A Brief Prehistory of Double Descent
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Abstract (arXiv)
In their thought-provoking paper [1], Belkin et al. illustrate and discuss the shape of risk curves in the context of modern high-complexity learners. Given a fixed training sample size n, such curves show the risk of a learner as a function of some (approximate) measure of its complexity N. With N the number of features, these curves are also referred to as feature curves. A salient observation in [1] is that these curves can display, what they call, double descent: with increasing N, the risk initially decreases, attains a minimum, and then increases until N equals n, where the training data is fitted perfectly. Increasing N even further, the risk decreases a second and final time, creating a peak at N=n. This twofold descent may come as a surprise, but as opposed to what [1] reports, it has not been overlooked historically. Our letter draws attention to some original, earlier findings, of interest to contemporary machine learning.
Key facts. Cited by 44 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 7 Apr 2020.
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Citing papers per year: 2020: 1; 2021: 8; 2022: 11; 2023: 8; 2024: 7; 2025: 5; 2026: 4.
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- 2020Spectral Bias and Task-Model Alignment Explain Generalization in Kernel Regression and Infinitely Wide Neural Networkscited by 166
- 2021Fit without fear: remarkable mathematical phenomena of deep learning through the prism of interpolationcited by 130
- 2021The Shape of Learning Curves: a Reviewcited by 67
- 2023High-dimensional analysis of double descent for linear regression with random projectionscited by 47
- 2022Fast Convex Optimization for Two-Layer ReLU Networks: Equivalent Model Classes and Cone Decompositionscited by 31
- 2022Sparse Double Descent: Where Network Pruning Aggravates Overfittingcited by 26
- 2021When and how epochwise double descent happenscited by 20
- 2022Phenomenology of Double Descent in Finite-Width Neural Networkscited by 11
- 2023The Interpolating Information Criterion for Overparameterized Modelscited by 11
- 2022Monotonicity and Double Descent in Uncertainty Estimation with Gaussian Processescited by 10
- 2021Fundamental tradeoffs between memorization and robustness in random features and neural tangent regimescited by 9
- 2024Deep Learning Through A Telescoping Lens: A Simple Model Provides Empirical Insights On Grokking, Gradient Boosting & Beyondcited by 9
32 more
- 2026Why Larger Models Learn More: Effects of Capacity, Interference, and Rare-Task Retentioncited by 8
- 2021On the Role of Optimization in Double Descent: A Least Squares Studycited by 7
- 2022Bias-variance decomposition of overparameterized regression with random linear featurescited by 7
- 2023Unraveling the Enigma of Double Descent: An In-depth Analysis through the Lens of Learned Feature Spacecited by 6
- 2024Classical Statistical (In-Sample) Intuitions Don't Generalize Well: A Note on Bias-Variance Tradeoffs, Overfitting and Moving from Fixed to Random Designscited by 5
- 2021The Geometry of Over-parameterized Regression and Adversarial Perturbationscited by 4
- 2022Target alignment in truncated kernel ridge regressioncited by 4
- 2022Efficient learning of nonlinear prediction models with time-series privileged informationcited by 4
- 2024The Breakdown of Gaussian Universality in Classification of High-dimensional Linear Factor Mixturescited by 4
- 2022Random Features Model with General Convex Regularization: A Fine Grained Analysis with Precise Asymptotic Learning Curvescited by 3
- 2023Data-Induced Interactions of Sparse Sensors Using Statistical Physicscited by 3
- 2023Minimum norm interpolation by perceptra: Explicit regularization and implicit biascited by 3
- 2024Effect of Weight Quantization on Learning Models by Typical Case Analysiscited by 3
- 2025Not All Explanations for Deep Learning Phenomena Are Equally Valuablecited by 3
- 2022A Survey of Learning Curves with Bad Behavior: or How More Data Need Not Lead to Better Performancecited by 2
