Learning by Transduction
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Abstract (arXiv)
We describe a method for predicting a classification of an object given classifications of the objects in the training set, assuming that the pairs object/classification are generated by an i.i.d. process from a continuous probability distribution. Our method is a modification of Vapnik's support-vector machine; its main novelty is that it gives not only the prediction itself but also a practicable measure of the evidence found in support of that prediction. We also describe a procedure for assigning degrees of confidence to predictions made by the support vector machine. Some experimental results are presented, and possible extensions of the algorithms are discussed.
Key facts. Cited by 120 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 30 Jan 2013.
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Citing papers per year: 2021: 10; 2022: 20; 2023: 23; 2024: 16; 2025: 37; 2026: 14.
120 papers.
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- 2021A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 777
- 2024Learning to (Learn at Test Time): RNNs with Expressive Hidden Statescited by 329
- 2021In Defense of Pseudo-Labeling: An Uncertainty-Aware Pseudo-label Selection Framework for Semi-Supervised Learningcited by 301
- 2022Test-Time Training with Masked Autoencoderscited by 208
- 2023Conformal Prediction with Large Language Models for Multi-Choice Question Answeringcited by 131
- 2022Revisiting Weakly Supervised Pre-Training of Visual Perception Modelscited by 116
- 2023Test-Time Training on Nearest Neighbors for Large Language Modelscited by 82
- 2024Beyond Model Adaptation at Test Time: A Surveycited by 55
- 2021Copula-based conformal prediction for Multi-Target Regressioncited by 53
- 2022Conformal Prediction Under Feedback Covariate Shift for Biomolecular Designcited by 53
- 2021Conformal Uncertainty Sets for Robust Optimizationcited by 49
- 2022OpenLDN: Learning to Discover Novel Classes for Open-World Semi-Supervised Learningcited by 37
38 more
- 2023Test-Time Training on Video Streamscited by 37
- 2023Non-Exchangeable Conformal Risk Controlcited by 29
- 2021Valid prediction intervals for regression problemscited by 28
- 2022Ensemble Conformalized Quantile Regression for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 27
- 2022Towards Realistic Semi-Supervised Learningcited by 27
- 2024Deductive Closure Training of Language Models for Coherence, Accuracy, and Updatabilitycited by 22
- 2024MoDE: CLIP Data Experts via Clusteringcited by 22
- 2025Multivariate Conformal Prediction using Optimal Transportcited by 21
- 2023Learning to Extrapolate: A Transductive Approachcited by 19
- 2025Test3R: Learning to Reconstruct 3D at Test Timecited by 19
- 2022PAC Prediction Sets for Meta-Learningcited by 16
- 2022Transformer-CNN Cohort: Semi-supervised Semantic Segmentation by the Best of Both Studentscited by 16
- 2023TimeBalance: Temporally-Invariant and Temporally-Distinctive Video Representations for Semi-Supervised Action Recognitioncited by 16
- 2021A Survey on Semi-Supervised Learning for Delayed Partially Labelled Data Streamscited by 15
- 2022Epistemic Deep Learningcited by 15
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Zero-Shot Modelscited by 14
- 2021Anomaly Clustering: Grouping Images into Coherent Clusters of Anomaly Typescited by 13
- 2023On the Expected Size of Conformal Prediction Setscited by 13
- 2024Enhancing Information Maximization with Distance-Aware Contrastive Learning for Source-Free Cross-Domain Few-Shot Learningcited by 13
- 2023Neural Priming for Sample-Efficient Adaptationcited by 12
- 2023Learning to (Learn at Test Time)cited by 12
- 2023Guaranteed Coverage Prediction Intervals with Gaussian Process Regressioncited by 12
- 2024Split Conformal Prediction under Data Contaminationcited by 12
- 2023Reliable Prediction Intervals with Regression Neural Networkscited by 11
- 2023Evaluating Machine Translation Quality with Conformal Predictive Distributionscited by 9
- 2024Privacy Preserving Federated Learning in Medical Imaging with Uncertainty Estimationcited by 9
