Abductive Commonsense Reasoning
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Cited by 93 in LLM reasoning, but placed by its own abstract, which didn’t fit.
Abstract (arXiv)
Abductive reasoning is inference to the most plausible explanation. For example, if Jenny finds her house in a mess when she returns from work, and remembers that she left a window open, she can hypothesize that a thief broke into her house and caused the mess, as the most plausible explanation. While abduction has long been considered to be at the core of how people interpret and read between the lines in natural language (Hobbs et al., 1988), there has been relatively little research in support of abductive natural language inference and generation. We present the first study that investigates the viability of language-based abductive reasoning. We introduce a challenge dataset, ART, that consists of over 20k commonsense narrative contexts and 200k explanations. Based on this dataset, we conceptualize two new tasks -- (i) Abductive NLI: a multiple-choice question answering task for choosing the more likely explanation, and (ii) Abductive NLG: a conditional generation task for explaining given observations in natural language. On Abductive NLI, the best model achieves 68.9% accuracy, well below human performance of 91.4%. On Abductive NLG, the current best language generators struggle even more, as they lack reasoning capabilities that are trivial for humans. Our analysis leads to new insights into the types of reasoning that deep pre-trained language models fail to perform--despite their strong performance on the related but more narrowly defined task of entailment NLI--pointing to interesting avenues for future research.
Key facts. Cited by 300 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 15 Aug 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 59; 2022: 65; 2023: 70; 2024: 43; 2025: 28; 2026: 35.
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- 2022Diffusion-LM Improves Controllable Text Generationcited by 1,006
- 2023A Multitask, Multilingual, Multimodal Evaluation of ChatGPT on Reasoning, Hallucination, and Interactivitycited by 888
- 2021MetaICL: Learning to Learn In Contextcited by 450
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- 2022Large Language Models are Better Reasoners with Self-Verificationcited by 304
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- 2021SPoT: Better Frozen Model Adaptation through Soft Prompt Transfercited by 235
- 2022Making Large Language Models Better Reasoners with Step-Aware Verifiercited by 231
- 2021Generated Knowledge Prompting for Commonsense Reasoningcited by 213
- 2022Leveraging Large Language Models for Multiple Choice Question Answeringcited by 199
- 2023FLASK: Fine-grained Language Model Evaluation based on Alignment Skill Setscited by 198
- 2023Large Language Models for Generative Information Extraction: A Surveycited by 183
38 more
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- 2022A Review on Language Models as Knowledge Basescited by 156
- 2022Deep Bidirectional Language-Knowledge Graph Pretrainingcited by 156
- 2023Active Prompting with Chain-of-Thought for Large Language Modelscited by 154
- 2023Large-scale Multi-Modal Pre-trained Models: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 153
- 2021CrossFit: A Few-shot Learning Challenge for Cross-task Generalization in NLPcited by 142
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- 2021Can Machines Learn Morality? The Delphi Experimentcited by 140
- 2024Exploring the Reasoning Abilities of Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs): A Comprehensive Survey on Emerging Trends in Multimodal Reasoningcited by 136
- 2021Teach Me to Explain: A Review of Datasets for Explainable Natural Language Processingcited by 126
