Exact post-selection inference, with application to the lasso
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Abstract (arXiv)
We develop a general approach to valid inference after model selection. At the core of our framework is a result that characterizes the distribution of a post-selection estimator conditioned on the selection event. We specialize the approach to model selection by the lasso to form valid confidence intervals for the selected coefficients and test whether all relevant variables have been included in the model.
Key facts. Cited by 91 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 25 Nov 2013.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 14; 2022: 15; 2023: 16; 2024: 11; 2025: 16; 2026: 19.
91 papers.
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- 2021MMD Aggregated Two-Sample Testcited by 75
- 2022Efficient Aggregated Kernel Tests using Incomplete U-statisticscited by 27
- 2021More Powerful Conditional Selective Inference for Generalized Lasso by Parametric Programmingcited by 25
- 2022Selective inference for k-means clusteringcited by 22
- 2021Sampling with Mirrored Stein Operatorscited by 17
- 2023Valid P-Value for Deep Learning-Driven Salient Regioncited by 17
- 2021Conditional Selective Inference for Robust Regression and Outlier Detection using Piecewise-Linear Homotopy Continuationcited by 16
- 2021Fast and More Powerful Selective Inference for Sparse High-order Interaction Modelcited by 15
- 2021Tree-Values: selective inference for regression treescited by 15
- 2021Data fission: splitting a single data pointcited by 14
- 2024Confidence on the Focal: Conformal Prediction with Selection-Conditional Coveragecited by 14
- 2023DRCFS: Doubly Robust Causal Feature Selectioncited by 12
38 more
- 2021The Terminating-Random Experiments Selector: Fast High-Dimensional Variable Selection with False Discovery Rate Controlcited by 10
- 2021Valid and Exact Statistical Inference for Multi-dimensional Multiple Change-Points by Selective Inferencecited by 10
- 2022Valid Inference After Causal Discoverycited by 10
- 2023CAD-DA: Controllable Anomaly Detection after Domain Adaptation by Statistical Inferencecited by 10
- 2025PCS-UQ: Uncertainty Quantification via the Predictability-Computability-Stability Frameworkcited by 9
- 2023Generalized Data Thinning Using Sufficient Statisticscited by 8
- 2021Exact Statistical Inference for the Wasserstein Distance by Selective Inferencecited by 7
- 2023Adaptive debiased machine learning using data-driven model selection techniquescited by 7
- 2024Statistical Test for Anomaly Detections by Variational Auto-Encoderscited by 7
- 2024A Flexible Defense Against the Winner's Cursecited by 7
- 2026Towards Reliable LLM Evaluation: Correcting the Winner's Curse in Adaptive Benchmarkingcited by 7
- 2023On the hierarchical Bayesian modelling of frequency response functionscited by 6
- 2024Statistical Test for Attention Map in Vision Transformercited by 6
- 2025DUAL: Learning Diverse Kernels for Aggregated Two-sample and Independence Testingcited by 6
- 2023Selective Inference for Changepoint detection by Recurrent Neural Networkcited by 4
- 2023Learning Rate Free Sampling in Constrained Domainscited by 3
- 2024Statistical Test for Feature Selection Pipelines by Selective Inferencecited by 3
- 2024Statistical Test for Auto Feature Engineering by Selective Inferencecited by 3
- 2025Quantifying Statistical Significance of Deep Nearest Neighbor Anomaly Detection via Selective Inferencecited by 3
- 2022Holistic Generalized Linear Modelscited by 2
- 2023Meta-models for transfer learning in source localisationcited by 2
- 2024Statistical Inference for Feature Selection after Optimal Transport-based Domain Adaptationcited by 2
- 2024Controllable RANSAC-based Anomaly Detection via Hypothesis Testingcited by 2
- 2025Change Point Detection in the Frequency Domain with Statistical Reliabilitycited by 2
- 2025Powerful rank verification for multivariate Gaussian data with any covariance structurecited by 2
- 2025Online Selective Conformal Prediction: Errors and Solutionscited by 2
