PAC-Bayes Generalisation Bounds for Heavy-Tailed Losses through Supermartingales
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Abstract (arXiv)
While PAC-Bayes is now an established learning framework for light-tailed losses (e.g., subgaussian or subexponential), its extension to the case of heavy-tailed losses remains largely uncharted and has attracted a growing interest in recent years. We contribute PAC-Bayes generalisation bounds for heavy-tailed losses under the sole assumption of bounded variance of the loss function. Under that assumption, we extend previous results from citetkuzborskij2019efron. Our key technical contribution is exploiting an extention of Markov's inequality for supermartingales. Our proof technique unifies and extends different PAC-Bayesian frameworks by providing bounds for unbounded martingales as well as bounds for batch and online learning with heavy-tailed losses.
Key facts. Cited by 23 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 25 of its 68 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 3 Oct 2022.
Builds on
25 of 68 references.
References · 25
- 2017Computing Nonvacuous Generalization Bounds for Deep (Stochastic) Neural Networks with Many More Parameters than Training Datacited by 527
- 2021User-friendly introduction to PAC-Bayes boundscited by 234
- 2019A Primer on PAC-Bayesian Learningcited by 130
- 2015On the properties of variational approximations of Gibbs posteriorscited by 121
- 2020Tighter risk certificates for neural networkscited by 112
- 2016PAC-Bayesian Theory Meets Bayesian Inferencecited by 87
- 2020PAC-Bayes Analysis Beyond the Usual Boundscited by 63
- 2016A Strongly Quasiconvex PAC-Bayesian Boundcited by 54
- 2016Simpler PAC-Bayesian Bounds for Hostile Datacited by 45
- 2020PAC-Bayes unleashed: generalisation bounds with unbounded lossescited by 43
- 2019Dichotomize and Generalize: PAC-Bayesian Binary Activated Deep Neural Networkscited by 38
- 2019PAC-Bayes Un-Expected Bernstein Inequalitycited by 36
13 more
- 2019PAC-Bayes with Backpropcited by 36
- 2020Differentiable PAC-Bayes Objectives with Partially Aggregated Neural Networkscited by 29
- 2022Non-Vacuous Generalisation Bounds for Shallow Neural Networkscited by 22
- 2022Online PAC-Bayes Learningcited by 22
- 2021Learning PAC-Bayes Priors for Probabilistic Neural Networkscited by 21
- 2022On PAC-Bayesian reconstruction guarantees for VAEscited by 20
- 2021On Margins and Derandomisation in PAC-Bayescited by 19
- 2019PAC-Bayes under potentially heavy tailscited by 16
- 2019Efron-Stein PAC-Bayesian Inequalitiescited by 15
- 2022Split-kl and PAC-Bayes-split-kl Inequalities for Ternary Random Variablescited by 11
- 2022Change of measure through the Legendre transformcited by 10
- 2022On Margins and Generalisation for Voting Classifierscited by 7
- 2015PAC-Bayesian High Dimensional Bipartite Rankingcited by 4
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Citing papers per year: 2022: 1; 2023: 8; 2024: 8; 2025: 3; 2026: 3.
23 papers.
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- 2023MMD-FUSE: Learning and Combining Kernels for Two-Sample Testing Without Data Splittingcited by 33
- 2023More PAC-Bayes bounds: From bounded losses, to losses with general tail behaviors, to anytime validitycited by 17
- 2024A PAC-Bayesian Link Between Generalisation and Flat Minimacited by 13
- 2023Improved Algorithms for Stochastic Linear Bandits Using Tail Bounds for Martingale Mixturescited by 12
- 2023Learning via Wasserstein-Based High Probability Generalisation Boundscited by 11
- 2024PAC-Bayes-Chernoff bounds for unbounded lossescited by 9
- 2022PAC-Bayes Bounds for Bandit Problems: A Survey and Experimental Comparisoncited by 7
- 2024Generalization bounds for mixing processes via delayed online-to-PAC conversionscited by 7
- 2025Anytime-valid, Bayes-assisted, Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 7
- 2023Time-Uniform Confidence Spheres for Means of Random Vectorscited by 6
- 2023Comparing Comparators in Generalization Boundscited by 5
- 2024Recursive PAC-Bayes: A Frequentist Approach to Sequential Prior Updates with No Information Losscited by 4
11 more
- 2024Generalization and Robustness of the Tilted Empirical Riskcited by 4
- 2024Gentle Local Robustness implies Generalizationcited by 4
- 2023Wasserstein PAC-Bayes Learning: Exploiting Optimisation Guarantees to Explain Generalisationcited by 3
- 2024Data-dependent and Oracle Bounds on Forgetting in Continual Learningcited by 3
- 2025PAC-Bayes Bounds for Multivariate Linear Regression and Linear Autoencoderscited by 3
- 2023Federated Learning with Nonvacuous Generalisation Boundscited by 2