- 2023CLadder: Assessing Causal Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 102
- 2021UNICORN on RAINBOW: A Universal Commonsense Reasoning Model on a New Multitask Benchmarkcited by 98
- 2023The Generative AI Paradox: "What It Can Create, It May Not Understand"cited by 97
- 2023Examining Inter-Consistency of Large Language Models Collaboration: An In-depth Analysis via Debatecited by 94
- 2021QA Dataset Explosion: A Taxonomy of NLP Resources for Question Answering and Reading Comprehensioncited by 91
- 2024The BiGGen Bench: A Principled Benchmark for Fine-grained Evaluation of Language Models with Language Modelscited by 89
- 2021e-ViL: A Dataset and Benchmark for Natural Language Explanations in Vision-Language Taskscited by 84
- 2025Tarsier2: Advancing Large Vision-Language Models from Detailed Video Description to Comprehensive Video Understandingcited by 80
- 2023Cognitive Reframing of Negative Thoughts through Human-Language Model Interactioncited by 77
- 2022A Survey of Knowledge Enhanced Pre-trained Language Modelscited by 76
- 2021Probing Across Time: What Does RoBERTa Know and When?cited by 73
- 2022Stop Measuring Calibration When Humans Disagreecited by 70
- 2024Artifacts or Abduction: How Do LLMs Answer Multiple-Choice Questions Without the Question?cited by 68
- 2024MOOSE-Chem: Large Language Models for Rediscovering Unseen Chemistry Scientific Hypothesescited by 68
- 2023Are Large Language Models Really Good Logical Reasoners? A Comprehensive Evaluation and Beyondcited by 65
- 2021What to Pre-Train on? Efficient Intermediate Task Selectioncited by 62
- 2023Natural Language Reasoning, A Surveycited by 61
- 2024Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Datacited by 61
- 2021RiddleSense: Reasoning about Riddle Questions Featuring Linguistic Creativity and Commonsense Knowledgecited by 60
- 2021The Web Is Your Oyster - Knowledge-Intensive NLP against a Very Large Web Corpuscited by 60
- 2021Broaden the Vision: Geo-Diverse Visual Commonsense Reasoningcited by 59
- 2021ExplaGraphs: An Explanation Graph Generation Task for Structured Commonsense Reasoningcited by 58
- 2022minicons: Enabling Flexible Behavioral and Representational Analyses of Transformer Language Modelscited by 58
- 2022Housekeep: Tidying Virtual Households using Commonsense Reasoningcited by 57
- 2021A Systematic Investigation of Commonsense Knowledge in Large Language Modelscited by 56
- 2021Comparing Test Sets with Item Response Theorycited by 55
50 most cited of 300 All 300 (JSON)
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- 2026From Process Loss to Assembly Bonus: Human-Grounded Diagnosis of Multi-Agent LLM Collaboration6 Sep 2026
- 2026Thinking effort aligns between humans and reasoning models in abductive reasoning1 Sep 2026
- 2026Pairwise Logical Selection of Enthymeme Completions under Semantic-Link Uncertainty19 Aug 2026
- 2026CEDAR-GRPO: Process-Aware Reinforcement Learning for General Abductive Reasoning in LLMs14 Aug 2026
- 2026You Only Pass Once: Answering and Abstaining Together in a Single Forward Pass of a Frozen Language Model14 Aug 2026
- 2026MoCA: Implicit Social Context Analysis6 Aug 2026
- 2026Reference-Free Evaluation of Reasoning in Open-Ended Question Answering22 Jul 2026
- 2026LLMs Can See the Smoke but not the Fire: Evaluating Abductive Reasoning with Elenchos14 Jul 2026
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- 2026HypoAgent: An Agentic Framework for Interactive Abductive Hypothesis Generation over Knowledge Graphs29 May 2026
- 2026Nine Judges, Two Effective Votes: Correlated Errors Undermine LLM Evaluation Panels28 May 2026
- 2026Measuring Progress Toward AGI: A Cognitive Framework27 May 2026
- 2026DTO: a Differentiable Training Objective for Effective Counterfactual Story Rewriting24 May 2026
- 2026SCRuB: Social Concept Reasoning under Rubric-Based Evaluation7 May 2026
