mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

On the Limits of Test-Time Compute: Sequential Reward Filtering for Better Inference

arXiv 2512.04558 ↗First posted 4 Dec 2025cs.LGcited by 6

On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking

Abstract (arXiv)

Test-time compute (TTC) has become an increasingly prominent paradigm for enhancing large language models (LLMs). Despite the empirical success of methods such as best-of-n (BoN) sampling and sequential revision, their fundamental limits remain unclear. We address this gap by analyzing a mixture-of-reference policy model and proving that standard BoN is inherently suboptimal. To move closer to the optimal frontier, we study reward-filtered sequential inference, a simple procedure that selectively incorporates only high-reward generations into the context. This mechanism concentrates computation on superior policy candidates and suppresses inferior ones. On the theoretical side, we show that reward-filtered sequential inference yields strictly stronger guarantees than standard TTC paradigms. On the empirical side, we evaluate such an inference strategy across diverse benchmarks and observe consistent improvements over widely used approaches, demonstrating the practical effectiveness of our framework.

Key facts. Cited by 6 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 46 of its 72 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 4 Dec 2025.

Builds on

46 of 72 references.

Closest ancestors · 14

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025Strategic Scaling of Test-Time Compute: A Bandit Learning Approach15 Jun
  2. 2025Sample Complexity and Representation Ability of Test-time Scaling Paradigms5 Jun
  3. 2025First Finish Search: Efficient Test-Time Scaling in Large Language Models23 May
  4. 2025M1: Towards Scalable Test-Time Compute with Mamba Reasoning Models14 Apr
  5. 2025Self-Training Elicits Concise Reasoning in Large Language Models27 Feb
  6. 2025Scalable Best-of-N Selection for Large Language Models via Self-Certainty25 Feb
  7. 2025Rollout Roulette: A Probabilistic Inference Approach to Inference-Time Scaling of LLMs using Particle-Based Monte Carlo Methods3 Feb
  8. 2025Evolving Deeper LLM Thinking17 Jan
  9. 2024Inference-Aware Fine-Tuning for Best-of-N Sampling in Large Language Models18 Dec
  10. 2024Scaling LLM Test-Time Compute Optimally can be More Effective than Scaling Model Parameters6 Aug
  11. 2024Inference Scaling Laws: An Empirical Analysis of Compute-Optimal Inference for Problem-Solving with Language Models1 Aug
  12. 2024Small Language Models Need Strong Verifiers to Self-Correct Reasoning26 Apr
2 more
  1. 2024Theoretical guarantees on the best-of-n alignment policy3 Jan
  2. 2023Universal Self-Consistency for Large Language Model Generation29 Nov

Other references · 32

  1. 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,195
  2. 2022Self-Consistency Improves Chain of Thought Reasoning in Language Modelscited by 5,601
  3. 2021Measuring Mathematical Problem Solving With the MATH Datasetcited by 5,203
  4. 2024Qwen2.5 Technical Reportcited by 4,713
  5. 2021WebGPT: Browser-assisted question-answering with human feedbackcited by 1,722
  6. 2016Concrete Problems in AI Safetycited by 1,582
  7. 2022Least-to-Most Prompting Enables Complex Reasoning in Large Language Modelscited by 1,397
  8. 2022Program of Thoughts Prompting: Disentangling Computation from Reasoning for Numerical Reasoning Taskscited by 1,057
  9. 2023Teaching Large Language Models to Self-Debugcited by 963
  10. 2024Large Language Monkeys: Scaling Inference Compute with Repeated Samplingcited by 946
  11. 2021An Explanation of In-context Learning as Implicit Bayesian Inferencecited by 915
  12. 2022Selection-Inference: Exploiting Large Language Models for Interpretable Logical Reasoningcited by 331
20 more
  1. 2025OpenThoughts: Data Recipes for Reasoning Modelscited by 287
  2. 2024Sycophancy to Subterfuge: Investigating Reward-Tampering in Large Language Modelscited by 158
  3. 2025Process Reward Models That Thinkcited by 118
  4. 2024The Good, The Bad, and The Greedy: Evaluation of LLMs Should Not Ignore Non-Determinismcited by 113
  5. 2023What and How does In-Context Learning Learn? Bayesian Model Averaging, Parameterization, and Generalizationcited by 112
  6. 2025Is Best-of-N the Best of Them? Coverage, Scaling, and Optimality in Inference-Time Alignmentcited by 91
  7. 2024How to Evaluate Reward Models for RLHFcited by 84
  8. 2023Transformers as Decision Makers: Provable In-Context Reinforcement Learning via Supervised Pretrainingcited by 82
  9. 2024BOND: Aligning LLMs with Best-of-N Distillationcited by 73
  10. 2023Rewarding Chatbots for Real-World Engagement with Millions of Userscited by 58
  11. 2024The Limits of Inference Scaling Through Resamplingcited by 51
  12. 2025Is a Good Foundation Necessary for Efficient Reinforcement Learning? The Computational Role of the Base Model in Explorationcited by 34
  13. 2025PAG: Multi-Turn Reinforced LLM Self-Correction with Policy as Generative Verifiercited by 28
  14. 2024Unveiling the Statistical Foundations of Chain-of-Thought Prompting Methodscited by 27
  15. 2024Transformers Can Learn Temporal Difference Methods for In-Context Reinforcement Learningcited by 22
  16. 2025Uncertainty-Aware Step-wise Verification with Generative Reward Modelscited by 21
  17. 2025Computational-Statistical Tradeoffs at the Next-Token Prediction Barrier: Autoregressive and Imitation Learning under Misspecificationcited by 12
  18. 2025Formalizing Learning from Language Feedback with Provable Guaranteescited by 10
  19. 2024Guaranteed Generation from Large Language Modelscited by 7
  20. 2025Maximizing Prefix-Confidence at Test-Time Efficiently Improves Mathematical Reasoningcited by 3

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 6.

6 papers.

Similar, not cited

Close in wording, no citation either way

  1. 2025Optimal Stopping vs Best-of-N for Inference Time Optimization
  2. 2026Caterpillar of Thoughts: The Optimal Test-Time Algorithm for Large Language Models
  3. 2026Revisiting the (Sub)Optimality of Best-of-N for Inference-Time Alignment
  4. 2025CarBoN: Calibrated Best-of-N Sampling Improves Test-time Reasoning
  5. 2025Demystifying LLM-as-a-Judge: Analytically Tractable Model for Inference-Time Scaling
  6. 2025Reward Model Generalization for Compute-Aware Test-Time Reasoning
  7. 2026On the Power of (Approximate) Reward Models for Inference-Time Scaling
  8. 2026Adaptive Test-Time Compute Allocation for Reasoning LLMs via Constrained Policy Optimization