Out of Distribution Generalization in Machine Learning
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Abstract (arXiv)
Machine learning has achieved tremendous success in a variety of domains in recent years. However, a lot of these success stories have been in places where the training and the testing distributions are extremely similar to each other. In everyday situations when models are tested in slightly different data than they were trained on, ML algorithms can fail spectacularly. This research attempts to formally define this problem, what sets of assumptions are reasonable to make in our data and what kind of guarantees we hope to obtain from them. Then, we focus on a certain class of out of distribution problems, their assumptions, and introduce simple algorithms that follow from these assumptions that are able to provide more reliable generalization. A central topic in the thesis is the strong link between discovering the causal structure of the data, finding features that are reliable (when using them to predict) regardless of their context, and out of distribution generalization.
Key facts. Cited by 59 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 3 Mar 2021.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 14; 2022: 12; 2023: 10; 2024: 10; 2025: 10; 2026: 3.
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- 2021Goal Misgeneralization in Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 122
- 2021OoD-Bench: Quantifying and Understanding Two Dimensions of Out-of-Distribution Generalizationcited by 86
- 2025Boosting the Generalization and Reasoning of Vision Language Models with Curriculum Reinforcement Learningcited by 71
- 2024Dual-Personalizing Adapter for Federated Foundation Modelscited by 54
- 2021Attention, please! A survey of Neural Attention Models in Deep Learningcited by 50
- 2022Out-of-distribution generalization for learning quantum dynamicscited by 49
- 2022Invariant Feature Learning for Generalized Long-Tailed Classificationcited by 34
- 2023Generalized Logit Adjustment: Calibrating Fine-tuned Models by Removing Label Bias in Foundation Modelscited by 32
- 2021Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shiftcited by 31
- 2022Gradient Masked Averaging for Federated Learningcited by 22
- 2021Out-of-Distribution Generalization in Kernel Regressioncited by 21
- 2023Masked Images Are Counterfactual Samples for Robust Fine-tuningcited by 20
38 more
- 2021Optimization-based Causal Estimation from Heterogenous Environmentscited by 16
- 2022Dimensionless machine learning: Imposing exact units equivariancecited by 16
- 2024Identifiable Exchangeable Mechanisms for Causal Structure and Representation Learningcited by 16
- 2022Meta-Causal Feature Learning for Out-of-Distribution Generalizationcited by 14
- 2024Domain Generalisation via Imprecise Learningcited by 14
- 2025When can in-context learning generalize out of task distribution?cited by 13
- 2023Subset verification and search algorithms for causal DAGscited by 12
- 2021Contrastive Learning of Generalized Game Representationscited by 11
- 2021Towards a theory of out-of-distribution learningcited by 11
- 2025Integrating Reinforcement Learning with Visual Generative Models: Foundations and Advancescited by 11
- 2021On Invariance Penalties for Risk Minimizationcited by 10
- 2023Bad Habits: Policy Confounding and Out-of-Trajectory Generalization in RLcited by 10
- 2024Neural Context Flows for Meta-Learning of Dynamical Systemscited by 9
- 2025When and How Does CLIP Enable Domain and Compositional Generalization?cited by 9
- 2021Scaling Laws for the Few-Shot Adaptation of Pre-trained Image Classifierscited by 8
- 2023Group-Conditional Conformal Prediction via Quantile Regression Calibration for Crop and Weed Classificationcited by 8
- 2022Prospective Learning: Principled Extrapolation to the Futurecited by 6
- 2023In Search of Deep Learning Architectures for Load Forecasting: A Comparative Analysis and the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Model Performancecited by 5
- 2024Generalising realisability in statistical learning theory under epistemic uncertaintycited by 5
- 2025Weight-Space Linear Recurrent Neural Networkscited by 5
- 2021A topological solution to object segmentation and trackingcited by 4
- 2022(Im)possibility of Collective Intelligencecited by 4