- 2025Volume Optimality in Conformal Prediction with Structured Prediction Setscited by 9
- 2025Learning with Calibration: Exploring Test-Time Computing of Spatio-Temporal Forecastingcited by 9
- 2025Full Conformal Adaptation of Medical Vision-Language Modelscited by 9
- 2025AI Agents as Universal Task Solverscited by 9
- 2021Root-finding Approaches for Computing Conformal Prediction Setcited by 8
- 2023SymmPI: Predictive Inference for Data with Group Symmetriescited by 8
- 2025Language Models Can Predict Their Own Behaviorcited by 8
- 2025Trustworthy Few-Shot Transfer of Medical VLMs through Split Conformal Predictioncited by 8
- 2022Progressive Class Semantic Matching for Semi-supervised Text Classificationcited by 7
- 2022Conformal Prediction Bands for Two-Dimensional Functional Time Seriescited by 7
- 2022Transductive Decoupled Variational Inference for Few-Shot Classificationcited by 7
- 2022Exact and Approximate Conformal Inference for Multi-Output Regressioncited by 7
50 most cited of 120 All 120 (JSON)
- 2026Scaling Full Conformal Image Classifiers29 Sep 2026
- 2026Conformal Prediction and Conditional Coverage for Tabular Foundation Models28 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning to Adapt and Calibrate: Score Distribution Alignment for Few-Shot Uncertainty Prediction in Medical VLMs9 Sep 2026
- 2026Forget, Anticipate and Adapt: Test Time Training for Long Videos25 Jun 2026
- 2026Conf-Gen: Conformal Uncertainty Quantification for Generative Models27 May 2026
- 2026Pointwise Metrics Mislead: An Evaluation Protocol for Multimodal Inverse Problems21 May 2026
- 2026Compositional Transduction with Latent Analogies for Offline Goal-Conditioned Reinforcement Learning20 May 2026
- 2026Safe Control using Learned Safety Filters and Adaptive Conformal Inference20 Apr 2026
- 2026Trustworthy Endoscopic Super-Resolution20 Apr 2026
- 2026Elements of Conformal Prediction25 Mar 2026
- 2026Conformal Risk Control for Non-Monotonic Losses23 Feb 2026
- 2026LATA: Laplacian-Assisted Transductive Adaptation for Conformal Uncertainty in Medical VLMs19 Feb 2026
38 more
- 2026Native Extrapolation Awareness in Flow-Based Conditional Generation13 Feb 2026
- 2026Conformal prediction for full and sparse polynomial chaos expansions23 Jan 2026
- 2025Optimal Mistake Bounds for Transductive Online Learning14 Dec 2025
- 2025Conformal Safety Monitoring for Flight Testing: A Case Study in Data-Driven Safety Learning25 Nov 2025
- 2025Beyond Uncertainty Sets: Leveraging Optimal Transport to Extend Conformal Predictive Distributions to Multivariate Settings19 Nov 2025
- 2025Residual Distribution Predictive Systems30 Oct 2025
- 2025E-Scores for (In)Correctness Assessment of Generative Model Outputs29 Oct 2025
- 2025The Evolution of Probabilistic Price Forecasting Techniques: A Review of the Day-Ahead, Intra-Day, and Balancing Markets28 Oct 2025
- 2025ObjectTransforms for Uncertainty Quantification and Reduction in Vision-Based Perception for Autonomous Vehicles17 Oct 2025
- 2025AI Agents as Universal Task Solvers14 Oct 2025
- 2025Adaptive Coverage Policies in Conformal Prediction5 Oct 2025
- 2025Relevance-Aware Thresholding in Online Conformal Prediction for Time Series3 Oct 2025
- 2025Singleton-Optimized Conformal Prediction28 Sep 2025
- 2025On the Status of Foundation Models for SAR Imagery26 Sep 2025
- 2025Learning Conformal Explainers for Image Classifiers25 Sep 2025
- 2025Fuzzy Prediction Sets: Conformal Prediction with E-values16 Sep 2025
- 2025Fundamental bounds on efficiency-confidence trade-off for transductive conformal prediction4 Sep 2025
- 2025Transduction is All You Need for Structured Data Workflows21 Aug 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction and Trustworthy AI9 Aug 2025
- 2025Transductive Model Selection under Prior Probability Shift30 Jul 2025
- 2025Conformal and kNN Predictive Uncertainty Quantification Algorithms in Metric Spaces21 Jul 2025
- 2025Trustworthy Few-Shot Transfer of Medical VLMs through Split Conformal Prediction20 Jun 2025
- 2025Test3R: Learning to Reconstruct 3D at Test Time16 Jun 2025
- 2025Full Conformal Adaptation of Medical Vision-Language Models6 Jun 2025
