Two models of double descent for weak features
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Abstract (arXiv)
The "double descent" risk curve was proposed to qualitatively describe the out-of-sample prediction accuracy of variably-parameterized machine learning models. This article provides a precise mathematical analysis for the shape of this curve in two simple data models with the least squares/least norm predictor. Specifically, it is shown that the risk peaks when the number of features p is close to the sample size n, but also that the risk decreases towards its minimum as p increases beyond n. This behavior is contrasted with that of "prescient" models that select features in an a priori optimal order.
Key facts. Cited by 194 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 18 Mar 2019.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 49; 2022: 46; 2023: 35; 2024: 27; 2025: 19; 2026: 18.
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- 2026High-dimensional ridgeless least squares interpolation under spiked covariance structures7 Aug 2026
- 2026Origins and mitigation of double descent in reduced order modeling29 Jul 2026
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- 2026Local linear convergence of gradient methods for overparameterized Gaussian mixtures29 May 2026
- 2026Asymmetric Scaling Laws from Sparse Features22 May 2026
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