Learning to Stop without Learning to Stop: Self-Supervised Confidence Training Improves Reasoning Efficiency
On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking
Abstract (arXiv)
Reasoning models often generate very long reasoning traces, making inference computationally expensive. Existing approaches typically improve efficiency either through inference-time early-stopping mechanisms or by explicitly encouraging shorter reasoning during training, for example through reinforcement learning with length penalties. We show that substantial efficiency gains can instead emerge from a different kind of supervision: textitconfidence. Using a self-supervised procedure, we fine-tune reasoning models to predict their confidence in the answer at intermediate points along their own reasoning trajectories using only 600 training problems. Confidence is used only as a training target: the loss contains no objective for reasoning length, efficiency, or stopping. At inference, the fine-tuned models use the standard generation procedure, with no confidence elicitation or early-stopping mechanism. Despite this, self-supervised confidence fine-tuning makes reasoning more efficient, reducing generated tokens by up to 25% at matched accuracy across Gemma, Qwen, Nemotron, and GPT-OSS models on mathematical, scientific, and coding reasoning benchmarks, with efficiency gains comparable to methods that explicitly optimize for shorter reasoning. Analysis of reasoning episodes further shows that confidence supervision largely preserves the base models' high-level reasoning composition rather than selectively suppressing particular behaviors. Our results suggest that efficient reasoning may emerge as a downstream consequence of learning metacognitive signals, without being directly optimized.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 34 of its 37 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 25 Sep 2026.
Builds on
34 of 37 references.
Closest ancestors · 18
Same direction, newest first
- 2026CAT: Confidence-Adaptive Thinking for Efficient Reasoning of Large Reasoning Models1 Jul
- 2026Understanding and Mitigating Premature Confidence for Better LLM Reasoning23 May
- 2026Confidence-Aware Alignment Makes Reasoning LLMs More Reliable8 May
- 2026Step-GRPO: Internalizing Dynamic Early Exit for Efficient Reasoning18 Apr
- 2026Early Stopping for Large Reasoning Models via Confidence Dynamics6 Apr
- 2026Does Your Reasoning Model Implicitly Know When to Stop Thinking?9 Feb
- 2025DLER: Doing Length pEnalty Right - Incentivizing More Intelligence per Token via Reinforcement Learning16 Oct
- 2025Entropy After </Think> for reasoning model early exiting30 Sep
- 2025Your Models Have Thought Enough: Training Large Reasoning Models to Stop Overthinking27 Sep
- 2025Verbalized Confidence Triggers Self-Verification: Emergent Behavior Without Explicit Reasoning Supervision4 Jun
- 2025Think or Not? Exploring Thinking Efficiency in Large Reasoning Models via an Information-Theoretic Lens23 May
- 2025ConCISE: Confidence-guided Compression in Step-by-step Efficient Reasoning8 May
6 more
- 2025ShorterBetter: Guiding Reasoning Models to Find Optimal Inference Length for Efficient Reasoning30 Apr
- 2025Dynamic Early Exit in Reasoning Models22 Apr
- 2025Reasoning Models Know When They're Right: Probing Hidden States for Self-Verification7 Apr
- 2025ThinkPrune: Pruning Long Chain-of-Thought of LLMs via Reinforcement Learning2 Apr
- 2025L1: Controlling How Long A Reasoning Model Thinks With Reinforcement Learning6 Mar
- 2025Self-Training Elicits Concise Reasoning in Large Language Models27 Feb
Other references · 16
- 2018BERT: Pre-training of Deep Bidirectional Transformers for Language Understandingcited by 40,399
- 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 10,109
- 2021Evaluating Large Language Models Trained on Codecited by 8,320
- 2023GPQA: A Graduate-Level Google-Proof Q&A Benchmarkcited by 2,879
- 2024LiveCodeBench: Holistic and Contamination Free Evaluation of Large Language Models for Codecited by 2,004
- 2025DeepMath-103K: A Large-Scale, Challenging, Decontaminated, and Verifiable Mathematical Dataset for Advancing Reasoningcited by 280
- 2025Training Language Models to Reason Efficientlycited by 247
- 2026Beyond Benchmarks: MathArena as an Evaluation Platform for Mathematics with LLMscited by 137
- 2025Beyond Binary Rewards: Training LMs to Reason About Their Uncertaintycited by 117
- 2025Rewarding Doubt: A Reinforcement Learning Approach to Calibrated Confidence Expression of Large Language Modelscited by 52
- 2025Answer Convergence as a Signal for Early Stopping in Reasoningcited by 40
- 2025Early Stopping Chain-of-thoughts in Large Language Modelscited by 20
4 more
- 2025Understanding the Thinking Process of Reasoning Models: A Perspective from Schoenfeld's Episode Theorycited by 9
- 2026On-Policy Supervised Fine-Tuning for Efficient Reasoningcited by 4
- 2026Reinforcement Learning with Metacognitive Feedback Elicits Faithful Uncertainty Expression in LLMscited by 4
- 2025Beyond Correctness: Confidence-Aware Reward Modeling for Enhancing Large Language Model Reasoningcited by 3
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- 2025Think Just Enough: Sequence-Level Entropy as a Confidence Signal for LLM Reasoning
- 2026When Does Learning to Stop Help? A Cost-Aware Study of Early Exits in Reasoning Models
- 2025Thinking Out Loud: Do Reasoning Models Know When They're Right?
- 2025Reasoning Models Better Express Their Confidence
- 2025How Far Are We from Optimal Reasoning Efficiency?
- 2026Correct, Concise and Complete: Multi-stage Training For Adaptive Reasoning
- 2025Beyond the Trade-off: Self-Supervised Reinforcement Learning for Reasoning Models' Instruction Following
- 2025Reflective Confidence: Correcting Reasoning Flaws via Online Self-Correction