mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Tighter risk certificates for neural networks

arXiv 2007.12911 ↗First posted 25 Jul 2020cs.LG cs.CV stat.MLcited by 112

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Abstract (arXiv)

This paper presents an empirical study regarding training probabilistic neural networks using training objectives derived from PAC-Bayes bounds. In the context of probabilistic neural networks, the output of training is a probability distribution over network weights. We present two training objectives, used here for the first time in connection with training neural networks. These two training objectives are derived from tight PAC-Bayes bounds. We also re-implement a previously used training objective based on a classical PAC-Bayes bound, to compare the properties of the predictors learned using the different training objectives. We compute risk certificates for the learnt predictors, based on part of the data used to learn the predictors. We further experiment with different types of priors on the weights (both data-free and data-dependent priors) and neural network architectures. Our experiments on MNIST and CIFAR-10 show that our training methods produce competitive test set errors and non-vacuous risk bounds with much tighter values than previous results in the literature, showing promise not only to guide the learning algorithm through bounding the risk but also for model selection. These observations suggest that the methods studied here might be good candidates for self-certified learning, in the sense of using the whole data set for learning a predictor and certifying its risk on any unseen data (from the same distribution as the training data) potentially without the need for holding out test data.

Key facts. Cited by 112 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 25 Jul 2020.

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Citing papers per year: 2021: 15; 2022: 26; 2023: 23; 2024: 14; 2025: 21; 2026: 13.

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  1. 2021User-friendly introduction to PAC-Bayes boundscited by 234
  2. 2022PAC-Bayes Compression Bounds So Tight That They Can Explain Generalizationcited by 75
  3. 2023The No Free Lunch Theorem, Kolmogorov Complexity, and the Role of Inductive Biases in Machine Learningcited by 63
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  6. 2023MMD-FUSE: Learning and Combining Kernels for Two-Sample Testing Without Data Splittingcited by 33
  7. 2021Generalization Bounds for Meta-Learning via PAC-Bayes and Uniform Stabilitycited by 29
  8. 2022A New Family of Generalization Bounds Using Samplewise Evaluated CMIcited by 28
  9. 2023A unified recipe for deriving (time-uniform) PAC-Bayes boundscited by 25
  10. 2024Unlocking Tokens as Data Points for Generalization Bounds on Larger Language Modelscited by 25
  11. 2021How Tight Can PAC-Bayes be in the Small Data Regime?cited by 24
  12. 2022Sim-to-Lab-to-Real: Safe Reinforcement Learning with Shielding and Generalization Guaranteescited by 24
38 more
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  4. 2021Learning PAC-Bayes Priors for Probabilistic Neural Networkscited by 21
  5. 2023PeFLL: Personalized Federated Learning by Learning to Learncited by 21
  6. 2022On PAC-Bayesian reconstruction guarantees for VAEscited by 20
  7. 2024Position: Understanding LLMs Requires More Than Statistical Generalizationcited by 20
  8. 2021On Margins and Derandomisation in PAC-Bayescited by 19
  9. 2023More PAC-Bayes bounds: From bounded losses, to losses with general tail behaviors, to anytime validitycited by 17
  10. 2021Learning Stochastic Majority Votes by Minimizing a PAC-Bayes Generalization Boundcited by 16
  11. 2023Statistical Guarantees for Variational Autoencoders using PAC-Bayesian Theorycited by 16
  12. 2022PAC-Bayesian Domain Adaptation Bounds for Multiclass Learnerscited by 13
  13. 2023Tighter PAC-Bayes Bounds Through Coin-Bettingcited by 13
  14. 2023PAC-Bayesian Generalization Bounds for Adversarial Generative Modelscited by 13
  15. 2021PAC-Bayes Bounds for Meta-learning with Data-Dependent Priorcited by 11
  16. 2022Scalable PAC-Bayesian Meta-Learning via the PAC-Optimal Hyper-Posterior: From Theory to Practicecited by 11
  17. 2023Learning via Wasserstein-Based High Probability Generalisation Boundscited by 11
  18. 2021Wide stochastic networks: Gaussian limit and PAC-Bayesian trainingcited by 10
  19. 2021Progress in Self-Certified Neural Networkscited by 10
  20. 2024More Flexible PAC-Bayesian Meta-Learning by Learning Learning Algorithmscited by 10
  21. 2022Generalisation under gradient descent via deterministic PAC-Bayescited by 9
  22. 2022Tighter PAC-Bayes Generalisation Bounds by Leveraging Example Difficultycited by 9
  23. 2023Lessons from Generalization Error Analysis of Federated Learning: You May Communicate Less Often!cited by 8
  24. 2021Conditionally Gaussian PAC-Bayescited by 7
  25. 2022On Margins and Generalisation for Voting Classifierscited by 7
  26. 2022Scale-invariant Bayesian Neural Networks with Connectivity Tangent Kernelcited by 7
  27. 2022PAC-Bayes Bounds for Bandit Problems: A Survey and Experimental Comparisoncited by 7
  28. 2022Weight Expansion: A New Perspective on Dropout and Generalizationcited by 6
  29. 2022On the Importance of Gradient Norm in PAC-Bayesian Boundscited by 6
  30. 2023Improving Generalization of Complex Models under Unbounded Loss Using PAC-Bayes Boundscited by 6
  31. 2023PAC-Bayes Generalization Certificates for Learned Inductive Conformal Predictioncited by 6
  32. 2024Tight PAC-Bayesian Risk Certificates for Contrastive Learningcited by 6
  33. 2023Comparing Comparators in Generalization Boundscited by 5
  34. 2021Task-Driven Detection of Distribution Shifts with Statistical Guarantees for Robot Learningcited by 4
  35. 2022LEATHER: A Framework for Learning to Generate Human-like Text in Dialoguecited by 4
  36. 2022PAC-Bayesian Learning of Optimization Algorithmscited by 4
  37. 2023Learning Expressive Priors for Generalization and Uncertainty Estimation in Neural Networkscited by 4
  38. 2024Deep Exploration with PAC-Bayescited by 4

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