- 2026Knowledge Vector of Logical Reasoning in Large Language Models26 Apr 2026
- 2026Learning Reasoning World Models for Parallel Code22 Apr 2026
- 2026ArgBench: Benchmarking LLMs on Computational Argumentation Tasks19 Apr 2026
- 2026Wiring the 'Why': A Unified Taxonomy and Survey of Abductive Reasoning in LLMs9 Apr 2026
- 2026Explanation Generation for Contradiction Reconciliation with LLMs24 Mar 2026
- 2026SemEval-2026 Task 12: Abductive Event Reasoning: Towards Real-World Event Causal Inference for Large Language Models23 Mar 2026
- 2026Synthetic Data Generation for Training Diversified Commonsense Reasoning Models18 Mar 2026
- 2026Abductive Reasoning with Syllogistic Forms in Large Language Models6 Mar 2026
- 2026Making Implicit Premises Explicit in Logical Understanding of Enthymemes6 Mar 2026
- 2026Humans and LLMs Diverge on Probabilistic Inferences26 Feb 2026
- 2026ABD: Default Exception Abduction in Finite First Order Worlds21 Feb 2026
- 2026Measuring and Mitigating Post-hoc Rationalization in Reverse Chain-of-Thought Generation16 Feb 2026
- 2026Multimodal UNcommonsense: From Odd to Ordinary and Ordinary to Odd2 Feb 2026
- 2026Inferring Latent Intentions: Attributional Natural Language Inference in LLM Agents13 Jan 2026
- 2026KALE: Enhancing Knowledge Manipulation in Large Language Models via Knowledge-aware Learning12 Jan 2026
- 2025Social Story Frames: Contextual Reasoning about Narrative Intent and Reception17 Dec 2025
- 2025From Efficiency to Adaptivity: A Deeper Look at Adaptive Reasoning in Large Language Models13 Nov 2025
- 2025EVADE: LLM-Based Explanation Generation and Validation for Error Detection in NLI12 Nov 2025
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- 2025Unifying Deductive and Abductive Reasoning in Knowledge Graphs with Masked Diffusion Model13 Oct 2025
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- 2025Abductive Computational Systems: Creative Abduction and Future Directions11 Jul 2025
- 2025Let's CONFER: A Dataset for Evaluating Natural Language Inference Models on CONditional InFERence and Presupposition6 Jun 2025
- 2025Perceive Anything: Recognize, Explain, Caption, and Segment Anything in Images and Videos5 Jun 2025
- 2025From Reasoning to Learning: A Survey on Hypothesis Discovery and Rule Learning with Large Language Models28 May 2025
- 2025Controllable Logical Hypothesis Generation for Abductive Reasoning in Knowledge Graphs27 May 2025
- 2025Optimal Conformal Prediction under Epistemic Uncertainty25 May 2025
50 newest of 300 All 300 (JSON)
- 2023A Multitask, Multilingual, Multimodal Evaluation of ChatGPT on Reasoning, Hallucination, and Interactivitycited by 888
- 2022Language Models Are Greedy Reasoners: A Systematic Formal Analysis of Chain-of-Thoughtcited by 334
- 2022Large Language Models are Better Reasoners with Self-Verificationcited by 304
- 2022Making Large Language Models Better Reasoners with Step-Aware Verifiercited by 231
- 2022Maieutic Prompting: Logically Consistent Reasoning with Recursive Explanationscited by 159
- 2023Active Prompting with Chain-of-Thought for Large Language Modelscited by 154
- 2024Exploring the Reasoning Abilities of Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs): A Comprehensive Survey on Emerging Trends in Multimodal Reasoningcited by 136
- 2023CLadder: Assessing Causal Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 102
- 2023Are Large Language Models Really Good Logical Reasoners? A Comprehensive Evaluation and Beyondcited by 65
- 2023Natural Language Reasoning, A Surveycited by 61
- 2024Are LLMs Capable of Data-based Statistical and Causal Reasoning? Benchmarking Advanced Quantitative Reasoning with Datacited by 61
- 2022Housekeep: Tidying Virtual Households using Commonsense Reasoningcited by 57
12 most cited of 93 All 93 (JSON)
- 2026Thinking effort aligns between humans and reasoning models in abductive reasoning1 Sep 2026