- 2023Quantifying lottery tickets under label noise: accuracy, calibration, and complexitycited by 2
- 2025A dynamic view of some anomalous phenomena in SGDcited by 2
- 2021Asymptotic Risk of Overparameterized Likelihood Models: Double Descent Theory for Deep Neural Networkscited by 1
- 2022Do highly over-parameterized neural networks generalize since bad solutions are rare?cited by 1
- 2023No Data Augmentation? Alternative Regularizations for Effective Training on Small Datasetscited by 1
- 2024A Predictive Surrogate Model for Heat Transfer of an Impinging Jet on a Concave Surfacecited by 1
- 2025A Two-Phase Perspective on Deep Learning Dynamicscited by 1
- 2025LCDB 1.1: A Database Illustrating Learning Curves Are More Ill-Behaved Than Previously Thoughtcited by 1
- 2021Fitting Elephantscited by 0
- 2022Generalizing similarity in noisy setups: the DIBS phenomenoncited by 0
- 2023Analysis of Interpolating Regression Models and the Double Descent Phenomenoncited by 0
- 2024Class-wise Activation Unravelling the Engima of Deep Double Descentcited by 0
- 2024eGAD! double descent is explained by Generalized Aliasing Decompositioncited by 0
- 2025On The Presence of Double-Descent in Deep Reinforcement Learningcited by 0
- 2026Origins and mitigation of double descent in reduced order modelingcited by 0
- 2026Benign interpolation and Occam's razorcited by 0
- 2026The double descent and Runge phenomena in overparametrized polynomial interpolationcited by 0
- 2026The double descent and Runge phenomena in overparametrized polynomial interpolation29 Sep 2026
- 2026Benign interpolation and Occam's razor4 Aug 2026
- 2026Origins and mitigation of double descent in reduced order modeling29 Jul 2026
- 2026Why Larger Models Learn More: Effects of Capacity, Interference, and Rare-Task Retention28 May 2026
- 2025On The Presence of Double-Descent in Deep Reinforcement Learning10 Nov 2025
- 2025Not All Explanations for Deep Learning Phenomena Are Equally Valuable29 Jun 2025
- 2025LCDB 1.1: A Database Illustrating Learning Curves Are More Ill-Behaved Than Previously Thought21 May 2025
- 2025A dynamic view of some anomalous phenomena in SGD3 May 2025
- 2025A Two-Phase Perspective on Deep Learning Dynamics17 Apr 2025
- 2024Deep Learning Through A Telescoping Lens: A Simple Model Provides Empirical Insights On Grokking, Gradient Boosting & Beyond31 Oct 2024
- 2024The Breakdown of Gaussian Universality in Classification of High-dimensional Linear Factor Mixtures8 Oct 2024
- 2024Classical Statistical (In-Sample) Intuitions Don't Generalize Well: A Note on Bias-Variance Tradeoffs, Overfitting and Moving from Fixed to Random Designs27 Sep 2024
32 more
- 2024eGAD! double descent is explained by Generalized Aliasing Decomposition15 Aug 2024
- 2024Class-wise Activation Unravelling the Engima of Deep Double Descent13 May 2024
- 2024A Predictive Surrogate Model for Heat Transfer of an Impinging Jet on a Concave Surface16 Feb 2024
- 2024Effect of Weight Quantization on Learning Models by Typical Case Analysis30 Jan 2024
- 2023Minimum norm interpolation by perceptra: Explicit regularization and implicit bias10 Nov 2023
- 2023Unraveling the Enigma of Double Descent: An In-depth Analysis through the Lens of Learned Feature Space20 Oct 2023
- 2023No Data Augmentation? Alternative Regularizations for Effective Training on Small Datasets4 Sep 2023
- 2023Data-Induced Interactions of Sparse Sensors Using Statistical Physics21 Jul 2023
- 2023The Interpolating Information Criterion for Overparameterized Models15 Jul 2023
- 2023Quantifying lottery tickets under label noise: accuracy, calibration, and complexity21 Jun 2023
- 2023Analysis of Interpolating Regression Models and the Double Descent Phenomenon17 Apr 2023
- 2023High-dimensional analysis of double descent for linear regression with random projections2 Mar 2023
- 2022A Survey of Learning Curves with Bad Behavior: or How More Data Need Not Lead to Better Performance25 Nov 2022
- 2022Do highly over-parameterized neural networks generalize since bad solutions are rare?7 Nov 2022
