Towards PAC Multi-Object Detection and Tracking
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Abstract (arXiv)
Accurately detecting and tracking multi-objects is important for safety-critical applications such as autonomous navigation. However, it remains challenging to provide guarantees on the performance of state-of-the-art techniques based on deep learning. We consider a strategy known as conformal prediction, which predicts sets of labels instead of a single label; in the classification and regression settings, these algorithms can guarantee that the true label lies within the prediction set with high probability. Building on these ideas, we propose multi-object detection and tracking algorithms that come with probably approximately correct (PAC) guarantees. They do so by constructing both a prediction set around each object detection as well as around the set of edge transitions; given an object, the detection prediction set contains its true bounding box with high probability, and the edge prediction set contains its true transition across frames with high probability. We empirically demonstrate that our method can detect and track objects with PAC guarantees on the COCO and MOT-17 datasets.
Key facts. Cited by 8 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 31 of its 46 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 15 Apr 2022.
Builds on
31 of 46 references.
References · 31
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19 more
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Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2023: 3; 2024: 1; 2025: 3; 2026: 1.
8 papers.
- 2023Object Pose Estimation with Statistical Guarantees: Conformal Keypoint Detection and Geometric Uncertainty Propagationcited by 33
- 2024Adaptive Bounding Box Uncertainties via Two-Step Conformal Predictioncited by 23
- 2023Confident Object Detection via Conformal Prediction and Conformal Risk Control: an Application to Railway Signalingcited by 22
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Image Segmentation Using Morphological Prediction Setscited by 13
- 2023Conformal Prediction for Trustworthy Detection of Railway Signalscited by 7
- 2025Conformal Prediction and MLLM aided Uncertainty Quantification in Scene Graph Generationcited by 7
- 2025Conformal Object Detection by Sequential Risk Controlcited by 3
- 2026Conformal Prediction Sets for Instance Segmentationcited by 1
- 2026Conformal Prediction Sets for Instance Segmentation10 Feb 2026
- 2025Conformal Object Detection by Sequential Risk Control29 May 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction and MLLM aided Uncertainty Quantification in Scene Graph Generation18 Mar 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Image Segmentation Using Morphological Prediction Sets7 Mar 2025
- 2024Adaptive Bounding Box Uncertainties via Two-Step Conformal Prediction12 Mar 2024
- 2023Confident Object Detection via Conformal Prediction and Conformal Risk Control: an Application to Railway Signaling12 Apr 2023
- 2023Object Pose Estimation with Statistical Guarantees: Conformal Keypoint Detection and Geometric Uncertainty Propagation22 Mar 2023
- 2023Conformal Prediction for Trustworthy Detection of Railway Signals26 Jan 2023