- 2022Regularization Penalty Optimization for Addressing Data Quality Variance in OoD Algorithmscited by 4
- 2022Contrastive Retrospection: honing in on critical steps for rapid learning and generalization in RLcited by 4
- 2024Prospective Learning: Learning for a Dynamic Futurecited by 4
- 2025Distributionally Robust Optimization via Diffusion Ambiguity Modelingcited by 4
- 2023Consistency Regularization for Domain Generalization with Logit Attribution Matchingcited by 3
- 2023A Causal Framework to Unify Common Domain Generalization Approachescited by 3
- 2024Towards Understanding Variants of Invariant Risk Minimization through the Lens of Calibrationcited by 3
- 2024Demystifying Spectral Bias on Real-World Datacited by 3
- 2026Distributionally Robust Optimization via Generative Ambiguity Modelingcited by 3
- 2021SHIFT15M: Fashion-specific dataset for set-to-set matching with several distribution shiftscited by 2
- 2022Influence-Augmented Local Simulators: A Scalable Solution for Fast Deep RL in Large Networked Systemscited by 2
- 2023Pushing the Accuracy-Group Robustness Frontier with Introspective Self-playcited by 2
- 2024NeuralOOD: Improving Out-of-Distribution Generalization Performance with Brain-machine Fusion Learning Frameworkcited by 2
- 2025Federated Adapter on Foundation Models: An Out-Of-Distribution Approachcited by 2
- 2021Exploration of Dark Chemical Genomics Space via Portal Learning: Applied to Targeting the Undruggable Genome and COVID-19 Anti-Infective Polypharmacologycited by 1
- 2022Electricity Consumption Forecasting for Out-of-distribution Time-of-Use Tariffscited by 1
50 most cited of 59 All 59 (JSON)
- 2026Acoustic domain shift in spoken language identification from systematic domain generalization evaluation to real-world application23 Sep 2026
- 2026Out-of-Support Generalisation via Weight-Space Sequence Modelling14 Feb 2026
- 2026Distributionally Robust Optimization via Generative Ambiguity Modeling9 Feb 2026
- 2025Invariant Feature Extraction Through Conditional Independence and the Optimal Transport Barycenter Problem: the Gaussian case24 Dec 2025
- 2025Fairness Is Not Just Ethical: Performance Trade-Off via Data Correlation Tuning to Mitigate Bias in ML Software19 Dec 2025
- 2025Distributionally Robust Optimization via Diffusion Ambiguity Modeling26 Oct 2025
- 2025Integrating Reinforcement Learning with Visual Generative Models: Foundations and Advances14 Aug 2025
- 2025When can in-context learning generalize out of task distribution?5 Jun 2025
- 2025Weight-Space Linear Recurrent Neural Networks1 Jun 2025
- 2025Robust Invariant Representation Learning by Distribution Extrapolation22 May 2025
- 2025Federated Adapter on Foundation Models: An Out-Of-Distribution Approach2 May 2025
- 2025Boosting the Generalization and Reasoning of Vision Language Models with Curriculum Reinforcement Learning10 Mar 2025
38 more
- 2025When and How Does CLIP Enable Domain and Compositional Generalization?13 Feb 2025
- 2024Prospective Learning: Learning for a Dynamic Future31 Oct 2024
- 2024NeuralOOD: Improving Out-of-Distribution Generalization Performance with Brain-machine Fusion Learning Framework27 Aug 2024
- 2024Disentangled Representations for Causal Cognition30 Jun 2024
- 2024Identifiable Exchangeable Mechanisms for Causal Structure and Representation Learning20 Jun 2024
- 2024Demystifying Spectral Bias on Real-World Data4 Jun 2024
- 2024Neural Context Flows for Meta-Learning of Dynamical Systems3 May 2024
- 2024Domain Generalisation via Imprecise Learning6 Apr 2024
- 2024Dual-Personalizing Adapter for Federated Foundation Models28 Mar 2024
- 2024Generalising realisability in statistical learning theory under epistemic uncertainty22 Feb 2024
- 2024Towards Understanding Variants of Invariant Risk Minimization through the Lens of Calibration31 Jan 2024
- 2023Generalized Logit Adjustment: Calibrating Fine-tuned Models by Removing Label Bias in Foundation Models12 Oct 2023
- 2023Group-Conditional Conformal Prediction via Quantile Regression Calibration for Crop and Weed Classification29 Aug 2023
- 2023A Causal Framework to Unify Common Domain Generalization Approaches13 Jul 2023
- 2023Bad Habits: Policy Confounding and Out-of-Trajectory Generalization in RL4 Jun 2023
- 2023Global Layers: Non-IID Tabular Federated Learning29 May 2023
