mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

GeoPredict: Leveraging Predictive Kinematics and 3D Gaussian Geometry for Precise VLA Manipulation

arXiv 2512.16811 ↗First posted 18 Dec 2025cs.CV cs.ROcited by 15

On the map: Vision-language-action models → 3D and spatial-aware VLA

Abstract (arXiv)

Vision-Language-Action (VLA) models achieve strong generalization in robotic manipulation but remain largely reactive and 2D-centric, making them unreliable in tasks that require precise 3D reasoning. We propose GeoPredict, a geometry-aware VLA framework that augments a continuous-action policy with predictive kinematic and geometric priors. GeoPredict introduces a trajectory-level module that encodes motion history and predicts multi-step 3D keypoint trajectories of robot arms, and a predictive 3D Gaussian geometry module that forecasts workspace geometry with track-guided refinement along future keypoint trajectories. These predictive modules serve exclusively as training-time supervision through depth-based rendering, while inference requires only lightweight additional query tokens without invoking any 3D decoding. Experiments on RoboCasa Human-50, LIBERO, and real-world manipulation tasks show that GeoPredict consistently outperforms strong VLA baselines, especially in geometry-intensive and spatially demanding scenarios.

Key facts. Cited by 15 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in 3D and spatial-aware VLA, one of 13 directions in Vision-language-action models. Builds on 50 of its 55 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 18 Dec 2025.

Builds on

50 of 55 references.

Closest ancestors · 4

Same direction, newest first

  1. 20254D-VLA: Spatiotemporal Vision-Language-Action Pretraining with Cross-Scene Calibration27 Jun
  2. 2025BridgeVLA: Input-Output Alignment for Efficient 3D Manipulation Learning with Vision-Language Models9 Jun
  3. 2025SpatialVLA: Exploring Spatial Representations for Visual-Language-Action Model27 Jan
  4. 2024TraceVLA: Visual Trace Prompting Enhances Spatial-Temporal Awareness for Generalist Robotic Policies13 Dec

Other references · 46

  1. 20233D Gaussian Splatting for Real-Time Radiance Field Renderingcited by 6,141
  2. 2022Flow Matching for Generative Modelingcited by 5,426
  3. 2016PointNet: Deep Learning on Point Sets for 3D Classification and Segmentationcited by 5,223
  4. 2022Instant Neural Graphics Primitives with a Multiresolution Hash Encodingcited by 3,698
  5. 2023RT-2: Vision-Language-Action Models Transfer Web Knowledge to Robotic Controlcited by 2,993
  6. 2024OpenVLA: An Open-Source Vision-Language-Action Modelcited by 2,777
  7. 2023Diffusion Policy: Visuomotor Policy Learning via Action Diffusioncited by 2,730
  8. 2024π0: A Vision-Language-Action Flow Model for General Robot Controlcited by 2,297
  9. 2022RT-1: Robotics Transformer for Real-World Control at Scalecited by 2,007
  10. 2021Ego4D: Around the World in 3,000 Hours of Egocentric Videocited by 1,530
  11. 2024Octo: An Open-Source Generalist Robot Policycited by 1,427
  12. 2023LIBERO: Benchmarking Knowledge Transfer for Lifelong Robot Learningcited by 1,338
34 more
  1. 20234D Gaussian Splatting for Real-Time Dynamic Scene Renderingcited by 1,144
  2. 2020Mastering Atari with Discrete World Modelscited by 990
  3. 2025Fine-Tuning Vision-Language-Action Models: Optimizing Speed and Successcited by 844
  4. 2024PaliGemma: A versatile 3B VLM for transfercited by 679
  5. 2023Learning Universal Policies via Text-Guided Video Generationcited by 506
  6. 2022Point-NeRF: Point-based Neural Radiance Fieldscited by 503
  7. 2023TD-MPC2: Scalable, Robust World Models for Continuous Controlcited by 482
  8. 2025CoT-VLA: Visual Chain-of-Thought Reasoning for Vision-Language-Action Modelscited by 440
  9. 2024CogACT: A Foundational Vision-Language-Action Model for Synergizing Cognition and Action in Robotic Manipulationcited by 411
  10. 2024RoboCasa: Large-Scale Simulation of Everyday Tasks for Generalist Robotscited by 391
  11. 2025UniVLA: Learning to Act Anywhere with Task-centric Latent Actionscited by 386
  12. 2023Unleashing Large-Scale Video Generative Pre-training for Visual Robot Manipulationcited by 353
  13. 2025WorldVLA: Towards Autoregressive Action World Modelcited by 351
  14. 2023Vision-Language Foundation Models as Effective Robot Imitatorscited by 344
  15. 2022Transformers are Sample-Efficient World Modelscited by 317
  16. 2024Video Prediction Policy: A Generalist Robot Policy with Predictive Visual Representationscited by 279
  17. 2023Zero-Shot Robotic Manipulation with Pretrained Image-Editing Diffusion Modelscited by 264
  18. 2024Street Gaussians: Modeling Dynamic Urban Scenes with Gaussian Splattingcited by 218
  19. 2025DreamVLA: A Vision-Language-Action Model Dreamed with Comprehensive World Knowledgecited by 203
  20. 2025Unified Video Action Modelcited by 195
  21. 2024Predictive Inverse Dynamics Models are Scalable Learners for Robotic Manipulationcited by 159
  22. 2022EfficientNeRF: Efficient Neural Radiance Fieldscited by 110
  23. 2022Deep Hierarchical Planning from Pixelscited by 96
  24. 2025A Survey on Vision-Language-Action Models: An Action Tokenization Perspectivecited by 96
  25. 2023STORM: Efficient Stochastic Transformer based World Models for Reinforcement Learningcited by 88
  26. 2025Universal Actions for Enhanced Embodied Foundation Modelscited by 80
  27. 2024Moto: Latent Motion Token as the Bridging Language for Learning Robot Manipulation from Videoscited by 65
  28. 2025villa-X: Enhancing Latent Action Modeling in Vision-Language-Action Modelscited by 58
  29. 2024SCube: Instant Large-Scale Scene Reconstruction using VoxSplatscited by 56
  30. 2025GWM: Towards Scalable Gaussian World Models for Robotic Manipulationcited by 37
  31. 2025Geometry-aware 4D Video Generation for Robot Manipulationcited by 23
  32. 2025AVA-VLA: Improving Vision-Language-Action models with Active Visual Attentioncited by 22
  33. 2025WristWorld: Generating Wrist-Views via 4D World Models for Robotic Manipulationcited by 21
  34. 2024Pre-trained Text-to-Image Diffusion Models Are Versatile Representation Learners for Controlcited by 11

