MTP-GO: Graph-Based Probabilistic Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction with Neural ODEs
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Abstract (arXiv)
Enabling resilient autonomous motion planning requires robust predictions of surrounding road users' future behavior. In response to this need and the associated challenges, we introduce our model titled MTP-GO. The model encodes the scene using temporal graph neural networks to produce the inputs to an underlying motion model. The motion model is implemented using neural ordinary differential equations where the state-transition functions are learned with the rest of the model. Multimodal probabilistic predictions are obtained by combining the concept of mixture density networks and Kalman filtering. The results illustrate the predictive capabilities of the proposed model across various data sets, outperforming several state-of-the-art methods on a number of metrics.
Key facts. Cited by 19 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 45 of its 83 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 1 Feb 2023.
Builds on
45 of 83 references.
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Citing papers per year: 2023: 3; 2024: 6; 2025: 7; 2026: 3.
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- 2024Diffusion-Based Environment-Aware Trajectory Predictioncited by 14
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directionscited by 14
- 2025Graph ODEs and Beyond: A Comprehensive Survey on Integrating Differential Equations with Graph Neural Networkscited by 14
- 2023Improving Transferability for Cross-domain Trajectory Prediction via Neural Stochastic Differential Equationcited by 12
- 2024NEST: A Neuromodulated Small-world Hypergraph Trajectory Prediction Model for Autonomous Drivingcited by 12
- 2024Risk-Aware Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Under Safety-Critical Scenarioscited by 7
- 2023Evaluation of Differentially Constrained Motion Models for Graph-Based Trajectory Predictioncited by 6
- 2023Stability-Informed Initialization of Neural Ordinary Differential Equationscited by 5
- 2025Social-Pose: Enhancing Trajectory Prediction with Human Body Posecited by 5
- 2025RiskNet: Interaction-Aware Risk Forecasting for Autonomous Driving in Long-Tail Scenarioscited by 4
- 2024Toward Unified Practices in Trajectory Prediction Research on Bird's-Eye-View Datasetscited by 2
- 2024Enhanced Prediction of Multi-Agent Trajectories via Control Inference and State-Space Dynamicscited by 2
7 more
- 2025Diffusion Models for Reinforcement Learning: Foundations, Taxonomy, and Developmentcited by 2
- 2024Towards Safe and Reliable Autonomous Driving: Dynamic Occupancy Set Predictioncited by 0
- 2025EMT: A Visual Multi-Task Benchmark Dataset for Autonomous Drivingcited by 0
- 2025Generalizable Trajectory Prediction via Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Mamba-Graph Architecturecited by 0
- 2026ROSA-RL: Uncertainty-Aware Roundabout Optimized Speed Advisory with Reinforcement Learningcited by 0
- 2026Unveiling Transferability in Trajectory Prediction via Latent Scene Embeddingscited by 0
- 2026SWIFT: A Small-World Interaction Framework for Flow-Aware Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Drivingcited by 0
- 2026SWIFT: A Small-World Interaction Framework for Flow-Aware Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving3 Jul 2026
- 2026Unveiling Transferability in Trajectory Prediction via Latent Scene Embeddings29 Jun 2026
- 2026ROSA-RL: Uncertainty-Aware Roundabout Optimized Speed Advisory with Reinforcement Learning15 Jun 2026
- 2025Diffusion Models for Reinforcement Learning: Foundations, Taxonomy, and Development14 Oct 2025
- 2025Social-Pose: Enhancing Trajectory Prediction with Human Body Pose30 Jul 2025
- 2025Generalizable Trajectory Prediction via Inverse Reinforcement Learning with Mamba-Graph Architecture14 Jun 2025
