- 2026RuleEdit: Failure-Guided Human-AI Model Editing with Prospective Impact Preview12 Apr 2026
- 2026From Accuracy to Readiness: Metrics and Benchmarks for Human-AI Decision-Making19 Mar 2026
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- 20262-Step Agent: A Framework for the Interaction of a Decision Maker with AI Decision Support25 Feb 2026
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- 2025Human-AI Collaborative Uncertainty Quantification27 Oct 2025
- 2025Measuring and mitigating overreliance to build human-compatible AI8 Sep 2025
- 2025Unequal Uncertainty: Rethinking Algorithmic Interventions for Mitigating Discrimination from AI11 Aug 2025
- 2025Explanations are a Means to an End: Decision Theoretic Explanation Evaluation28 Jun 2025
- 2025When Should We Orchestrate Multiple Agents?17 Mar 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction and Human Decision Making12 Mar 2025
- 2025Explaining and Improving Information Complementarities in Multi-Agent Decision-making10 Feb 2025
- 2025Revisiting Rogers' Paradox in the Context of Human-AI Interaction16 Jan 2025
- 2024The Road to Artificial SuperIntelligence: A Comprehensive Survey of Superalignment21 Dec 2024
- 2024Unexploited Information Value in Human-AI Collaboration3 Nov 2024
- 2024How Performance Pressure Influences AI-Assisted Decision Making21 Oct 2024
- 2024A Survey of AI Reliance22 Jul 2024
- 2025Measuring and mitigating overreliance to build human-compatible AIcited by 9
- 2025Conformal Prediction and Human Decision Makingcited by 8
- 2025When Should We Orchestrate Multiple Agents?cited by 7
- 2025Explaining and Improving Information Complementarities in Multi-Agent Decision-makingcited by 6
- 2025Human-AI Collaborative Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 6
- 2024A Survey of AI Reliancecited by 4
- 2025Revisiting Rogers' Paradox in the Context of Human-AI Interactioncited by 2
- 2024How Performance Pressure Influences AI-Assisted Decision Makingcited by 1
- 2024Unexploited Information Value in Human-AI Collaborationcited by 1
- 2025Explanations are a Means to an End: Decision Theoretic Explanation Evaluationcited by 1
- 2026Delegation and Verification Under AIcited by 1
- 2026CollabSkill: Evaluating Human-Agent Collaboration On Real-World Taskscited by 1
12 most cited of 23 All 23 (JSON)
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- 2026One AI Signal, Many Human Judgments: A Bayesian Cascade Analysis of AI-based Credibility Indicators in Online Information Spread31 Aug 2026
- 2026Characterizing Rhetorical Misalignment in Decision-Making with Language Models24 Jul 2026
- 2026Robust Human-AI Complementarity under Uncertainty7 Jul 2026
- 2026Human-AI Teaming Through the Lens of Calibration9 Jun 2026
- 2026Human Decision-Making with AI Assistance under Correlated Features27 May 2026
- 2026CoAX: Cognitive-Oriented Attribution eXplanation User Model of Human Understanding of AI Explanations30 Apr 2026
- 2026CollabSkill: Evaluating Human-Agent Collaboration On Real-World Tasks20 Apr 2026
- 2026RuleEdit: Failure-Guided Human-AI Model Editing with Prospective Impact Preview12 Apr 2026
- 2026From Accuracy to Readiness: Metrics and Benchmarks for Human-AI Decision-Making19 Mar 2026
- 2026Delegation and Verification Under AI3 Mar 2026
- 20262-Step Agent: A Framework for the Interaction of a Decision Maker with AI Decision Support25 Feb 2026
12 newest of 23 All 23 (JSON)