- 2025Non-vacuous Generalization Bounds for Deep Neural Networks without any modification to the trained modelscited by 2
- 2026PAC-Bayesian Reconstruction Guarantees for Time Series Variational Autoencoderscited by 1
- 2024A note on generalization bounds for losses with finite momentscited by 0
- 2026Information-Theoretic Generalization Bounds for Sequential Decision Makingcited by 0
- 2026A PAC-Bayesian View of Generalisation for Physics-Informed Machine Learningcited by 0
- 2026PAC-Bayesian Reconstruction Guarantees for Time Series Variational Autoencoders4 Sep 2026
- 2026A PAC-Bayesian View of Generalisation for Physics-Informed Machine Learning25 May 2026
- 2026Information-Theoretic Generalization Bounds for Sequential Decision Making12 May 2026
- 2025PAC-Bayes Bounds for Multivariate Linear Regression and Linear Autoencoders15 Dec 2025
- 2025Anytime-valid, Bayes-assisted, Prediction-Powered Inference23 May 2025
- 2025Non-vacuous Generalization Bounds for Deep Neural Networks without any modification to the trained models10 Mar 2025
- 2024Gentle Local Robustness implies Generalization9 Dec 2024
- 2024Generalization and Robustness of the Tilted Empirical Risk28 Sep 2024
- 2024Generalization bounds for mixing processes via delayed online-to-PAC conversions18 Jun 2024
- 2024Data-dependent and Oracle Bounds on Forgetting in Continual Learning13 Jun 2024
- 2024Recursive PAC-Bayes: A Frequentist Approach to Sequential Prior Updates with No Information Loss23 May 2024
- 2024A note on generalization bounds for losses with finite moments25 Mar 2024
11 more
- 2024A PAC-Bayesian Link Between Generalisation and Flat Minima13 Feb 2024
- 2024PAC-Bayes-Chernoff bounds for unbounded losses2 Jan 2024
- 2023Time-Uniform Confidence Spheres for Means of Random Vectors14 Nov 2023
- 2023Federated Learning with Nonvacuous Generalisation Bounds17 Oct 2023
- 2023Comparing Comparators in Generalization Bounds16 Oct 2023
- 2023Improved Algorithms for Stochastic Linear Bandits Using Tail Bounds for Martingale Mixtures25 Sep 2023
- 2023More PAC-Bayes bounds: From bounded losses, to losses with general tail behaviors, to anytime validity21 Jun 2023
- 2023MMD-FUSE: Learning and Combining Kernels for Two-Sample Testing Without Data Splitting14 Jun 2023
- 2023Learning via Wasserstein-Based High Probability Generalisation Bounds7 Jun 2023
- 2023Wasserstein PAC-Bayes Learning: Exploiting Optimisation Guarantees to Explain Generalisation14 Apr 2023
- 2022PAC-Bayes Bounds for Bandit Problems: A Survey and Experimental Comparison29 Nov 2022
- 2023MMD-FUSE: Learning and Combining Kernels for Two-Sample Testing Without Data Splittingcited by 33
- 2023More PAC-Bayes bounds: From bounded losses, to losses with general tail behaviors, to anytime validitycited by 17
- 2024A PAC-Bayesian Link Between Generalisation and Flat Minimacited by 13
- 2023Improved Algorithms for Stochastic Linear Bandits Using Tail Bounds for Martingale Mixturescited by 12
- 2023Learning via Wasserstein-Based High Probability Generalisation Boundscited by 11
- 2024PAC-Bayes-Chernoff bounds for unbounded lossescited by 9
- 2022PAC-Bayes Bounds for Bandit Problems: A Survey and Experimental Comparisoncited by 7
- 2024Generalization bounds for mixing processes via delayed online-to-PAC conversionscited by 7
- 2025Anytime-valid, Bayes-assisted, Prediction-Powered Inferencecited by 7
- 2023Time-Uniform Confidence Spheres for Means of Random Vectorscited by 6
- 2023Comparing Comparators in Generalization Boundscited by 5
- 2024Recursive PAC-Bayes: A Frequentist Approach to Sequential Prior Updates with No Information Losscited by 4
12 most cited of 23 All 23 (JSON)
- 2026PAC-Bayesian Reconstruction Guarantees for Time Series Variational Autoencoders4 Sep 2026
- 2026A PAC-Bayesian View of Generalisation for Physics-Informed Machine Learning25 May 2026
- 2026Information-Theoretic Generalization Bounds for Sequential Decision Making12 May 2026
- 2025PAC-Bayes Bounds for Multivariate Linear Regression and Linear Autoencoders15 Dec 2025
- 2025Anytime-valid, Bayes-assisted, Prediction-Powered Inference23 May 2025
- 2025Non-vacuous Generalization Bounds for Deep Neural Networks without any modification to the trained models10 Mar 2025
- 2024Gentle Local Robustness implies Generalization9 Dec 2024
- 2024Generalization and Robustness of the Tilted Empirical Risk28 Sep 2024
- 2024Generalization bounds for mixing processes via delayed online-to-PAC conversions18 Jun 2024
- 2024Data-dependent and Oracle Bounds on Forgetting in Continual Learning13 Jun 2024
- 2024Recursive PAC-Bayes: A Frequentist Approach to Sequential Prior Updates with No Information Loss23 May 2024
- 2024A note on generalization bounds for losses with finite moments25 Mar 2024
12 newest of 23 All 23 (JSON)