- 2025RiskNet: Interaction-Aware Risk Forecasting for Autonomous Driving in Long-Tail Scenarios22 Apr 2025
- 2025Graph ODEs and Beyond: A Comprehensive Survey on Integrating Differential Equations with Graph Neural Networks29 Mar 2025
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions5 Mar 2025
- 2025EMT: A Visual Multi-Task Benchmark Dataset for Autonomous Driving26 Feb 2025
- 2024NEST: A Neuromodulated Small-world Hypergraph Trajectory Prediction Model for Autonomous Driving16 Dec 2024
- 2024Enhanced Prediction of Multi-Agent Trajectories via Control Inference and State-Space Dynamics8 Aug 2024
7 more
- 2024Risk-Aware Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Under Safety-Critical Scenarios18 Jul 2024
- 2024Toward Unified Practices in Trajectory Prediction Research on Bird's-Eye-View Datasets1 May 2024
- 2024Diffusion-Based Environment-Aware Trajectory Prediction18 Mar 2024
- 2024Towards Safe and Reliable Autonomous Driving: Dynamic Occupancy Set Prediction29 Feb 2024
- 2023Improving Transferability for Cross-domain Trajectory Prediction via Neural Stochastic Differential Equation26 Dec 2023
- 2023Stability-Informed Initialization of Neural Ordinary Differential Equations27 Nov 2023
- 2023Evaluation of Differentially Constrained Motion Models for Graph-Based Trajectory Prediction11 Apr 2023
- 2024Diffusion-Based Environment-Aware Trajectory Predictioncited by 14
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directionscited by 14
- 2025Graph ODEs and Beyond: A Comprehensive Survey on Integrating Differential Equations with Graph Neural Networkscited by 14
- 2023Improving Transferability for Cross-domain Trajectory Prediction via Neural Stochastic Differential Equationcited by 12
- 2024NEST: A Neuromodulated Small-world Hypergraph Trajectory Prediction Model for Autonomous Drivingcited by 12
- 2024Risk-Aware Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Under Safety-Critical Scenarioscited by 7
- 2023Evaluation of Differentially Constrained Motion Models for Graph-Based Trajectory Predictioncited by 6
- 2023Stability-Informed Initialization of Neural Ordinary Differential Equationscited by 5
- 2025Social-Pose: Enhancing Trajectory Prediction with Human Body Posecited by 5
- 2025RiskNet: Interaction-Aware Risk Forecasting for Autonomous Driving in Long-Tail Scenarioscited by 4
- 2024Toward Unified Practices in Trajectory Prediction Research on Bird's-Eye-View Datasetscited by 2
- 2024Enhanced Prediction of Multi-Agent Trajectories via Control Inference and State-Space Dynamicscited by 2
12 most cited of 17 All 17 (JSON)
- 2026SWIFT: A Small-World Interaction Framework for Flow-Aware Trajectory Prediction in Autonomous Driving3 Jul 2026
- 2026Unveiling Transferability in Trajectory Prediction via Latent Scene Embeddings29 Jun 2026
- 2026ROSA-RL: Uncertainty-Aware Roundabout Optimized Speed Advisory with Reinforcement Learning15 Jun 2026
- 2025Social-Pose: Enhancing Trajectory Prediction with Human Body Pose30 Jul 2025
- 2025RiskNet: Interaction-Aware Risk Forecasting for Autonomous Driving in Long-Tail Scenarios22 Apr 2025
- 2025Graph ODEs and Beyond: A Comprehensive Survey on Integrating Differential Equations with Graph Neural Networks29 Mar 2025
- 2025Trajectory Prediction for Autonomous Driving: Progress, Limitations, and Future Directions5 Mar 2025
- 2025EMT: A Visual Multi-Task Benchmark Dataset for Autonomous Driving26 Feb 2025
- 2024NEST: A Neuromodulated Small-world Hypergraph Trajectory Prediction Model for Autonomous Driving16 Dec 2024
- 2024Enhanced Prediction of Multi-Agent Trajectories via Control Inference and State-Space Dynamics8 Aug 2024
- 2024Risk-Aware Vehicle Trajectory Prediction Under Safety-Critical Scenarios18 Jul 2024
- 2024Toward Unified Practices in Trajectory Prediction Research on Bird's-Eye-View Datasets1 May 2024
12 newest of 17 All 17 (JSON)