mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

A Decision Theoretic Framework for Measuring AI Reliance

arXiv 2401.15356 ↗First posted 27 Jan 2024cs.AI cs.HCcited by 26

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Abstract (arXiv)

Humans frequently make decisions with the aid of artificially intelligent (AI) systems. A common pattern is for the AI to recommend an action to the human who retains control over the final decision. Researchers have identified ensuring that a human has appropriate reliance on an AI as a critical component of achieving complementary performance. We argue that the current definition of appropriate reliance used in such research lacks formal statistical grounding and can lead to contradictions. We propose a formal definition of reliance, based on statistical decision theory, which separates the concepts of reliance as the probability the decision-maker follows the AI's recommendation from challenges a human may face in differentiating the signals and forming accurate beliefs about the situation. Our definition gives rise to a framework that can be used to guide the design and interpretation of studies on human-AI complementarity and reliance. Using recent AI-advised decision making studies from literature, we demonstrate how our framework can be used to separate the loss due to mis-reliance from the loss due to not accurately differentiating the signals. We evaluate these losses by comparing to a baseline and a benchmark for complementary performance defined by the expected payoff achieved by a rational decision-maker facing the same decision task as the behavioral decision-makers.

Key facts. Cited by 26 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 20 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Jan 2024.

Builds on

20 of 41 references.

References · 20

  1. 2017A Unified Approach to Interpreting Model Predictionscited by 6,488
  2. 2016"Why Should I Trust You?": Explaining the Predictions of Any Classifiercited by 5,040
  3. 2016Fair prediction with disparate impact: A study of bias in recidivism prediction instrumentscited by 671
  4. 2020Does the Whole Exceed its Parts? The Effect of AI Explanations on Complementary Team Performancecited by 396
  5. 2020Effect of Confidence and Explanation on Accuracy and Trust Calibration in AI-Assisted Decision Makingcited by 281
  6. 2018To Trust Or Not To Trust A Classifiercited by 205
  7. 2020Evaluating Explainable AI: Which Algorithmic Explanations Help Users Predict Model Behavior?cited by 189
  8. 2018On Human Predictions with Explanations and Predictions of Machine Learning Models: A Case Study on Deception Detectioncited by 159
  9. 2020Proxy Tasks and Subjective Measures Can Be Misleading in Evaluating Explainable AI Systemscited by 138
  10. 2021To Trust or to Think: Cognitive Forcing Functions Can Reduce Overreliance on AI in AI-assisted Decision-makingcited by 118
  11. 2023Appropriate Reliance on AI Advice: Conceptualization and the Effect of Explanationscited by 80
  12. 2023Understanding the Role of Human Intuition on Reliance in Human-AI Decision-Making with Explanationscited by 73
8 more
  1. 2023Who Should I Trust: AI or Myself? Leveraging Human and AI Correctness Likelihood to Promote Appropriate Trust in AI-Assisted Decision-Makingcited by 67
  2. 2021Understanding the Effect of Out-of-distribution Examples and Interactive Explanations on Human-AI Decision Makingcited by 58
  3. 2018What can AI do for me: Evaluating Machine Learning Interpretations in Cooperative Playcited by 52
  4. 2023In Search of Verifiability: Explanations Rarely Enable Complementary Performance in AI-Advised Decision Makingcited by 50
  5. 2022Use-Case-Grounded Simulations for Explanation Evaluationcited by 19
  6. 2021The Impact of Algorithmic Risk Assessments on Human Predictions and its Analysis via Crowdsourcing Studiescited by 13
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Citing papers per year: 2024: 4; 2025: 8; 2026: 14.

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  2. 2025Measuring and mitigating overreliance to build human-compatible AIcited by 9
  3. 2025Conformal Prediction and Human Decision Makingcited by 8
  4. 2025When Should We Orchestrate Multiple Agents?cited by 7
  5. 2025Explaining and Improving Information Complementarities in Multi-Agent Decision-makingcited by 6
  6. 2025Human-AI Collaborative Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 6
  7. 2026AI Agents for Inventory Control: Human-LLM-OR Complementaritycited by 6
  8. 2024A Survey of AI Reliancecited by 4
  9. 2025Revisiting Rogers' Paradox in the Context of Human-AI Interactioncited by 2
  10. 2024How Performance Pressure Influences AI-Assisted Decision Makingcited by 1
  11. 2024Unexploited Information Value in Human-AI Collaborationcited by 1
  12. 2025Explanations are a Means to an End: Decision Theoretic Explanation Evaluationcited by 1
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  1. 2026Delegation and Verification Under AIcited by 1
  2. 2026CollabSkill: Evaluating Human-Agent Collaboration On Real-World Taskscited by 1
  3. 2025Unequal Uncertainty: Rethinking Algorithmic Interventions for Mitigating Discrimination from AIcited by 0
  4. 20262-Step Agent: A Framework for the Interaction of a Decision Maker with AI Decision Supportcited by 0
  5. 2026From Accuracy to Readiness: Metrics and Benchmarks for Human-AI Decision-Makingcited by 0
  6. 2026CoAX: Cognitive-Oriented Attribution eXplanation User Model of Human Understanding of AI Explanationscited by 0
  7. 2026RuleEdit: Failure-Guided Human-AI Model Editing with Prospective Impact Previewcited by 0
  8. 2026Human-AI Teaming Through the Lens of Calibrationcited by 0
  9. 2026Human Decision-Making with AI Assistance under Correlated Featurescited by 0
  10. 2026Robust Human-AI Complementarity under Uncertaintycited by 0
  11. 2026Characterizing Rhetorical Misalignment in Decision-Making with Language Modelscited by 0
  12. 2026One AI Signal, Many Human Judgments: A Bayesian Cascade Analysis of AI-based Credibility Indicators in Online Information Spreadcited by 0
  13. 2026Authority-Preserving Evaluation of Medical Vision-Language Assistantscited by 0
  14. 2026Annie, Are You Okay? How Style- and Context-Based Personalization Shape AI-Assisted Decision-Makingcited by 0