- 2025Learning with Calibration: Exploring Test-Time Computing of Spatio-Temporal Forecasting31 May 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Zero-Shot Models30 May 2025
- 2025JAPAN: Joint Adaptive Prediction Areas with Normalising-Flows29 May 2025
- 2025Test-time augmentation improves efficiency in conformal prediction28 May 2025
- 2025Individualised Counterfactual Examples Using Conformal Prediction Intervals28 May 2025
- 2025Scalable and adaptive prediction bands with kernel sum-of-squares27 May 2025
- 2025A Physics-Informed Spatiotemporal Deep Learning Framework for Turbulent Systems16 May 2025
- 2025Computing High-dimensional Confidence Sets for Arbitrary Distributions3 Apr 2025
- 2025AU-TTT: Vision Test-Time Training model for Facial Action Unit Detection30 Mar 2025
- 2025Inductive randomness predictors: beyond conformal4 Mar 2025
- 2025Volume Optimality in Conformal Prediction with Structured Prediction Sets23 Feb 2025
- 2025Language Models Can Predict Their Own Behavior18 Feb 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Electricity Price Forecasting in the Day-Ahead and Real-Time Balancing Market7 Feb 2025
- 2025Multivariate Conformal Prediction using Optimal Transport5 Feb 2025
50 newest of 120 All 120 (JSON)
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Zero-Shot Modelscited by 14
- 2025Full Conformal Adaptation of Medical Vision-Language Modelscited by 9
- 2025Trustworthy Few-Shot Transfer of Medical VLMs through Split Conformal Predictioncited by 8
- 2026LATA: Laplacian-Assisted Transductive Adaptation for Conformal Uncertainty in Medical VLMscited by 2
- 2026LATA: Laplacian-Assisted Transductive Adaptation for Conformal Uncertainty in Medical VLMs19 Feb 2026
- 2025Trustworthy Few-Shot Transfer of Medical VLMs through Split Conformal Prediction20 Jun 2025
- 2025Full Conformal Adaptation of Medical Vision-Language Models6 Jun 2025
- 2025Conformal Prediction for Zero-Shot Models30 May 2025
- 2025Transduction is All You Need for Structured Data Workflows21 Aug 2025
- 2025Language Models Can Predict Their Own Behaviorcited by 8
- 2025Language Models Can Predict Their Own Behavior18 Feb 2025
- 2021A Gentle Introduction to Conformal Prediction and Distribution-Free Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 777
- 2021In Defense of Pseudo-Labeling: An Uncertainty-Aware Pseudo-label Selection Framework for Semi-Supervised Learningcited by 301
- 2022Test-Time Training with Masked Autoencoderscited by 208
- 2023Conformal Prediction with Large Language Models for Multi-Choice Question Answeringcited by 131
- 2022Revisiting Weakly Supervised Pre-Training of Visual Perception Modelscited by 116
- 2023Test-Time Training on Nearest Neighbors for Large Language Modelscited by 82
- 2024Beyond Model Adaptation at Test Time: A Surveycited by 55
- 2021Copula-based conformal prediction for Multi-Target Regressioncited by 53
- 2022Conformal Prediction Under Feedback Covariate Shift for Biomolecular Designcited by 53
- 2021Conformal Uncertainty Sets for Robust Optimizationcited by 49
- 2022OpenLDN: Learning to Discover Novel Classes for Open-World Semi-Supervised Learningcited by 37
- 2023Test-Time Training on Video Streamscited by 37
12 most cited of 111 All 111 (JSON)
- 2026Scaling Full Conformal Image Classifiers29 Sep 2026
- 2026Conformal Prediction and Conditional Coverage for Tabular Foundation Models28 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning to Adapt and Calibrate: Score Distribution Alignment for Few-Shot Uncertainty Prediction in Medical VLMs9 Sep 2026
- 2026Forget, Anticipate and Adapt: Test Time Training for Long Videos25 Jun 2026
- 2026Conf-Gen: Conformal Uncertainty Quantification for Generative Models27 May 2026
- 2026Pointwise Metrics Mislead: An Evaluation Protocol for Multimodal Inverse Problems21 May 2026
- 2026Safe Control using Learned Safety Filters and Adaptive Conformal Inference20 Apr 2026
- 2026Trustworthy Endoscopic Super-Resolution20 Apr 2026
- 2026Elements of Conformal Prediction25 Mar 2026
- 2026Conformal Risk Control for Non-Monotonic Losses23 Feb 2026
- 2026Conformal prediction for full and sparse polynomial chaos expansions23 Jan 2026
- 2025Optimal Mistake Bounds for Transductive Online Learning14 Dec 2025
12 newest of 111 All 111 (JSON)