- 2025Statistical Inference for Autoencoder-based Anomaly Detection after Representation Learning-based Domain Adaptationcited by 2
- 2026Data-driven sparse identification of governing PDEs via knockoff filters and multi-criteria trade-offscited by 2
- 2021Spatially relaxed inference on high-dimensional linear modelscited by 1
- 2021Inference for High Dimensional Censored Quantile Regressioncited by 1
- 2022Black-box Selective Inference via Bootstrappingcited by 1
- 2022A Confidence Machine for Sparse High-Order Interaction Modelcited by 1
- 2022Multi-Study Boosting: Theoretical Considerations for Merging vs. Ensemblingcited by 1
- 2022Two-Stage Robust and Sparse Distributed Statistical Inference for Large-Scale Datacited by 1
- 2023Bounded P-values in Parametric Programming-based Selective Inferencecited by 1
- 2024Discovering Significant Topics from Legal Decisions with Selective Inferencecited by 1
- 2024Statistical Test for Diffusion-Based Anomaly Localization via Selective Inferencecited by 1
- 2024U-learning for Prediction Inference via Combinatory Multi-Subsampling: With Applications to LASSO and Neural Networkscited by 1
50 most cited of 91 All 91 (JSON)
- 2026Selective Inference for Clustering Under Unknown Covariance12 Oct 2026
- 2026Post-Anomaly Detection Inference for Deep SVDD29 Sep 2026
- 2026How Sensitive Are LLM Leaderboard Claims to Hidden Model Selection?23 Sep 2026
- 2026Statistical Testing for Multiple Instance Learning via Selective Inference with Applications to Computational Pathology21 Sep 2026
- 2026Information Set Emulation: Causal Certificates for AI Derived EHR Features15 Sep 2026
- 2026When AI Generates Covariates: Causal Typing and Estimand Drift in Sequential Experiments15 Sep 2026
- 2026Localizing Global Discrepancies: Marginal Contributions and Contextual Anomaly Detection28 Aug 2026
- 2026Automatic Statistical Test for Rationally Expressible Algorithms by Selective Inference, with Applications to Feature Selection5 Aug 2026
- 2026Approximate Risk Minimization Over Shrinking-Thresholding Rules in Normal Mean Estimation7 Jul 2026
- 2026Testing hypotheses via orthogonalization29 Jun 2026
- 2026Data-driven sparse identification of governing PDEs via knockoff filters and multi-criteria trade-offs26 May 2026
- 2026Towards Reliable LLM Evaluation: Correcting the Winner's Curse in Adaptive Benchmarking7 May 2026
38 more
- 2026Spurious Predictability in Financial Machine Learning16 Apr 2026
- 2026Choosing the Right Regularizer for Applied ML: Simulation Benchmarks of Popular Scikit-learn Regularization Frameworks4 Apr 2026
- 2026Post-Selection Distributional Model Evaluation24 Mar 2026
- 2026Online Selective Conformal Prediction with Asymmetric Rules: A Permutation Test Approach10 Feb 2026
- 2026Statistical inference after variable selection in Cox models: A simulation study7 Feb 2026
- 2026New explanations and inference for least angle regression2 Feb 2026
- 2026Finite-Sample Inference for Sparsely Permuted Linear Regression21 Jan 2026
- 2025φ-Table: A Statistical Explanation for Global SHAP8 Dec 2025
- 2025Using latent representations to link disjoint longitudinal data for mixed-effects regression29 Oct 2025
- 2025DUAL: Learning Diverse Kernels for Aggregated Two-sample and Independence Testing13 Oct 2025
- 2025Spacing Test for Fused Lasso17 Sep 2025
- 2025Statistical Inference for Autoencoder-based Anomaly Detection after Representation Learning-based Domain Adaptation9 Aug 2025
- 2025Flexible Selective Inference with Flow-based Transport Maps1 Jun 2025
- 2025Statistical Test for Saliency Maps of Graph Neural Networks via Selective Inference22 May 2025
- 2025PCS-UQ: Uncertainty Quantification via the Predictability-Computability-Stability Framework13 May 2025
- 2025Extended Fiducial Inference for Individual Treatment Effects via Deep Neural Networks4 May 2025
- 2025Statistical Inference for Clustering-based Anomaly Detection25 Apr 2025
- 2025Post-Transfer Learning Statistical Inference in High-Dimensional Regression25 Apr 2025
- 2025Online Selective Conformal Prediction: Errors and Solutions21 Mar 2025