- 2023Consistency Regularization for Domain Generalization with Logit Attribution Matching13 May 2023
- 2023Masked Images Are Counterfactual Samples for Robust Fine-tuning6 Mar 2023
- 2023In Search of Deep Learning Architectures for Load Forecasting: A Comparative Analysis and the Impact of the Covid-19 Pandemic on Model Performance25 Feb 2023
- 2023Pushing the Accuracy-Group Robustness Frontier with Introspective Self-play11 Feb 2023
- 2023Subset verification and search algorithms for causal DAGs9 Jan 2023
- 2022Contrastive Retrospection: honing in on critical steps for rapid learning and generalization in RL12 Oct 2022
- 2022Meta-Causal Feature Learning for Out-of-Distribution Generalization22 Aug 2022
- 2022Invariant Feature Learning for Generalized Long-Tailed Classification19 Jul 2022
- 2022Regularization Penalty Optimization for Addressing Data Quality Variance in OoD Algorithms12 Jun 2022
- 2022(Im)possibility of Collective Intelligence5 Jun 2022
- 2022Out-of-distribution generalization for learning quantum dynamics21 Apr 2022
- 2022Dimensionless machine learning: Imposing exact units equivariance2 Apr 2022
- 2022Towards understanding deep learning with the natural clustering prior15 Mar 2022
- 2022Electricity Consumption Forecasting for Out-of-distribution Time-of-Use Tariffs11 Feb 2022
- 2022Influence-Augmented Local Simulators: A Scalable Solution for Fast Deep RL in Large Networked Systems3 Feb 2022
- 2022Gradient Masked Averaging for Federated Learning28 Jan 2022
- 2022Prospective Learning: Principled Extrapolation to the Future19 Jan 2022
- 2021Provable Adversarial Robustness in the Quantum Model17 Dec 2021
- 2021Exploration of Dark Chemical Genomics Space via Portal Learning: Applied to Targeting the Undruggable Genome and COVID-19 Anti-Infective Polypharmacology23 Nov 2021
- 2021Scaling Laws for the Few-Shot Adaptation of Pre-trained Image Classifiers13 Oct 2021
- 2021Towards a theory of out-of-distribution learning29 Sep 2021
- 2021Optimization-based Causal Estimation from Heterogenous Environments24 Sep 2021
50 newest of 59 All 59 (JSON)
- 2021Goal Misgeneralization in Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 122
- 2021OoD-Bench: Quantifying and Understanding Two Dimensions of Out-of-Distribution Generalizationcited by 86
- 2024Dual-Personalizing Adapter for Federated Foundation Modelscited by 54
- 2021Attention, please! A survey of Neural Attention Models in Deep Learningcited by 50
- 2022Out-of-distribution generalization for learning quantum dynamicscited by 49
- 2022Invariant Feature Learning for Generalized Long-Tailed Classificationcited by 34
- 2023Generalized Logit Adjustment: Calibrating Fine-tuned Models by Removing Label Bias in Foundation Modelscited by 32
- 2021Dangers of Bayesian Model Averaging under Covariate Shiftcited by 31
- 2022Gradient Masked Averaging for Federated Learningcited by 22
- 2021Out-of-Distribution Generalization in Kernel Regressioncited by 21
- 2023Masked Images Are Counterfactual Samples for Robust Fine-tuningcited by 20
- 2021Optimization-based Causal Estimation from Heterogenous Environmentscited by 16
12 most cited of 57 All 57 (JSON)
- 2026Acoustic domain shift in spoken language identification from systematic domain generalization evaluation to real-world application23 Sep 2026
- 2026Out-of-Support Generalisation via Weight-Space Sequence Modelling14 Feb 2026
- 2026Distributionally Robust Optimization via Generative Ambiguity Modeling9 Feb 2026
- 2025Invariant Feature Extraction Through Conditional Independence and the Optimal Transport Barycenter Problem: the Gaussian case24 Dec 2025
- 2025Fairness Is Not Just Ethical: Performance Trade-Off via Data Correlation Tuning to Mitigate Bias in ML Software19 Dec 2025
- 2025Distributionally Robust Optimization via Diffusion Ambiguity Modeling26 Oct 2025
- 2025Integrating Reinforcement Learning with Visual Generative Models: Foundations and Advances14 Aug 2025
- 2025When can in-context learning generalize out of task distribution?5 Jun 2025
- 2025Weight-Space Linear Recurrent Neural Networks1 Jun 2025
- 2025Robust Invariant Representation Learning by Distribution Extrapolation22 May 2025
- 2025Federated Adapter on Foundation Models: An Out-Of-Distribution Approach2 May 2025
- 2024Prospective Learning: Learning for a Dynamic Future31 Oct 2024
12 newest of 57 All 57 (JSON)