- 2026CEDAR-GRPO: Process-Aware Reinforcement Learning for General Abductive Reasoning in LLMs14 Aug 2026
- 2026You Only Pass Once: Answering and Abstaining Together in a Single Forward Pass of a Frozen Language Model14 Aug 2026
- 2026Reference-Free Evaluation of Reasoning in Open-Ended Question Answering22 Jul 2026
- 2026LLMs Can See the Smoke but not the Fire: Evaluating Abductive Reasoning with Elenchos14 Jul 2026
- 2026Linear Probes Detect Task Format, Not Reasoning Mode in Language Model Hidden States1 Jun 2026
- 2026HypoAgent: An Agentic Framework for Interactive Abductive Hypothesis Generation over Knowledge Graphs29 May 2026
- 2026SCRuB: Social Concept Reasoning under Rubric-Based Evaluation7 May 2026
- 2026Knowledge Vector of Logical Reasoning in Large Language Models26 Apr 2026
- 2026Learning Reasoning World Models for Parallel Code22 Apr 2026
- 2026Wiring the 'Why': A Unified Taxonomy and Survey of Abductive Reasoning in LLMs9 Apr 2026
- 2026Synthetic Data Generation for Training Diversified Commonsense Reasoning Models18 Mar 2026
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- 2026Leadership as Coordination Control: Behavioral Signatures and the Recovery-Advantage Boundary in Multi-Agent LLM Teamscited by 0
- 2026From Process Loss to Assembly Bonus: Human-Grounded Diagnosis of Multi-Agent LLM Collaborationcited by 0
- 2026From Process Loss to Assembly Bonus: Human-Grounded Diagnosis of Multi-Agent LLM Collaboration6 Sep 2026
- 2026Leadership as Coordination Control: Behavioral Signatures and the Recovery-Advantage Boundary in Multi-Agent LLM Teams17 Jun 2026
- 2026Inferring Latent Intentions: Attributional Natural Language Inference in LLM Agents13 Jan 2026
- 2023A New Dialogue Response Generation Agent for Large Language Models by Asking Questions to Detect User's Intentions5 Oct 2023
- 2022Diffusion-LM Improves Controllable Text Generationcited by 1,006
- 2021MetaICL: Learning to Learn In Contextcited by 450
- 2022UL2: Unifying Language Learning Paradigmscited by 292
- 2021SPoT: Better Frozen Model Adaptation through Soft Prompt Transfercited by 235
- 2021Generated Knowledge Prompting for Commonsense Reasoningcited by 213
- 2022Leveraging Large Language Models for Multiple Choice Question Answeringcited by 199
- 2023Large Language Models for Generative Information Extraction: A Surveycited by 183
- 2021ExT5: Towards Extreme Multi-Task Scaling for Transfer Learningcited by 161
- 2022COLD Decoding: Energy-based Constrained Text Generation with Langevin Dynamicscited by 159
- 2022A Review on Language Models as Knowledge Basescited by 156
- 2022Deep Bidirectional Language-Knowledge Graph Pretrainingcited by 156
- 2023Large-scale Multi-Modal Pre-trained Models: A Comprehensive Surveycited by 153
12 most cited of 195 All 195 (JSON)
- 2026LLM-as-Jev: LLMs Are Already Jev-Style Decision Models -- When and How to Fine-Tune Them1 Oct 2026
- 2026Evaluating Whether LLMs Can Reliably Connect the DOTs?29 Sep 2026
- 2026Evaluating and Benchmarking the System One Model Jev29 Sep 2026
- 2026Contextual Causality with Large Language Models: A Survey18 Sep 2026
- 2026Pairwise Logical Selection of Enthymeme Completions under Semantic-Link Uncertainty19 Aug 2026
- 2026MoCA: Implicit Social Context Analysis6 Aug 2026
- 2026ArtMine: Discovering and Formalizing Artistic Processes9 Jul 2026
- 2026Nine Judges, Two Effective Votes: Correlated Errors Undermine LLM Evaluation Panels28 May 2026
- 2026Measuring Progress Toward AGI: A Cognitive Framework27 May 2026
- 2026DTO: a Differentiable Training Objective for Effective Counterfactual Story Rewriting24 May 2026
- 2026ArgBench: Benchmarking LLMs on Computational Argumentation Tasks19 Apr 2026
- 2026Explanation Generation for Contradiction Reconciliation with LLMs24 Mar 2026
12 newest of 195 All 195 (JSON)