Understanding Physical Dynamics with Counterfactual World Modeling
On the map: World models → Latent predictive world models
Abstract (arXiv)
The ability to understand physical dynamics is critical for agents to act in the world. Here, we use Counterfactual World Modeling (CWM) to extract vision structures for dynamics understanding. CWM uses a temporally-factored masking policy for masked prediction of video data without annotations. This policy enables highly effective "counterfactual prompting" of the predictor, allowing a spectrum of visual structures to be extracted from a single pre-trained predictor without finetuning on annotated datasets. We demonstrate that these structures are useful for physical dynamics understanding, allowing CWM to achieve the state-of-the-art performance on the Physion benchmark.
Key facts. Cited by 11 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Latent predictive world models, one of 11 directions in World models. Builds on 69 of its 88 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 11 Dec 2023.
Builds on
69 of 88 references.
Closest ancestors · 2
Same direction, newest first
- 2023Unifying (Machine) Vision via Counterfactual World Modeling2 Jun
- 2018Learning Latent Dynamics for Planning from Pixels12 Nov
Other references · 67
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38 more
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50 most cited of 67 All 67 (JSON)
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 6; 2026: 5.
11 papers.
- 2025VideoREPA: Learning Physics for Video Generation through Relational Alignment with Foundation Modelscited by 88
- 2026Masked Visual Actions for Unified World Modelingcited by 7
- 2025Point Prompting: Counterfactual Tracking with Video Diffusion Modelscited by 5
- 2025Self-Supervised Learning of Motion Concepts by Optimizing Counterfactualscited by 4
- 2025Agentic World Modeling for 6G: Near-Real-Time Generative State-Space Reasoningcited by 4
- 2026LaMo: Self-Supervised Latent Motion Priors for Physical Realism in Video Generationcited by 4
- 2025Discovering and using Spelke segmentscited by 2
- 2026CausalVAE as a Plug-in for World Models: Towards Reliable Counterfactual Dynamicscited by 2
- 2026Envisioning the Future, One Step at a Timecited by 2
- 2025Back to the Feature: Explaining Video Classifiers with Video Counterfactual Explanationscited by 1
- 2026MultiEcho: An Experimental Science of Learned Worldscited by 0
- 2026MultiEcho: An Experimental Science of Learned Worlds27 Sep 2026
- 2026Masked Visual Actions for Unified World Modeling21 Jul 2026
- 2026LaMo: Self-Supervised Latent Motion Priors for Physical Realism in Video Generation22 May 2026
- 2026Envisioning the Future, One Step at a Time10 Apr 2026
- 2026CausalVAE as a Plug-in for World Models: Towards Reliable Counterfactual Dynamics9 Apr 2026
- 2025Back to the Feature: Explaining Video Classifiers with Video Counterfactual Explanations25 Nov 2025
- 2025Agentic World Modeling for 6G: Near-Real-Time Generative State-Space Reasoning4 Nov 2025
- 2025Point Prompting: Counterfactual Tracking with Video Diffusion Models13 Oct 2025
- 2025Discovering and using Spelke segments21 Jul 2025
- 2025VideoREPA: Learning Physics for Video Generation through Relational Alignment with Foundation Models29 May 2025
- 2025Self-Supervised Learning of Motion Concepts by Optimizing Counterfactuals25 Mar 2025
Similar, not cited
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- 2026CRONOS: Benchmarking Counterfactual Physical Consistency in Video Models
- 2025Counterfactual World Models via Digital Twin-conditioned Video Diffusion
- 2026Low-Rank Dynamics-Effective Latent Carriers for Counterfactual Rollout in Learned World Models
- 2026Counterfactual Action Evaluation, Observation Bottlenecks, and Representation Geometry in Joint-Embedding Predictive World Models
- 2026Learning Counterfactual World Models for Embodied Reasoning under Partial Observability
- 2026StrucPhysVideo: Learning Physical Dynamics from Structured Captions and Robot Actions
- 2026Physical Object Understanding with a Physically Controllable World Model
- 2026LPA-CWM: A Learned Physical Adjudicator for Motion Reasoning with Counterfactual World Models