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 15.

15 papers.

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By area:

  1. 2026STARRY: Spatial-Temporal Action-Centric World Modeling for Robotic Manipulationcited by 10
  2. 2026GuidedVLA: Specifying Task-Relevant Factors via Plug-and-Play Action Attention Specializationcited by 7
  3. 2026Track4Action: Distilling World-Centric 3D Tracker into Vision-Language-Action Policiescited by 5
  4. 2026GaussianDream: A Feed-Forward 3D Gaussian World Model for Robotic Manipulationcited by 3
  5. 2026FoMoVLA: Bridging Visual Foresight and Motion Guidance for Vision-Language-Action Modelscited by 2
  6. 2026ELAN4D: Embodiment-Centric 4D Supervision for Vision-Language-Action Models via Plug-and-Play Adaptationcited by 1
  7. 20263DThinkVLA: Endowing Vision-Language-Action Models with Latent 3D Priors via 3D-Thinking-Guided Co-trainingcited by 1
  8. 2026GeoProp: Grounding Robot State in Vision for Generalist Manipulationcited by 1
  9. 2026Breaking Structural Isolation: Scalable Graph Clustering via Community-Aware Sampling and Structural Entropycited by 0
  10. 2026GaussianDream++: Efficient 3D Gaussian World Modeling for Robotic Manipulationcited by 0
  11. 2026Monocular Depth Estimation from a Single Image: Progress and Opportunitiescited by 0
  12. 2026StrataVLA: Hierarchical and Efficient 3D Geometric Grounding for Vision-Language-Action Modelscited by 0
3 more
  1. 2026SLIP-VLA: Single-Step Latent Imagination for Policy Learning in Vision-Language-Action Modelscited by 0
  2. 2026Spatial Grafting: Grounding 3D Features for Flow-Matching Robot Policiescited by 0
  3. 2026VersaCamVLA: Camera-Configurable VLA Policies for Robotic Manipulationcited by 0

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2026GEAR-VLA: Learning Geometry-Aware Action Representations for Generalizable Robotic Manipulation
  2. 2026FOCAL-VLA: Subtask-Guided Geometry Distillation and Implicit World Modeling for Vision-Language-Action Models
  3. 2026BridgeVLA++: A Data-Efficient, Generalizable, and Memory-Augmented Vision-Language-Action Framework for 3D Manipulation
  4. 2026GeomVLA: Unifying Scene, Motion, and Action in 3D
  5. 2026Geometry-Aware Motion Latents for Learning Robust Manipulation Policies
  6. 2026VistaVLA: Geometry- and Semantic-Aware 3D Gaussian-Grounded VLA for Robotic Manipulation
  7. 2026Robotic Manipulation is Vision-to-Geometry Mapping: Vision-Geometry Backbones over Language and Video Models
  8. 2026GWM-VLA: Geometry-Aware Latent World Modeling for Vision-Language-Action Learning