- 2025SNPL: Simultaneous Policy Learning and Evaluation for Safe Multi-Objective Policy Improvement17 Mar 2025
- 2025Powerful rank verification for multivariate Gaussian data with any covariance structure3 Mar 2025
- 2025Quantifying Statistical Significance of Deep Nearest Neighbor Anomaly Detection via Selective Inference18 Feb 2025
- 2025Change Point Detection in the Frequency Domain with Statistical Reliability5 Feb 2025
- 2024A Flexible Defense Against the Winner's Curse27 Nov 2024
- 2024Controllable RANSAC-based Anomaly Detection via Hypothesis Testing19 Oct 2024
- 2024Statistical Inference for Feature Selection after Optimal Transport-based Domain Adaptation19 Oct 2024
- 2024Statistical Test for Auto Feature Engineering by Selective Inference13 Oct 2024
- 2024U-learning for Prediction Inference via Combinatory Multi-Subsampling: With Applications to LASSO and Neural Networks22 Jul 2024
- 2024Statistical Test for Feature Selection Pipelines by Selective Inference27 Jun 2024
- 2024Confidence on the Focal: Conformal Prediction with Selection-Conditional Coverage6 Mar 2024
- 2024Statistical Test for Diffusion-Based Anomaly Localization via Selective Inference19 Feb 2024
- 2024Statistical Test for Anomaly Detections by Variational Auto-Encoders6 Feb 2024
- 2024Statistical Test for Attention Map in Vision Transformer16 Jan 2024
- 2024Discovering Significant Topics from Legal Decisions with Selective Inference2 Jan 2024
- 2023Selective Inference for Changepoint detection by Recurrent Neural Network25 Nov 2023
- 2023Explainable Boosting Machines with Sparsity -- Maintaining Explainability in High-Dimensional Settings13 Nov 2023
- 2023CAD-DA: Controllable Anomaly Detection after Domain Adaptation by Statistical Inference23 Oct 2023
- 2023Adaptive debiased machine learning using data-driven model selection techniques24 Jul 2023
50 newest of 91 All 91 (JSON)
- 2021MMD Aggregated Two-Sample Testcited by 75
- 2022Efficient Aggregated Kernel Tests using Incomplete U-statisticscited by 27
- 2021More Powerful Conditional Selective Inference for Generalized Lasso by Parametric Programmingcited by 25
- 2022Selective inference for k-means clusteringcited by 22
- 2021Sampling with Mirrored Stein Operatorscited by 17
- 2023Valid P-Value for Deep Learning-Driven Salient Regioncited by 17
- 2021Conditional Selective Inference for Robust Regression and Outlier Detection using Piecewise-Linear Homotopy Continuationcited by 16
- 2021Fast and More Powerful Selective Inference for Sparse High-order Interaction Modelcited by 15
- 2021Tree-Values: selective inference for regression treescited by 15
- 2021Data fission: splitting a single data pointcited by 14
- 2024Confidence on the Focal: Conformal Prediction with Selection-Conditional Coveragecited by 14
- 2023DRCFS: Doubly Robust Causal Feature Selectioncited by 12
12 most cited of 90 All 90 (JSON)
- 2026Selective Inference for Clustering Under Unknown Covariance12 Oct 2026
- 2026Post-Anomaly Detection Inference for Deep SVDD29 Sep 2026
- 2026How Sensitive Are LLM Leaderboard Claims to Hidden Model Selection?23 Sep 2026
- 2026Statistical Testing for Multiple Instance Learning via Selective Inference with Applications to Computational Pathology21 Sep 2026
- 2026Information Set Emulation: Causal Certificates for AI Derived EHR Features15 Sep 2026
- 2026When AI Generates Covariates: Causal Typing and Estimand Drift in Sequential Experiments15 Sep 2026
- 2026Localizing Global Discrepancies: Marginal Contributions and Contextual Anomaly Detection28 Aug 2026
- 2026Automatic Statistical Test for Rationally Expressible Algorithms by Selective Inference, with Applications to Feature Selection5 Aug 2026
- 2026Approximate Risk Minimization Over Shrinking-Thresholding Rules in Normal Mean Estimation7 Jul 2026
- 2026Testing hypotheses via orthogonalization29 Jun 2026
- 2026Data-driven sparse identification of governing PDEs via knockoff filters and multi-criteria trade-offs26 May 2026
- 2026Towards Reliable LLM Evaluation: Correcting the Winner's Curse in Adaptive Benchmarking7 May 2026
12 newest of 90 All 90 (JSON)