- 2022Monotonicity and Double Descent in Uncertainty Estimation with Gaussian Processes14 Oct 2022
- 2022Efficient learning of nonlinear prediction models with time-series privileged information15 Sep 2022
- 2022Target alignment in truncated kernel ridge regression28 Jun 2022
- 2022Sparse Double Descent: Where Network Pruning Aggravates Overfitting17 Jun 2022
- 2022Random Features Model with General Convex Regularization: A Fine Grained Analysis with Precise Asymptotic Learning Curves6 Apr 2022
- 2022Phenomenology of Double Descent in Finite-Width Neural Networks14 Mar 2022
- 2022Bias-variance decomposition of overparameterized regression with random linear features10 Mar 2022
- 2022Fast Convex Optimization for Two-Layer ReLU Networks: Equivalent Model Classes and Cone Decompositions2 Feb 2022
- 2022Generalizing similarity in noisy setups: the DIBS phenomenon30 Jan 2022
- 2021When and how epochwise double descent happens26 Aug 2021
- 2021On the Role of Optimization in Double Descent: A Least Squares Study27 Jul 2021
- 2021Fundamental tradeoffs between memorization and robustness in random features and neural tangent regimes4 Jun 2021
- 2021Fit without fear: remarkable mathematical phenomena of deep learning through the prism of interpolation29 May 2021
- 2021Fitting Elephants31 Mar 2021
- 2021The Geometry of Over-parameterized Regression and Adversarial Perturbations25 Mar 2021
- 2021The Shape of Learning Curves: a Review19 Mar 2021
- 2021Asymptotic Risk of Overparameterized Likelihood Models: Double Descent Theory for Deep Neural Networks28 Feb 2021
- 2020Spectral Bias and Task-Model Alignment Explain Generalization in Kernel Regression and Infinitely Wide Neural Networks23 Jun 2020
- 2021Fit without fear: remarkable mathematical phenomena of deep learning through the prism of interpolationcited by 130
- 2021The Shape of Learning Curves: a Reviewcited by 67
- 2023High-dimensional analysis of double descent for linear regression with random projectionscited by 47
- 2022Fast Convex Optimization for Two-Layer ReLU Networks: Equivalent Model Classes and Cone Decompositionscited by 31
- 2022Sparse Double Descent: Where Network Pruning Aggravates Overfittingcited by 26
- 2021When and how epochwise double descent happenscited by 20
- 2022Phenomenology of Double Descent in Finite-Width Neural Networkscited by 11
- 2023The Interpolating Information Criterion for Overparameterized Modelscited by 11
- 2022Monotonicity and Double Descent in Uncertainty Estimation with Gaussian Processescited by 10
- 2021Fundamental tradeoffs between memorization and robustness in random features and neural tangent regimescited by 9
- 2024Deep Learning Through A Telescoping Lens: A Simple Model Provides Empirical Insights On Grokking, Gradient Boosting & Beyondcited by 9
- 2026Why Larger Models Learn More: Effects of Capacity, Interference, and Rare-Task Retentioncited by 8
12 most cited of 43 All 43 (JSON)
- 2026The double descent and Runge phenomena in overparametrized polynomial interpolation29 Sep 2026
- 2026Benign interpolation and Occam's razor4 Aug 2026
- 2026Origins and mitigation of double descent in reduced order modeling29 Jul 2026
- 2026Why Larger Models Learn More: Effects of Capacity, Interference, and Rare-Task Retention28 May 2026
- 2025On The Presence of Double-Descent in Deep Reinforcement Learning10 Nov 2025
- 2025Not All Explanations for Deep Learning Phenomena Are Equally Valuable29 Jun 2025
- 2025LCDB 1.1: A Database Illustrating Learning Curves Are More Ill-Behaved Than Previously Thought21 May 2025
- 2025A dynamic view of some anomalous phenomena in SGD3 May 2025
- 2025A Two-Phase Perspective on Deep Learning Dynamics17 Apr 2025
- 2024Deep Learning Through A Telescoping Lens: A Simple Model Provides Empirical Insights On Grokking, Gradient Boosting & Beyond31 Oct 2024
- 2024The Breakdown of Gaussian Universality in Classification of High-dimensional Linear Factor Mixtures8 Oct 2024
- 2024Classical Statistical (In-Sample) Intuitions Don't Generalize Well: A Note on Bias-Variance Tradeoffs, Overfitting and Moving from Fixed to Random Designs27 Sep 2024
12 newest of 43 All 43 (JSON)