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FoSS: Modeling Long Range Dependencies and Multimodal Uncertainty in Trajectory Prediction via Fourier State Space Integration

arXiv 2603.01284 ↗First posted 1 Mar 2026cs.CVcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Accurate trajectory prediction is vital for safe autonomous driving, yet existing approaches struggle to balance modeling power and computational efficiency. Attention-based architectures incur quadratic complexity with increasing agents, while recurrent models struggle to capture long-range dependencies and fine-grained local dynamics. Building upon this, we present FoSS, a dual-branch framework that unifies frequency-domain reasoning with linear-time sequence modeling. The frequency-domain branch performs a discrete Fourier transform to decompose trajectories into amplitude components encoding global intent and phase components capturing local variations, followed by a progressive helix reordering module that preserves spectral order; two selective state-space submodules, Coarse2Fine-SSM and SpecEvolve-SSM, refine spectral features with O(N) complexity. In parallel, a time-domain dynamic selective SSM reconstructs self-attention behavior in linear time to retain long-range temporal context. A cross-attention layer fuses temporal and spectral representations, while learnable queries generate multiple candidate trajectories, and a weighted fusion head expresses motion uncertainty. Experiments on Argoverse 1 and Argoverse 2 benchmarks demonstrate that FoSS achieves state-of-the-art accuracy while reducing computation by 22.5% and parameters by over 40%. Comprehensive ablations confirm the necessity of each component.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 34 of its 45 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 1 Mar 2026.

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34 of 45 references.

References · 34

  1. 2023Mamba: Linear-Time Sequence Modeling with Selective State Spacescited by 4,616
  2. 2019Argoverse: 3D Tracking and Forecasting with Rich Mapscited by 728
  3. 2023Argoverse 2: Next Generation Datasets for Self-Driving Perception and Forecastingcited by 701
  4. 2022On the Parameterization and Initialization of Diagonal State Space Modelscited by 418
  5. 2020Learning Lane Graph Representations for Motion Forecastingcited by 380
  6. 2024VideoMamba: State Space Model for Efficient Video Understandingcited by 325
  7. 2021DenseTNT: End-to-end Trajectory Prediction from Dense Goal Setscited by 292
  8. 2022Wayformer: Motion Forecasting via Simple & Efficient Attention Networkscited by 279
  9. 2021MultiPath++: Efficient Information Fusion and Trajectory Aggregation for Behavior Predictioncited by 246
  10. 2021Scene Transformer: A unified architecture for predicting multiple agent trajectoriescited by 165
  11. 2023MotionLM: Multi-Agent Motion Forecasting as Language Modelingcited by 154
  12. 2021GOHOME: Graph-Oriented Heatmap Output for future Motion Estimationcited by 146
22 more
  1. 2020Implicit Latent Variable Model for Scene-Consistent Motion Forecastingcited by 116
  2. 2021Multimodal Trajectory Prediction Conditioned on Lane-Graph Traversalscited by 112
  3. 2022HDGT: Heterogeneous Driving Graph Transformer for Multi-Agent Trajectory Prediction via Scene Encodingcited by 109
  4. 2023Selective Structured State-Spaces for Long-Form Video Understandingcited by 105
  5. 2022ScePT: Scene-consistent, Policy-based Trajectory Predictions for Planningcited by 63
  6. 2022GANet: Goal Area Network for Motion Forecastingcited by 49
  7. 2021View Vertically: A Hierarchical Network for Trajectory Prediction via Fourier Spectrumscited by 44
  8. 2024HPNet: Dynamic Trajectory Forecasting with Historical Prediction Attentioncited by 37
  9. 2021Spectral Temporal Graph Neural Network for Trajectory Predictioncited by 36
  10. 2023Real-Time Motion Prediction via Heterogeneous Polyline Transformer with Relative Pose Encodingcited by 32
  11. 2024FourierMamba: Fourier Learning Integration with State Space Models for Image Derainingcited by 32
  12. 2024MambaLRP: Explaining Selective State Space Sequence Modelscited by 31
  13. 2022Trust, but Verify: Cross-Modality Fusion for HD Map Change Detectioncited by 25
  14. 2023Convolutional State Space Models for Long-Range Spatiotemporal Modelingcited by 19
  15. 2025Trajectory Mamba: Efficient Attention-Mamba Forecasting Model Based on Selective SSMcited by 17
  16. 2024DeMo: Decoupling Motion Forecasting into Directional Intentions and Dynamic Statescited by 15
  17. 2023Multi-Head State Space Model for Speech Recognitioncited by 14
  18. 2024What Do You See in Vehicle? Comprehensive Vision Solution for In-Vehicle Gaze Estimationcited by 14
  19. 2024SSM Meets Video Diffusion Models: Efficient Long-Term Video Generation with Structured State Spacescited by 13
  20. 2021Decoder Fusion RNN: Context and Interaction Aware Decoders for Trajectory Predictioncited by 12
  21. 2023A Multidimensional Graph Fourier Transformation Neural Network for Vehicle Trajectory Predictioncited by 8
  22. 2023Technical Report for Argoverse Challenges on Unified Sensor-based Detection, Tracking, and Forecastingcited by 8

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